Fixture The Run Home: 2021 Edition - we're in!!

[Lore]

 

[eth-dog]

It’s just a bit of fun.

 

[doug85]

View attachment 1179371

I don’t understand the reference

 

[eth-dog]

I don’t understand the reference

Shaun Micallef's Mad As Hell. That guy has that as his signiature line

 

[Cold Sober]

I'm not too fussed about making it to be honest. 8th is just going to be cannon fodder for Port or Brisbane at home.

Make it and see where it takes us.
How do you know she is good in bed if you don't sleep with her.

 

[The Donners]

I would’ve back us for 4, possibly 5 wins out of the last 6 rounds had the next 3 weeks been at Docklands. I think our season is all but done from a finals perspective but I’m not disappointed. Would love if we could somehow get 2 first round picks and get a “win” from both of them.

I’d also love to see Mozzie return fit and healthy.

 

[Tassieboy]

It’s much more likely 11 wins and good percentage will get into 7th or 8th than it was before the season started.

We would have to play much better than today, but 11 wins is quite likely.

 

[TDay]

Can not believe people are actually making absolute predictions. Have you not seen what has happened so far this season
Seriously , anything can happen and probably will.

Carlton could make it!

 

[HirdyLannister]

We will be cannon fodder if we make finals, we have one of the longest injury list to key players.

 

[Halftimehero]

We will be cannon fodder if we make finals, we have one of the longest injury list to key players.

Most of them will be back by then

 

[Bombers36]

With 5 games to go the bottom 2 spots in the 8 are still well and truly up for grabs for about 7 teams....according to the bookies we are basically a 50/50 chance to make it. A win against the Giants this Saturday would really help our chances...

 

[fairbump_playon]

In the 8 means we have to be knocked out of the 8. Nice to not be relying on other results.

It feels strange to be here given the injury list, no output from Cox, Hooker is cooked etc... so couldn’t say we are playing our best footy.

Testament to good coaching and player buy in to produce pretty consistent performances week to week. Not beating anyone of note - but winning the games we should. Not a familiar feeling.

 

[eth-dog]

7th. West Coast, 9W 8L, 97.83%

Round 19: St. Kilda @ Perth Stadium, 50/50
Round 20: Collingwood @ MCG, W
Round 21: Melbourne @ Perth Stadium, L
Round 22: Fremantle @ Perth Stadium, 50/50
Round 23: Brisbane @ Gabba, L

8th. Essendon, 8W 9L, 104.45%

Round 19: GWS @ Carrara, 50/50
Round 20: Sydney @ Carrara, 50/50
Round 21: Western Bulldogs @ Docklands, L
Round 22: Gold Coast @ Carrara, 50/50
Round 23: Collingwood @ MCG, W

9th. Richmond, 8W 9L, 100.79%

Round 19: Geelong @ MCG, L
Round 20: Fremantle @ Perth Stadium, 50/50
Round 21: North Melbourne @ MCG, W
Round 22: GWS @ Sydney Showgrounds*, L
Round 23: Hawthorne @ MCG, W

10th. Fremantle, 8W 8L, 92.5%

Round 19: Sydney @ SCG*, 50/50
Round 20: Richmond @ Perth Stadium, 50/50
Round 21: Brisbane @ Perth Stadium, L
Round 22: West Coast @ Perth Stadium, 50/50
Round 23: St. Kilda @ Docklands, 50/50

11th. St. Kilda, 8W 8L, 86.64%

Round 19: West Coast @ Perth Stadium, 50/50
Round 20: Carlton @ Docklands, W
Round 21: Sydney @ Docklands, 50/50
Round 22: Geelong @ Kardinia Park, L
Round 23: Fremantle @ Docklands, 50/50

12th. GWS, 7W, 8L, 1D, 95.54%

Round 19: Essendon @ Docklands, 50/50
Round 20: Port Adelaide @ Manuka, L
Round 21: Geelong @ Kardinia Park, L
Round 22: Richmond @ Sydney Showgrounds*, W
Round 23: Carlton @ Docklands, W

Sydney's win, along with their percentage, makes it virtually impossible for them to miss from here. It's still super open, but it's a big fortnight for pretty much everyone. GWS have to win this one if they're any chance of making it, as do St. Kilda with their horrendous percentage. 11 wins probably gets us there

 

[Ati Tude]

7th. West Coast, 9W 8L, 97.83%

Round 19: St. Kilda @ Perth Stadium, 50/50
Round 20: Collingwood @ MCG, W
Round 21: Melbourne @ Perth Stadium, L
Round 22: Fremantle @ Perth Stadium, 50/50
Round 23: Brisbane @ Gabba, L

8th. Essendon, 8W 9L, 104.45%

Round 19: GWS @ Carrara, 50/50
Round 20: Sydney @ Carrara, 50/50
Round 21: Western Bulldogs @ Docklands, L
Round 22: Gold Coast @ Carrara, 50/50
Round 23: Collingwood @ MCG, W

9th. Richmond, 8W 9L, 100.79%

Round 19: Geelong @ MCG, L
Round 20: Fremantle @ Perth Stadium, 50/50
Round 21: North Melbourne @ MCG, W
Round 22: Geelong @ Sydney Showgrounds*, L
Round 23: Hawthorne @ MCG, W

10th. Fremantle, 8W 8L, 92.5%

Round 19: Sydney @ SCG*, 50/50
Round 20: Richmond @ Perth Stadium, 50/50
Round 21: Brisbane @ Perth Stadium, L
Round 22: West Coast @ Perth Stadium, 50/50
Round 23: St. Kilda @ Docklands, 50/50

11th. St. Kilda, 8W 8L, 86.64%

Round 19: West Coast @ Perth Stadium, 50/50
Round 20: Carlton @ Docklands, W
Round 21: Sydney @ Docklands, 50/50
Round 22: Geelong @ Kardinia Park, L
Round 23: Fremantle @ Docklands, 50/50

12th. GWS, 7W, 8L, 1D, 95.54%

Round 19: Essendon @ Docklands, 50/50
Round 20: Port Adelaide @ Manuka, L
Round 21: Geelong @ Kardinia Park, L
Round 22: Richmond @ Sydney Showgrounds*, W
Round 23: Carlton @ Docklands, W

Sydney's win, along with their percentage, makes it virtually impossible for them to miss from here. It's still super open, but it's a big fortnight for pretty much everyone. GWS have to win this one if they're any chance of making it, as do St. Kilda with their horrendous percentage. 11 wins probably gets us there

Richmond play Giants in round 22, not Cats again. Assume Tigers lose to Cats this week and we lose to Doggies when we play them, if we lose to Swans, we will need Tigers to lose to either Freeo in Perth or Giants.

Lions losing to Richmond was less than ideal for us. Soft Brisbane pr!cks.

 

[Is Don Is Good!]

Carlton could make it!

More like Can't-ton hahahaha!

 

[The Prosecutor]

Basically, Freo winning of their games against WC and Richmond would be what could push us in, assuming Geelong beats Richmond and Melbourne/Brisbane get it done v WC.

St Kilda are also a sneaky chance against WC this week too.

 

[JayJ20]

I think it's down to 3. West Coast, Essendon and Richmond given the remaining fixture.

If Essendon and West Coast win this week, then I'd almost certainly put a line through GWS and St Kilda.

 

[Kyptastic]

7th. West Coast, 9W 8L, 97.83%

Round 20: Collingwood @ MCG, W

Collingwood are playing ok and West Coast are allergic to travel. Reckon this is at least 50/50, maybe even a Collingwood win

 

[eth-dog]

I think it's down to 3. West Coast, Essendon and Richmond given the remaining fixture.

If Essendon and West Coast win this week, then I'd almost certainly put a line through GWS and St Kilda.

If both lose though it's still open, though. We lose, we're out of the 8 with Sydney and Bulldogs left in our last 4.

 

[JayJ20]

If both lose though it's still open, though. We lose, we're out of the 8 with Sydney and Bulldogs left in our last 4.

Obviously winning this week is crucial, but I don't see Essendon and West Coast losing. St Kilda will be without Marshall, who is probably the reason why they've performed so well over the last 4 weeks. GWS don't have Greene or Kelly and they're battling to name a decent ruckman. They looked like a side that was finished for the year in the second half.

Assuming things play out the way I think it will, our percentage (provided we keep it intact) means 11 wins should be enough to make it. Richmond are our biggest threats, though we're yet to see how they'll do without Dusty.

It's highly unlikely St Kilda or Fremantle get to 12 wins (which they need given their percentage), nor do I believe GWS will get to 11 wins.
Even if St Kilda beat West Coast, they have to play Sydney and Geelong at GMHBA. I'd say both are losses. Poor percentage means they're gone.
Fremantle still have to play West Coast, Sydney, Richmond and St Kilda. They need to win at least 3 of those to make it to 12 wins. They're almost definitely finished.
GWS have Geelong at GMHBA, Richmond, Essendon, Port and Carlton. They're also almost definitely finished because they need to win 4 to make it to 11 wins.

It's why I have it down to West Coast, Essendon and Richmond.

 

[doug85]

Obviously winning this week is crucial, but I don't see Essendon and West Coast losing. St Kilda will be without Marshall, who is probably the reason why they've performed so well over the last 4 weeks. GWS don't have Greene or Kelly and they're battling to name a decent ruckman. They looked like a side that was finished for the year in the second half.

Assuming things play out the way I think it will, our percentage (provided we keep it intact) means 11 wins should be enough to make it. Richmond are our biggest threats, though we're yet to see how they'll do without Dusty.

It's highly unlikely St Kilda or Fremantle get to 12 wins (which they need given their percentage), nor do I believe GWS will get to 11 wins.
Even if St Kilda beat West Coast, they have to play Sydney and Geelong at GMHBA. I'd say both are losses. Poor percentage means they're gone.
Fremantle still have to play West Coast, Sydney, Richmond and St Kilda. They need to win at least 3 of those to make it to 12 wins. They're almost definitely finished.
GWS have Geelong at GMHBA, Richmond, Essendon, Port and Carlton. They're also almost definitely finished because they need to win 4 to make it to 11 wins.

It's why I have it down to West Coast, Essendon and Richmond.

Why’s Marshall out?

 

[JayJ20]

Why’s Marshall out?

Visited tier 1 exposure site.

 

[eth-dog]

Obviously winning this week is crucial, but I don't see Essendon and West Coast losing. St Kilda will be without Marshall, who is probably the reason why they've performed so well over the last 4 weeks. GWS don't have Greene or Kelly and they're battling to name a decent ruckman. They looked like a side that was finished for the year in the second half.

Assuming things play out the way I think it will, our percentage (provided we keep it intact) means 11 wins should be enough to make it. Richmond are our biggest threats, though we're yet to see how they'll do without Dusty.

It's highly unlikely St Kilda or Fremantle get to 12 wins (which they need given their percentage), nor do I believe GWS will get to 11 wins.
Even if St Kilda beat West Coast, they have to play Sydney and Geelong at GMHBA. I'd say both are losses. Poor percentage means they're gone.
Fremantle still have to play West Coast, Sydney, Richmond and St Kilda. They need to win at least 3 of those to make it to 12 wins. They're almost definitely finished.
GWS have Geelong at GMHBA, Richmond, Essendon, Port and Carlton. They're also almost definitely finished because they need to win 4 to make it to 11 wins.

It's why I have it down to West Coast, Essendon and Richmond.

If we lose we may well only get to 10. Sydney is a 50/50 at best and the Dogs are highly likely a loss. That's 10-12, assuming we beat Gold Coast, which is no guarantee either.

St. Kilda beating West Coast isn't without a chance, West Coast just lost to North at home. Sydney is at Docklands, where St. Kilda will have a distinct advantage and the only game I see them definitely losing is Geelong.

Fremantle can definitely beat all four.

Giants are unlikely to make it but they can still win 3 or 4 of those.

Richmond are no guarantees against any of their 5 without Martin either. They have a great record against Geelong but largely off the back of Martin. Freo in Perth isn't easy, they've only lost to Geelong, Bulldogs and West Coast there and have beaten several middle 6 teams at home, including Sydney and GWS. They're not without a chance.

West Coast really only have the 1 likely win against Collingwood, and as mentioned above, they're not great at traveling and Collingwood are going well, so hardly set.

I think you're projecting what you want it to be in the most unpredictable season ever and moving the parts to make it work. A week ago most of us considered Richmond would struggle to make it but now you're putting them as one of only three teams that can make it?

I do agree however that if we win GWS are gone though. This is the most important game for us for the rest of the season.

 

[Halftimehero]

Richmond definitely the biggest threat to keep us out of 8th

 

[Cold Sober]

We are our own biggest threat, play well we make it, and possibly do some damage.

 

[Towno78]

With 5 games to go the bottom 2 spots in the 8 are still well and truly up for grabs for about 7 teams....according to the bookies we are basically a 50/50 chance to make it. A win against the Giants this Saturday would really help our chances...

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Would have thought we were still far more likely to miss than to make it.
Even if we win this week, I'd still have us 50/50 at best.