This point you make about Anderson is a point I suspect some of the posters expressing frustration about the expected Butler compensation might not understand. Butler at 23 years of age and 45 games played is exposed. We can see what he can do, and what he cannot do. He slingshots brilliantly when space is open in front of him. He tackles well from behind, and crumbs well if there is open space around him. He is a very good shot for goal on the run or set shot. He can’t impact overhead, has shown no inclination or ability to leap at the ball, doesn’t crash packs, has no real inside game to speak of. So if you are looking to recruit a player like Butler there is no premium for potential upside. Caddy was similar when we got him, you could see what he can do and what he can’t do. He was rated higher than Butler and for good reason, overall he can do a bit more than Butler.
Some posters are comparing Butler with players like Anderson, Howard, and I can’t recall some of the others, but at the point of trade, these guys are not exposed so you might happily pay a premium for their potential upside. There is a risk/reward element to that. You pay a premium over and above their performance so far based on their potential upside, but you get them at a discount to their ultimate potential because of their lack of consistent performance so far. Some will turn out worth less than an exposed limited player like Butler, some will turn out worth more than what you pay for them. That is the nature of that type of recruit.
Butler is a decent though limited player, has proven he can form part of a high functioning forward line in a high functioning team, has been squeezed out by more complete players at Richmond rather than because he is not good enough to play AFL football. To me that is worth a pick around the low 40’s. Because it suits Richmond to get him off the books, if his chosen club can’t quite stretch to his market value you might accept a bit less than his market value. If it didn’t;t suit Richmond to lose a player like Butler you would want a premium for him over his market value, a bit like what we are seeing with Hill and Daniher. Say the Hogan trade that suited both clubs, he went for about his market value at the time.
If Coleman-Jones wants out you want a big premium for him for his potential upside.
100% spot on Butler is worth **** all and him going helps us free up a spot without delisting anyone, so we can use our picks.
CCJ is contracted and required, if he wants out I hope we play hard ball. Top ten pick of he stays.
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk