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Weekly Prize - Join Any Time - Tip Round 24
The Golden Ticket - MCG and Marvel Medallion Club tickets and Corporate Box tickets at the Gabba, MCG and Marvel.
I don't think there's enough evidence there yet to have FOS or Lalor in the conversation for Pick 1. Would need to finish the year strongly.FOS looked off the pace a bit, and underdone which was understandable given his disrupted season, wouldn’t put too much stock into it or over index based on one performance, even though it was the champs final. He was still immense as an under anger and had some really good games at the start of the year for oakleigh before the hand injuries mounted up.
It’s still Smilie, FOS and now lalor for our first pick for mine. Whilst smilie and Lalor weren’t necessarily prolific in the final, the things they were really promising. Smilie stood up in tackles, broke tackles and his disposal is very good for a midfielder of his type. Lalor won contests inside 50 and was able to fend off and break tackles as well. That’s exactly what our midfield is lacking these point of difference mids
I’m lower on Draper and smith. I have them a bit further back alongside Reid, trainor and HottonI don't think there's enough evidence there yet to have FOS or Lalor in the conversation for Pick 1. Would need to finish the year strongly.
At the moment I've got it as a three horse race between Smillie, Draper and Smith and it's bloody close.
When Gross is going at 28, Kako at 20, Lindsay at 24, Faull at 25, Hynes at 27, Lalor at 21 , you know it’s a bloody strong draft.
Now imagine having five of these guys into our squad. Make a difference you reckon?
I left Marvel yesterday pretty bullish about the quality of the draft.
I've been a bit flat that there is no standout number 1 pick, but I'm now changing my way of thinking and focussing on the fact that we could get a few really handy players with our later picks (late 1st/ early 2nd round picks.)
For some reason, Jagga Smith is criminally underrated on this forum. I'm not sure why. He's slight but he works his backside off, uses the ball well, and finds it at will. Have a look at some of the best mids in the competition at the moment.. Merrett, Daicos, Neale, Butters.. all relatively small but incredibly nimble and know how to get in and out of traffic.
I'd be happy with either Smillie or Jagga with our first pick (hoping this extends to FOS too by the time we get to draft night.)
A few others i'm really excited by and could get them later in the first round:
- Harvey Langford. I can't not see Josh Kelly when watching him play.
- Murphy Reid. Smart footballer who makes things happen, would start as a half forward but evolve into a mid i think.
- Isaac Kako. Has speed and applies manic pressure but he is also deadly in front of goal. I feel like our smalls at the moment are good pressure players but lack the finishing class. He doesnt.
- Xavier Lindsay. Dominated yesterday and was the first real time i've thought Wow! Uses it really well and could slot into a Wing/ HB role pretty quickly (especially if there are a couple of vacant spots next year....)
Finally, I think it's worth touching on the Key Position market which I think is as strong as we've seen in many a year. I think there's a bunch of 4-5 Key Forwards who could really develop into good AFL players in time:
- Jobe Shanahan
- Harry Armstrong
- Jonty Faull
- Jack / Matt Whitlock
- Tom Sims
Excited for the next 6 weeks.. hopefully we see a bit more out of our kids and no more injuries.. then a huge off season where we reload.
I think the difference between the bulk of this draft (say 10 and 40) is very small, with the depth running deeper than the arbitrary cut off of 30 I used. I’ve got the likes of the Whitlock twins, Kayle Gerryn, Thomas Sims, Noah Mraz, Dodson and Tauru in that 30-40 bracket. I think that’s pretty good value for second and third round picks.
I’d say it’s not the draft you will get your Dusty/ Rance/ Riewoldt/ Cotchin tier types, but you can grab a fair chunk of that next tier below (Lambert’s; Edwards’, Astbury’s, Houli’s etc.) which are just as important to building a contending side.
So did FionaThe SANFL is extremely poor. Toumpas dominated there too
Neale is 177cm.. which is shorter than Jagga Smith at 181cmSmith is smaller than all the players you listed and very narrow through his chest and shoulders. Not the type you spend a pick 1 on.
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So did PavlichSo did Fiona
From that list my wish list preferences are with couple of additional players:At this risk of being absolutely potted, thought I’d provide my top 30 at the conclusion of the champs having paid additional attention for this years draft crop.
Have at it.
- Finn O’Sullivan
- Josh Smillie
- Levi Ashcroft (Brisbane F/S)
- Luke Trainor
- Murphy Reid
- Sid Draper
- Leo Lombard (Suns Academy)
- Harvey Langford
- Jagga Smith
- Bo Allen
- Taj Hotton
- Jobe Shanahan
- Tobie Tavagolia
- Christian Moreas
- Sam Marshall (Brisbane Academy)
- Josh Murphy
- Harry Armstrong
- Harry O’Farrell
- Tyler Welsh (Adelaide F/S)
- Isaac Kako
- Sam Lalor
- Ben Camporeale (Carlton F/S)
- Malachi Champion
- Xavier Lindsay
- Jonty Faull
- Joe Berry
- Cooper Hynes
- Tim Gross
- Zak Johnston
- Harry Oliver
Rioli wont leave and baker is going to WC, we will not have another pick in the top 10. We may get some in the late teen or early 20s with our pick trades. I would be very surprised if we get another pick in the top 10.The following ladder positions would be good when going into the trade period:
View attachment 2049719
We could trade pick 1 to Adelaide for pick 4 + F1 (if they really want to secure Draper)
Rioli + F3 to Gold Coast for pick 6 & 10
Baker for pick 9 (if he chooses Freo)
Trade later picks to Brisbane for their 1st round pick.
Go to the draft 4,6,9,10, 15 (Brisbane), 21, 22(JG compo) + Adelaide's F1
Battle is an UFA, no club is going to pay a B grader 900K+ * 6Rioli wont leave and baker is going to WC, we will not have another pick in the top 10. We may get some in the late teen or early 20s with our pick trades. I would be very surprised if we get another pick in the top 10.
The Saints is most probable to get another pick in the top 10 if they lose Battle....
norf willBattle is an UFA, no club is going to pay a B grader 900K+ * 6
You could well be right but if the rumour is true about Taranto talking to the group about committing to the rebuild you would think that more than just Baker must be looking at leaving. I think Bolton certainly stays but until Rioli also comes out and squashes the rumour it still has to be a possibility. Smoke / Fire and all that. If he stays great but if he goes we just have to get the best deal we can.Rioli wont leave and baker is going to WC, we will not have another pick in the top 10. We may get some in the late teen or early 20s with our pick trades. I would be very surprised if we get another pick in the top 10.
The Saints is most probable to get another pick in the top 10 if they lose Battle....
I’m not sure if they will be going against the grain. Jagga has been the most consistent performer in the U/18s this year.If Richmond are going to go against the grain and taking Jagga Smith with pick 1 then it may be worth trading our pick 1 with the Saints or Adelaide for their pick 4 or 5 plus their future 1st if it looks like other clubs are going to select Smillie, FOS and Trainor ahead of Jagga Smith.
That way we still get Smith and also set up our draft hand for next year.
Reckon eagles and freo swap picks then and we get a pick in the teensWord is Baker has chosen West Coast and Bolton is staying.