Game Day US Election Day Thread - Trump v Harris - Nov 6 Aus Time

Who Wins?

  • Trump 270-280

    Votes: 28 20.7%
  • Harris 270-280

    Votes: 31 23.0%
  • Trump 290-300

    Votes: 9 6.7%
  • Harris 290-300

    Votes: 32 23.7%
  • Trump 300+

    Votes: 9 6.7%
  • Harris 300+

    Votes: 18 13.3%
  • Harris 280-290

    Votes: 3 2.2%
  • Trump 280-290

    Votes: 5 3.7%

  • Total voters
    135
  • This poll will close: .

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might not make california a gimme for harris.
Bookies could offer you a million to one for California going to Trump and you’d still be taking unders.
 
Florida falls to Trump which is no surprise however Democrats will be disappointed that the Puerto Rico angle didn't seem to have much impact in the end.
It was always going to be problematic with the PR population spread out enough to thin out any change
 

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A guy got scolded in here by many yesterday for picking on blue haired people, but this seems cool with everyone. Gotta love hypocritical wokesters!
I missed this one.

Nothing wrong with being poor and living in a trailer park, aside from criticisms of the system that might cause it.

Voting for Trump doesn't mean you're stupid either. Plenty of reasons why people vote for him.

Being aware of Trump's actual record and still voting for him, unless you're rich already or a religious pro-lifer, might be stupid though, or at least reflect poorly.
 
Was just reading about early New Jersey statehood when unmarried women, free blacks and aliens (or any free party who met a certain property threshold) were explicitly enabled to vote. These demos were actively courted by politicians, but also scapegoated as easily manipulated or fraud-prone when there were close results (despite women voter turnout being relatively low). But it was hard to verify at the polls the legitimacy of voters and come 1807 there was a ‘progressive reform’ that expanded voting rights to all male taxpayers yet excluded everyone else. In that time as township rural voting place accessibility came into being you also had the conflict of interest of non-voting men being able to elect poller agents at town level. Rumours of men dressing as women to vote twice. Property aside, hard to determine the status of women and blacks, or whether aliens were streaming in to rig the result. Demand voter qual evidence, or rather not turn them away, gets contentious and inconsistently implemented across the electorate. All a bit confused given how alone and explicit they were at the time, continuing the revolutionary spirit. Some of the early Woman Suffrage proponents stem from this time as they felt their rights being removed.
 
North Carolina now tight, and the gap in Georgia has closed significantly. Moving into that close/swing state territory that many predicted. Possible that we won't know the results for days.
 
To put in context how dumb going early is.

In Georgia

Trump atm leads by 200k votes, 1.6m have (roughly) been counted, in the 2020 election 5m (roughly) were counted.

Making up 200k in 3.4m (roughly) isn't that hard.
 

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Updated swings. Solid colours are mostly reporting (has eaten into Harris' swings in IN)

The rural/urba+suburban divide seems to be getting even starker. And FL

View attachment 2159160
These maps are misleading because Trump will win (and swing) most of the counties, but there's a handful of counties in each state which have much higher populations and will really decide the poll. Likewise, the Ohio results might be too swayed by early voting, if that was counted first.
 
Democrats keep having dreams of shifting Demographics in Florida and a lesser extent Texas making them swing states (at a minimum). Maybe in 12 - 20 years (3 or more election cycles away), but at present they are going to remain solid Republican.

In the days of Gore and Bush, yes, but the retiree demographic leans conservative.

It's also contributing to the reason why Queensland tends to be more conservative in our elections.
 

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Game Day US Election Day Thread - Trump v Harris - Nov 6 Aus Time

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