Game Day US Election Day Thread - Trump v Harris - Nov 6 Aus Time

Who Wins?

  • Trump 270-280

    Votes: 31 21.8%
  • Harris 270-280

    Votes: 31 21.8%
  • Trump 290-300

    Votes: 11 7.7%
  • Harris 290-300

    Votes: 32 22.5%
  • Trump 300+

    Votes: 11 7.7%
  • Harris 300+

    Votes: 18 12.7%
  • Harris 280-290

    Votes: 3 2.1%
  • Trump 280-290

    Votes: 5 3.5%

  • Total voters
    142
  • This poll will close: .

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There was an article in last week's NY Times of an interview with Stein. If I remember correctly, she ignored family members who urged her not to run because they were afraid she would bleed votes away from Harris in Michigan, etc.
Well yeah, she is a Russian plant, she was always running because Putin told her to. She was never going to not run this is the only time she gets her head on the TV.

Its amazing she puts up the front she does, but I am more embarrassed for anyone who votes for her or genuinely believes what she says.

She is to US politics what Pauline is to us. No one takes them seriously, and they are only prominent during elections.
 

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Admitted to chatting and being buddy with Putin while he has all those US gov contracts should see him in jail, and I suspect if Harris wins he will end up there which is why he has gone mental the last few months with Trump propaganda.
For once in my life, I want to see a rich person go to jail for a significant time for a non-violent crime.
 
Can anyone explain why Western Australia's Gina Rinehart would be flying to Florida as just reported on Ch10 ?

WTAF - how embarrassing for women !!

I think I need a Valium to get through today :pill:
A lot of her mining is co-invested with American interests and her interests are also diversified around the world. All these anti-globalists are very successful globalists.

A Trump government with slashed environmental controls which the client states like Australia will follow without second thought is a dream for people like Reinhardt.
 
...........................

yes and if half the votes are counted and one is significantly Infront as trump is, that is not close.........
High population urban centers which lean heavily blue still to be counted.

Many low population rural counties which lean heavily red already counted.

It'll be close.
 
CBC News Canada are speaking RE: Georgia, expecting Trump lead to shrink shortly as city results come in from Atlanta etc. The officials are confident that their process will give a result as efficiently as possible. 0.25% difference in 2020 and plenty of contention, going to be really interesting to watch there too.
 
I don't know, this is giving me 2016 vibes, forgone conclusion that Trump has no chance, that Clinton/Harris will win, only for Trump to shock everyone and win.
I have been on some VERY lefty boards and even they don't have that vibes, that they constantly say "excited for Harris but haven't forgotten 2016" so not sure where you have been.

No one has this as a forgone conclusion for Harris.

The Trump fans online are certain he has it in the bag like 2020 and they are the only group I have seen online that confident.
 

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I have been on some VERY lefty boards and even they don't have that vibes, that they constantly say "excited for Harris but haven't forgotten 2016" so not sure where you have been.

No one has this as a forgone conclusion for Harris.

The Trump fans online are certain he has it in the bag like 2020 and they are the only group I have seen online that confident.
As I've responded to many, Reddit, I've been on Reddit.
 
Postal votes tend to be Democrat, but who knows nowadays with the Trump factor.

For Georgia, don't forget in 2020 it took days for all the votes to be counted and Biden only won by 12,000. It's probably going to down to the wire again.
 
It's a good tool to indicate what's happening
I can't believe I am getting dragged into this. guess my hypocrisy does go this far.

No. No it doesn't. All it indicates is where the money is going. A few big bets (I am talking in the millions) for 1 specific individual will skew odds because betting companies want whoever has the most money on them at the lowest odds so they don't have to pay out as much. The betting market is the easiest market to manipulate if you have enough money. Which is what is happening. This is why it swings. Trump would be leading now simply because the first booths are coming out Republican. If Cali was the first state to call votes Harris would have shortened up because she would have been on 54-0. People see the first results and think "oh I can make a quick buck" and bet on that, further making the odds shorter. Just look at last elections odds. Trump got super short and soon as Biden started winning the battleground states went from like $6 to $1.10 very quickly. This is what is happening now.

Also gambling is a cancer that people are enabling.
 
The road back in Georgia is closing rapidly.
Makes sense, people were freaking out a little top early. This was the win probability in Georgia in 2020. Don't think it drifted as far out as it did then this time around, so Dems still a huge chance there.

Georgia.png
 
Georgia - plenty of blue to come in still. This will be close.
 
I can't believe I am getting dragged into this. guess my hypocrisy does go this far.

No. No it doesn't. All it indicates is where the money is going. A few big bets (I am talking in the millions) for 1 specific individual will skew odds because betting companies want whoever has the most money on them at the lowest odds so they don't have to pay out as much. The betting market is the easiest market to manipulate if you have enough money. Which is what is happening. This is why it swings. Trump would be leading now simply because the first booths are coming out Republican. If Cali was the first state to call votes Harris would have shortened up because she would have been on 54-0. People see the first results and think "oh I can make a quick buck" and bet on that, further making the odds shorter. Just look at last elections odds. Trump got super short and soon as Biden started winning the battleground states went from like $6 to $1.10 very quickly. This is what is happening now.

Also gambling is a cancer that people are enabling.
Well if you think the market is wrong , back Harris. It's more like a sharemarket than horse gambling. Chill out.
 
Makes sense, people were freaking out a little top early. This was the win probability in Georgia in 2020. Don't think it drifted as far out as it did then this time around, so Dems still a huge chance there.

View attachment 2159214
Yep she's only 170k behind with approximately 1.7m left.
 

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Game Day US Election Day Thread - Trump v Harris - Nov 6 Aus Time

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