Game Day US Election Day Thread - Trump v Harris - Nov 6 Aus Time

[Chief]

AP Live Blog



More US Election streams: The Majority Report //

 

[Dixie Flatline]

Harris being 1 point ahead in the nationwide vote is not enough. But this is still very early.

Hilary Clinton won the nationwide popular vote in 2016 and lost the election. The nationwide vote is meaningless.

 

[DogDaySonny]

Florida not voting in sufficient numbers to protect a right to abortion in the state. It needed 60% in favour, and it got 57%.

It failed, by the way, due to the campaign of euphemisms like saying it was protecting the right to abortion. Abortion is already legal in Florida.

What it did is irreversibly make abortion legal for all nine months up until birth, allowed non-medicalLy qualified practitioners to perform them, required public funding of them and, the real killer on the vote, eliminated the need for parental consent for a minor’s abortion at any age.

If abortion proponents had pursued a more voter-aligned measure, it would have easily passed. Instead they went for an ultimate slam dunk victory against the most effective conservative governor in America to set an “all things go” precedent for the whole country. It was an arrogant own-goal.

 

[Randomizor]

You all heard it here first:

Harris wins California

 

[Dramoth]

The red mirage is happening. It’s always followed by the blue wave.

 

[tigland]

$3.60 Harris on Sportsbet. Might be time to strike

 

[MadMundy]

You all heard it here first:

Harris wins California

Big if true

 

[GreyCrow]

Seems legit

 

[samFFC]

Iowa starting counting too.
This was the big surprise poll in the last week.

Trump won by 8 points last time
Poll had Harris up 3.

If its a narrow Trump win, that’s good news for Harris.

 

[beema limapep]

It's probably a conspiracy theory, but given that Musk has spent in excess of $100 million of his own money supporting Trump and has actively used his own social media platform for this, it's not overly farfetched to think that certain people have placed strategic bets to influence the betting lines that do not necessarily have the aim of collecting money on the outcome of the election. When people treat the betting lines on elections as important information, there is certainly a temptation for this to happen.

This has crossed my mind too. Except would local markets be effected if none of these bets sit with them? Not sure.

 

[The Sultan]

North east all blues as per AP

 

[Randomizor]

The red mirage is happening. It’s always followed by the blue wave.

Doesn’t help that the networks call red states immediately but drag their feet on blue states. New York is gonna be blue CNN, just call it.

 

[ClarkeM]

They're recounting approx 30k votes in Wisconsin due to a tabulation machine error. Oh boy, MAGA will have a field day.

 

[Fire]

Harris being 1 point ahead in the nationwide vote is not enough. But this is still very early.

California and NY still to be counted.

 

[Father Jack]

I'm choosing to believe that Democratic leaning counties are going to be slow in being counted due to unprecedented turn-out

 

[OneGreatClub]

Now that would be nice

 

[And_ROOS]

Hilary Clinton won the nationwide popular vote in 2016 and lost the election. The nationwide vote is meaningless.

Gore also smashed Bush in that back in 2000 as well didn't he?

Meanwhile Obama won it comfortably back to back.

Means nothing while that trash electoral system is in play.

 

[Hank Scorpion]

The swings in counties that are finalised are in the wrong direction outside of the battleground states. Slightly better in the suburbs though.

She'd be hoping that PA/MI/WI trend better than the national average. But even some of the rural counties in NC aren't finishing with swings in her favour.

 

[Dixie Flatline]

You all heard it here first:

Harris wins California

I mean, we joke about this, but California produced a Republican President and has elected Republican governors not all that long ago (albeit the most recent Republican Governor of California endorsed Kamala Harris in this election). There was a time that California was pretty heavily Republican, and it's now flipped the other way entirely.

 

[Seeds]

I suspect if the the democrats do lose the lesson is no different to many a party like it.

Don't abandon your base.

If they lose that aint the lesson. They would of been thumped at the polls if they did what the base wanted on Gaza before the election.

 

[joop]

Trumps lead down to 200k in GA, CBS reporting that Harris needs 56% of remaining vote to win it.

 

[Millky95]

California and NY still to be counted.

NY has been counted

 

[Rotayjay]

Florida not voting in sufficient numbers to protect a right to abortion in the state. It needed 60% in favour, and it got 57%.

Florida is a Republican retirement village now. This is a state that elected Ron DeSantis who says 'Florida is where woke goes to die!'

 

[MadMundy]

Now that would be nice

Who the **** is this Galapagos Turtle dude?

 

[revo333]

$3.60 Harris on Sportsbet. Might be time to strike

Hold a little longer, Biden got out to $5 in 2020.

 

[Willo_]

Very tempted to put money on Harris just for a cheeky gamble.

I did that last time when Biden got out to about $4, but all the talk leading up to it had been how Democrats were postal voting or early voting in huge numbers due to the pandemic, so i chucked a cheeky $20 on just figuring if it happened no harm.

as someone who never gambles, i was stoked to get $80 back or whatever it was I got for what seemed like a common sense bet to me haha