Game Day US Election Day Thread - Trump v Harris - Nov 6 Aus Time

[Chief]

AP Live Blog



More US Election streams: The Majority Report //

 

[Scythe94]

69% on NYT forecast now. Starting to look pretty grim

 

[Achy Blakey Heart]

Sprinkled a few bets around. Cash on Harris to win the popular vote at $1.40.

Bonus bets on Harris to win Wisconsin $2.2 and on Harris to get between 270 and 299 EC votes at $4.33

Just to make myself more interested.

Looks like Trump will win at the moment, but it looked like this in the previous elections. Michigan looks like it might be where Harris falls over, if not PA. Looks to me like Wisconsin is Harris, but I'm not looking deep enough to know why the odds are the way they are.

I’m wondering if that’s the case. See my earlier comment above

 

[Blue1980]

I’m sure at exactly the same time in 2020 we were all hand wringing the Dems had blown it.

Give it another couple of hours at least.

 

[boncer34]

Election counts this early are useless. Some places have less than 20% counted, barely tens of thousands of votes counted yet the media calls it early. Its all a race to be the first to call it. Half of them change overnight. Happened in 2020.

We know who will win in a majority of states before the first vote is counted. That's the ones being called now and they won't change overnight.

 

[pjcrows]

So, the polling was good after all and there wasn't some phantom +5 "silent Harris" vote?

 

[Roobs321]

non-college Gen X white men swinging right looking at those abc stats

 

[HirdsTheWord]

65% now for Georgia. That's a tough path.

Georgia likely called for trump soon, NC not far behind

 

[Aristotle Pickett]

non-college Gen X white men swinging right looking at those abc stats

That's the racist bro vote

 

[CarnTheScray]

We know who will win in a majority of states before the first vote is counted. That's the ones being called now and they won't change overnight.

I haven't put in my 2000 votes yet either. Actually on my way to Pennsylvania right now.

 

[Achy Blakey Heart]

Incumbent Democrat governor in Vermont outed for a republican

 

[FlowersByIrene]

not without winning other battle ground states

if trump gets Georgia and NC - could be over

Would only need 19 more votes from Michigan (15), Nevada (6), Wisconsin (10), Arizona (11) or Pennsylvania (19).

Virginia or New Mexico also important if they go red.

 

[Hank Scorpion]

So, the polling was good after all and there wasn't some phantom +5 "silent Harris" vote?

And Selzer wrong (unless IA has completely decoupled from the rest of the country)

 

[tigland]

We know who will win in a majority of states before the first vote is counted. That's the ones being called now and they won't change overnight.

yeah it looked like the starting point was 226 to 217 or something like that. That's why it comes down to 5 or 6 states

 

[Satan]

gwinett county georgia 322,000 votes delayed being counted

 

[Dixie Flatline]

NBC still sticking with Georgia being too close to call. But now they're talking about the issues Harris faced during the campaign.

 

[Happy Mastenator]

Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania


That's where it will all be decided. Everything else is just noise.

 

[Ambrose Burnside]

Wild demographic trends

 

[JB1975]

One clear trend is that Harris is significantly underperforming in contrast to the 2020 Biden vote, and in other places Trump is well up on 2020.

Georgia remains interesting. Pennsylvania remains the key pillar.

Seems a lot of places resent losing the opportunity to vote for another white geriatric.

 

[boncer34]

Georgia likely called for trump soon, NC not far behind

Back down to 62%. Its still alive but its getting harder.

 

[Hawks1523]

 

[ep2018]

I wonder if the Rogan podcast appearance was huge for Trump.

 

[Blue1980]

We don’t any info on Arizona or Nevada yet do we?

 

[undefined]

This is agonising. Going to start needing some positive data soon if hope is to be retained

NC:

GA:

 

[joop]

Trump has gained support in nearly every demographic, wild.

 

[Hank Scorpion]

Even intra-state, some of the counts are confusing. Upstate is swinging Dem (presuming early vote,) but NYC is a reverse image.