Prediction Where will we finish in 2024

[Determinant]

3rd to 5th if we can get a return to form.
It's a wild year, no bankable games for anyone thiis year

 

[Giant Pete]

On form… 10th.

 

[Colonial]

Another top 8 finish and a win or two in the finals to be heartbroken in the qualifier.

 

[sydney_gws]

Depends on inuries.
We need some good luck, probably some bad luck for others in that area.

 

[MelbourneGWS]

Kingsley at least is very confident that we will be contending for the premiership.

This time last year at this same stage, our team was 6-8 and learning Kingsley’s system. Despite not playing well we will still be in the 8 by the end of this round, and already have two more wins than last year. Looking at the next 6 matches, only Carlton are above us on the ladder, so we could seriously boost our finals prospects- especially with Cogs, Perryman and Cummings available.

"But again, I'm really confident in the way that we played. I thought we fought hard, we've got some players to come back, who knows what's possible.

"We're certainly better placed this year than what we were last year and we were able to string a bit of a run together. I'm really confident in our people."

Giants confident of contending despite derby humbling, Swan lauded

Despite being well beaten in the Sydney derby, the Giants are confident they can contend in 2024

www.afl.com.au

 

[Land of the Giants]

Here's the run home:

Adelaide (AO)
Carlton (GS)
Richmond (MCG)
Gold Coast (GS)
Melbourne (MCG)
Hawthorn (MANUKA)
Brisbane (GABBA)
Fremantle (GS)
Bulldogs (BALLARAT)

Assuming we win our four remaining home games, plus one more away game, we should play finals.

But looking at the draw, you wouldn't put your house on it. That loss to the Hawks in Tasmania might prove very costly.

 

[GWS Goose]

Here's the run home:

Adelaide (AO)
Carlton (GS)
Richmond (MCG)
Gold Coast (GS)
Melbourne (MCG)
Hawthorn (MANUKA)
Brisbane (GABBA)
Fremantle (GS)
Bulldogs (BALLARAT)

Assuming we win our four remaining home games, plus one more away game, we should play finals.

But looking at the draw, you wouldn't put your house on it. That loss to the Hawks in Tasmania might prove very costly.

I'd like to think we'd beat Adelaide and Richmond away.
We'll very competitive in all the remaining games. I'd like to think we will win 5 (hopefully 6) and finish neatly in the finals

 

[MelbourneGWS]

With Round 16 finishing today, and two thirds of the Home and Away season over, we will unfortunately be 10th. This is the first time this season that we will finish a Round out of the top 8 spots.

With a 8-7 record, and with 8 games left, obviously we will not be minor premiers - this inaugural achievement will have to wait for next year!

Whilst we have not been playing well and are currently out of the top 8, the good news is that we are still only 1.5 wins away from third spot. The competition for the spots in the finals (other than the top two spots) are so close, that every game between the contending teams has a dramatic impact on the standings. If we had beaten Adelaide, we would have finished this round 5th.

Unfortunately only 1 (Richmond) of our remaining 8 games are against teams that are out of final contention. All the other teams will be very motivated when they play against us as they will all be pivotal “8 point games”.

Of the remaining games we probably need to win 5 of them to make the finals, and even 4 wins could be enough depending on %.

I see us getting to 5 wins - there are 3 games that we will go in as strong favourites, and if we win half of the “50-50” games we will make the finals. If we recapture our form of the latter half of the 2023 season, we could win more games and even get a top 4 double chance.

• Games we will win: Richmond (MCG)
• Games we “should” win: Gold Coast (GS); Hawthorn (Manuka)
• 50-50 games: Carlton (GS); Melbourne (MCG); Fremantle (GS); Bulldogs (Mars)
• Games we will probably lose: Brisbane (Gabba)

I still think we will make the finals - this time last year we had won one game less than now, and we finished 2023 with a 1 point loss in the Preliminary Final to the eventual Premiers.

 

[Giant Pete]

We are going to get pumped by Carlton. Cripps has the wood over Green every time they match up. Curnow and McKay will run amok without Taylor there.

 

[sydney_gws]

We are going to get pumped by Carlton. Cripps has the wood over Green every time they match up. Curnow and McKay will run amok without Taylor there.

Carlton are 45 points up now. Curnow only 4 possessions. Perhaps he is injured.

 

[Giant Strides]

I reckon we're done for 2024. Reverse of last year - started on fire, and finishing with a damp squib. I don't think we'll make finals from here.

 

[ClockworkOrange]

Missing the 8 will give Kingsley a license to effect a radical rolling rebuild.

And, based on our form collapse, I expect we will now miss.

IMO we’ve broadly been in a Premiership window from 2016 to 2023, but it’s now over as our foundation superstars approach the tail end of their careers.

So many wasted opportunities from 2016 to 2022, yet IMO Kingsley got closer in 2023 to a Flag than we did in 2016 (coaching tactically inept) and 2019 (cooked with one our classic injury lists and fatigue on GF day).

I do often wonder what may have happened in the Covid season when we hammered the Cats in Round 1 just before the apocalypse began. In a normal world, that may have been our year.o

The positive news is that IMO we’ve seen enough from Kingsley in 2023 to believe he’s the right coach to lead a rolling rebuild.

Looking ahead, I think the real question how do we ever finish Top 4?

Until we sort our regular season win rate we’re always behind the 8 ball.

Cal’s post-match interview this week a very difficult listen as he’s his usual honest self. Telling that he was wheeled out to the media this week.

Challenging times ahead, but Kingsley may be able to push us through to a new bright future.



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[Giant Pete]

The Ward, Cogs, Greene and maybe even Whitfield era looks to be coming to an end.
They helped to embed us in the competition and make us a fairly consistent top 8 team. Ultimately, they could never quite get to the pinnacle.

Importantly, Caruso looks to be doing a good job with some guys in the twos who could make good additions to a young team.

 

[GWS Goose]

The Ward, Cogs, Greene and maybe even Whitfield era looks to be coming to an end.
They helped to embed us in the competition and make us a fairly consistent top 8 team. Ultimately, they could never quite get to the pinnacle.

Importantly, Caruso looks to be doing a good job with some guys in the twos who could make good additions to a young team.

Caruso is amazing.
He is terrific with mid/late picks.
Every draft, excluding the covid impacted draft, you'd have to say he has come out with a really good call haul from the picks.