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AFLW 2024 - Round 6 - Chat, game threads, injury lists, team lineups and more.
Why don't you tell me then.You still haven't answered my question.
Probability of Carlton missing the finals, and rationale behind it?
Oh, so you turn it around like that?Why don't you tell me then.
Feel free to educate me.
GO ON.
Enough is enough with your BS on this topic - put up or shut up.
Oh, so you turn it around like that?
I have consistently indicated the use of betting agency odds are (generally) a reasonable indicator, and can (generally) be used to estimate the probability of an event based on the data available at that point in time.
In the case of Carlton missing the finals, if their quoted odds are $1.01, then that can be converted to a 1% to 2% (to account for margin) probability.
You've consistently scoffed at that rationale, without offering an alternate approach.
So....with rationale:
Probability of Carlton missing the finals?
Probability of Carlton making top 4?
Probability of Carlton winning the flag?
Cripps Brownlow.
Curnow Coleman.
Go.
odd i havent been tagged by blues supporter itt this week. wheels are about to come off by the looks of it.
i suspect we will refer to the back end of 2024 as 'the chastening of lygon street'. as if that club needed it after the last 2 decades of mediocrity.
Out of the eight, out of the eight, out of the eight, out of the eight, out of the eight, out of the eight, out of the eight, out of the eight, out of the eight!Oh, so you turn it around like that?
I have consistently indicated the use of betting agency odds are (generally) a reasonable indicator, and can (generally) be used to estimate the probability of an event based on the data available at that point in time.
In the case of Carlton missing the finals, if their quoted odds are $1.01, then that can be converted to a 1% to 2% (to account for margin) probability.
You've consistently scoffed at that rationale, without offering an alternate approach.
So....with rationale:
Probability of Carlton missing the finals?
Probability of Carlton making top 4?
Probability of Carlton winning the flag?
Cripps Brownlow.
Curnow Coleman.
Go.
You crapped the bed against the Pies in the grand final last year.odd i havent been tagged by blues supporter itt this week. wheels are about to come off by the looks of it.
i suspect we will refer to the back end of 2024 as 'the chastening of lygon street'. as if that club needed it after the last 2 decades of mediocrity.
I love how you think this is some sad insult.Out of the eight, out of the eight, out of the eight, out of the eight, out of the eight, out of the eight, out of the eight, out of the eight, out of the eight!
No Pies flag for you in 2024 i'm afraid!
We have won more than a miserable three flags in sixty six years though.I love how you think this is some sad insult.
There may not be a 2024 flag for us (though the season isn't finished yet)
There is a 2023 flag for us though.
But from a Carlton POV.
No flag in 2023, 2022, 2021, 2020, 2019, 2018, 2017, 2016, 2015, 2014, 2013,2012, 2011, 2010, ect,ect,ect (the list goes on and on)
Win something first my friend, then talk about flags.
'Since 2003' - immediately after they'd won 3 flags in a row.You crapped the bed against the Pies in the grand final last year.
You've been pretty mediocre yourselves since 2003 as well!
You've got it wrong - they won the June 2024 Premiership (or was it the participation trophy they won?)I love how you think this is some sad insult.
There may not be a 2024 flag for us (though the season isn't finished yet)
There is a 2023 flag for us though.
But from a Carlton POV.
No flag in 2023, 2022, 2021, 2020, 2019, 2018, 2017, 2016, 2015, 2014, 2013,2012, 2011, 2010, ect,ect,ect (the list goes on and on)
Win something first my friend, then talk about flags.
66 years!! Weird number to pluck out but it must suit your narrative.We have won more than a miserable three flags in sixty six years though.
Yep the Pies fans are blathering away about spoons again!66 years!! Weird number to pluck out but it must suit your narrative.
I will keep it relevant.
How many flags this century for Carlton? Zero (yep ZERO)
You do however have 5 wooden spoons in that time.
Maybe but most people will tell you, that there is only one game you want to win.Yep the Pies fans are blathering away about spoons again!
You might win two games for the rest of the year if you're lucky!
Come back to us when you have 17 flags sunshine.Maybe but most people will tell you, that there is only one game you want to win.
It is called the GF!!!
We won that one game the last time it was played.
Try and at least get to one, then come talk to me.
Obviously one of those wins will be against Carlton; who is the other team you think we'll beat?Yep the Pies fans are blathering away about spoons again!
You might win two games for the rest of the year if you're lucky!
I wonder how many of the Carlton posters are young upstarts whose experience following Carlton is 5 spoons and zero flags?Maybe but most people will tell you, that there is only one game you want to win.
It is called the GF!!!
We won that one game the last time it was played.
Try and at least get to one, then come talk to me.
Home Plate Lady posted a video of GOATcos’ highlights on Friday night…(Clearly the first one)
Fancy trying to come up with a term to rival "the colliwobbles" - a term first coined by Lou Richards wasn't it ?I wonder how many of the Carlton posters are young upstarts whose experience following Carlton is 5 spoons and zero flags?
No wonder they're making hay whilst the sun is shining... but beware the Blueshakes!
More Bagger cherry pickingYou crapped the bed against the Pies in the grand final last year.
You've been pretty mediocre yourselves since 2003 as well!
You'll beat Richmond and possibly the Hawks as well if they have an off day!Obviously one of those wins will be against Carlton; who is the other team you think we'll beat?