Who will win the Brownlow?

[McDonalds]

Often the favourite with the bookies is not necessarily the correct choice. Judd and Goodes last year were top two with Pendles close behind. Sure enough Dane Swan won it! I'll go with Jobe, but I'm not overly confident!

 

[Super Hans]

Sam Mitchell for me.

 

[DVD Player]

Swan. Gets 40 touches a week and if he doesn't he'll get 37 and 2 goals. Gun.

 

[tigers_of_old_08]

My Current Brownlow Medal Standings (Round 16) ​

1. Scott Thompson (ADEL) - 28 votes​

2. Jobe Watson (ESS) - 20 votes​

=3. Lance Franklin (HAW), Scott Pendlebury (COLL), Matthew Boyd (WBD) - 18 votes​

=6. Dane Swan (COLL), Gary Ablett (GCS) - 17 votes ​

=8. Joel Selwood (GEEL), Brent Stanton (ESS), Sam Mitchell (HAW) - 16 votes ​

​

well so I say. ​

​

This has spurred me into putting on a $50 bet on Scott Thompson ($5.50)/Lance Franklin($2) double! ​

Like you, I'm liking Jobe & Thompson but in that order. And Ablett for a place too.

 

[BlueBagged]

Chris judd, providing he only gets a warning for this bizarre Adams incident, which really is all he deserves

 

[TotalEnmity]

I tried adding up all the votes so far and I ended up with Cotchin in the lead on 19.

 

[pessimiser]

Chris judd, providing he only gets a warning for this bizarre Adams incident, which really is all he deserves

pigs arse, no chance, he'll get 4-6 weeks

 

[BlueBagged]

would love to sdee judd get most votes this year, to see the

pigs arse, no chance, he'll get 4-6 weeks

He deserves to get the most votes, but as we all know the Umps hate him, theyre out to get him

 

[Roughies Boys]

Ryan Schoenmakers?

 

[Axle17]

Judd

 

[bunsen burner]

McCrotchin
Buddy for Coleman
Pies for flag
Bulldogs for NRL
Lorenzo for GP
Fanning for ASP

Pays about $2000.

 

[Cory]

Dayne Beams.

 

[scaryness]

Any of these:
Jobe Watson
Dane Swan
Scott Thompson
Scott Pendlebury (if he can make up for missed games)
Gary Ablett (ditto)
Matt Priddis
Josh Kennedy (very fast start could get enough 1's or 2's to hang on)

Smokeys:
Trent Cotchin
Dayne Beams
Kieren Jack (unlikely but he is storming home right now)

 

[juzzo]

Dayne Beams.

Massive show for a top 5 finish.

 

[pacman]

Sam Mitchell for me.

Would have 6 votes in the last 2 weeks, $17 is a nice price.

 

[slimdusty4]

FWIW i think jobe deserves to be favorite, and is my pick.
i think scott thompson will come second.
and if the coaches have a clue, trent cotchin comes third, at this stage.
has to be up there, top five minimum at this stage me thinks.

 

[slimdusty4]

Would have 6 votes in the last 2 weeks, $17 is a nice price.

delicious price, tab is obviously waiting for him to 'ineligible-ize' himself.

 

[windyhill]

Have backed Stanton/Watson to win plenty, obviously Pendles has missed a fair chunk. Scott Thompson the very big danger, very consistent high quality footballer. Jobe just.

 

[pacman]

delicious price, tab is obviously waiting for him to 'ineligible-ize' himself.

After only seeing about half the Tigers games what is your call on Deledio? from what I've seen kicks goals silky skills.

 

[jonbe54]

Massive show for a top 5 finish.

Should be a dark horse for a high finish, might even give the Copeland a big shake - huge improver, plays in the pivot, inside and outside player, finishes off with goals and plays clean. Should draw votes away from Swanny and Penders this year.

 

[Doss]

Should be a dark horse for a high finish, might even give the Copeland a big shake - huge improver, plays in the pivot, inside and outside player, finishes off with goals and plays clean. Should draw votes away from Swanny and Penders this year.

Sidebottom will also draw quite a few votes away from Swan and Pendles, you would think.

 

[jonbe54]

Sidebottom will also draw quite a few votes away from Swan and Pendles, you would think.

Especially early in the season, was sensational but he appears to be tapering off last couple of weeks whilst Beamsy is holding form and output. No way a Pies player can win this year we have had a few injuries costing likely front runners out of the game for weeks plus those that replaced them have performed wonderfully well and taken votes.

 

[DangerSloane]

Just did my own analysis which doesnt give 3-2-1 but instead judges by stats, best players, game reports and most importantly game influence. I determine how many votes each player would get ON AVERAGE per round (given a bunch of different people doing the votes). So for example say Collingwood smash GWS by 150 points. There are 5-6 players in contention for best player so even though Pendlebury might have had 35 touches and kicked 4 he would only get say 2.6 or 2.4 given the off chance that the umpires saw Swan's game as better and give him the 3 and Pendlebury the 2. This obviously doesnt take into account games where the umps totally miss the mark (Like that famous Andrew McLeod one back in the mid 2000s).

After analysing 4 players (Pendlebury, Thompson, Mitchell and Watson) over 16 rounds, I have Thompson and Watson tied on 20.6, Pendlebury on 16.4 and Mitchell on 15.2.

Interestingly Mitchell scored 'points' in almost every game however a number of times ive assumed that he "could pinch a vote" giving him a score of 0.4 or 0.6 etc.

Now I know you say "well this is based on your opinion", but i have also used a number of sources to obtain data and done my best to not be biased towards players I like. I havent taken into account players that poll better than others because all 4 of these players poll very well and hence why they are the favourites.

 

[JimmyDE]

D swan J Watson or plugger35

 

[Jobe Watson]

D swan J Watson or plugger35

Abuses the umps too much to recieve votes, like Goddard and previously Chapman.