2011 Emirates Melbourne Cup......nominations

[catters078]

Got an early gut feel for Precedence..

Bart Horse, (Barts main horse this year) so you would assume experienced Arnold goes on it..

Its a year older and stronger, proven it can stay the 3200 by going from almost last at the turn last year to finish 8th in the heavy even though i think the dry suits it (ordinary ride from the jockey who was a replacement after an earlier fall). So nothing went right for it last year.

I put 20 on it at 41-1..always a risk betting 6 weeks before a race, but meh if it runs and is in good nic, could be a popular pick.

I dont expect much from it in the underwood, but I think an early guide of its form and condition could be the turnbull.

 

[GoodesStuff]

Hasn't proven it can run the 3200 at all.

Not a genuine stayer IMO.

 

[GoodesStuff]

I have backed Manighar @ 251.00

 

[Stockdale]

Precedence is a huge hope. No doubt whatsoever he will run the distance out very strongly and another year under his belt he will be extremely hard to beat.

 

[Vince Masuka]

Got an early gut feel for Precedence..

Bart Horse, (Barts main horse this year) so you would assume experienced Arnold goes on it..

Its a year older and stronger, proven it can stay the 3200 by going from almost last at the turn last year to finish 8th in the heavy even though i think the dry suits it (ordinary ride from the jockey who was a replacement after an earlier fall). So nothing went right for it last year.

I put 20 on it at 41-1..always a risk betting 6 weeks before a race, but meh if it runs and is in good nic, could be a popular pick.

I dont expect much from it in the underwood, but I think an early guide of its form and condition could be the turnbull.

Not sure the last time Arnold rode at 53.5, but I would guess he would struggle.

 

[catters078]

Not sure the last time Arnold rode at 53.5, but I would guess he would struggle.

Interesting point, maybe Boss? If Luke Nolan doesn't have a ride he's shown he can get to a low rate and ride a brilliant race.

 

[Stockdale]

Interesting point, maybe Boss? If Luke Nolan doesn't have a ride he's shown he can get to a low rate and ride a brilliant race.

I would be surprised if Nolan didnt have a ride. If Americain doesnt come will the weights get raised?

 

[Rooster Cogburn]

I would be surprised if Nolan didnt have a ride. If Americain doesnt come will the weights get raised?

If the top weight doesn't race, then yep weights will be adjusted.

 

[GoodesStuff]

Precedence is a huge hope. No doubt whatsoever he will run the distance out very strongly and another year under his belt he will be extremely hard to beat.

I still think it is best suited over 2000m-2400m.

 

[CranktheAnchors]

I have backed Manighar @ 251.00

Obviously that price is no longer available. Where and when did you get that price?

I've backed it for Caulf at 41s and Melb at 51s

 

[GoodesStuff]

Obviously that price is no longer available. Where and when did you get that price?

I've backed it for Caulf at 41s and Melb at 51s

Yesterday at sportsbet.

 

[sethlad]

On top of the MLD news,big developments with a couple of the internationals

Owners of Americain have bought half of Jukebox Jury so pencil him in.

Modun has been purchased by Godolphin & looks likely (no wonder Moroney couldnt afford it).....$201 gone but still $126 available @ Sportingbet which massively increases the chances of their other two Cavalryman & Lost In The Moment arriving.

Dangerous Midge wont be coming,no shock there

seth

 

[CranktheAnchors]

Yesterday at sportsbet.

I backed manighar on the 5th of September at 51's on Sportsbet. Today it is still 51's.

I guess with an internet forum i will say you have gotten good odds sir and that your donk is bigger than mine...

 

[GoodesStuff]

Are you talking about sportsbet.com.au ?

That's where I got the 251s

 

[CranktheAnchors]

Are you talking about sportsbet.com.au ?

That's where I got the 251s

Yes that's the one.

You may have a very nice anomaly.

 

[FFB1]

Yes that's the one.

You may have a very nice anomaly.

Never been traded for more than $150 on betfair.

Clear anomaly...

 

[sethlad]

QUOTE=catters078;Got an early gut feel for Precedence..

He's the local Im grappling with.

Last year was a total rush to get him in the race & ran as well as he could on an unsuitable track,
this year he'll have the JB Cummings slow build up prep.
Looks a completely different horse too,now a typical late maturing Zabeel.
Not hopeless in the CC on the way either

seth

 

[54Dogs]

Looking forward to watching Scarlett Lady in action today. Saw it live up in Qld through the carnival and shapes as a perfect Cups horse. Love MacDonald as a hoop

 

[PieBeast]

Must admit I've been out of the loop for awhile but I'm on the Precedence bandwagon too, he definitely wasn't ready last year. Also getting a good feel about At First Sight.
Hoping both run well today.

Interested in people's thoughts on Absolutely...

 

[sethlad]

Absolutely more a C Cup horse for me

All of Lloyd's imports are going the right way.....AFS included.

seth

 

[PieBeast]

Cheers seth

Precedence slightly disappointing, didn't finish it off but way too early to write him off.

How good was AFS though? Bigger track will suit to a tee.

 

[iluvparis]

Very good run AFS - Lloyds are absolutely on fire this spring.

 

[Ricketts]

He's the local Im grappling with.

Last year was a total rush to get him in the race & ran as well as he could on an unsuitable track,
this year he'll have the JB Cummings slow build up prep.
Looks a completely different horse too,now a typical late maturing Zabeel.
Not hopeless in the CC on the way either

seth

I don't think he stays...?
Could do a Viewed and be a big player in the Caulfield Cup like you say, on the way to the Melbourne Cup.

 

[Lockyer24]

Cheers seth

Precedence slightly disappointing, didn't finish it off but way too early to write him off.

How good was AFS though? Bigger track will suit to a tee.

Just saw the replay on the tv for the first time

Shamrocker ride terrible but battling now you would have to say

Midas Touch & At First Sight looking fantastic!

 

[catters078]

really impressed by AFS on saturday.

With Precedence, like I said in my earlier post, i didnt expect much in the underwood. I will be watching intently in the turnbull. I think precedence is a Flemington horse with the 2000m and the slightly longer straight will suit it.

If it runs a good turnbull i think it will firm in the melbouren cup betting.

What was everyones thoughts on Lion Tamer, does anyone think it will run in the cox?

Moonee valley can be a leaders track and LT usaully likes to lead, even though it won a sligthly different way saturday. With a short straight lion tamer might be suited to that type of run. But hard to tell.

Thoughts?