AFL 2021 Brownlow Medal (any results after no posting is automatic card)

[balmainforever]

 

[NonPhixion]

whoever asked for the Melb + GC to poll more than Port + Ess and vice-versa
i love you.

 

[kicksome]

can hugh greenwood

1

Hugh Greenwood

Age

32

Ht

190cm

Wt

92kg

Pos.

Mid

Career

Season

Last 5

D

16.9

4star

K

8.8

3star

HB

8.1

5star

M

2.3

2star

T

6.8

5star

CL

4.6

5star

D

17.4

4star

K

10.4

4star

HB

7.0

4star

M

1.5

2star

T

8.9

5star

CL

5.6

5star

D

16.4

4star

K

8.6

4star

HB

7.8

5star

M

2.2

3star

T

7.6

5star

CL

4.4

5star

bob up again without touk miller

11

Touk Miller

Age

28

Ht

178cm

Wt

84kg

Pos.

Mid

Career

Season

Last 5

D

21.7

5star

K

9.5

4star

HB

12.3

5star

M

3.7

4star

T

5.4

5star

CL

4.2

5star

D

22.0

5star

K

11.4

4star

HB

10.6

5star

M

2.9

3star

T

4.8

5star

CL

4.1

5star

D

17.8

5star

K

5.8

3star

HB

12.0

5star

M

3.0

3star

T

3.8

5star

CL

3.0

5star

? some only have noah anderson

15

Noah Anderson

Age

23

Ht

192cm

Wt

88kg

Pos.

Mid

Career

Season

Last 5

D

12.0

3star

K

6.0

2star

HB

6.0

4star

M

2.0

2star

T

0.0

1star

CL

0.0

1star

D

12.0

3star

K

6.0

2star

HB

6.0

3star

M

2.0

2star

T

0.0

1star

CL

0.0

1star

D

12.0

3star

K

6.0

3star

HB

6.0

4star

M

2.0

3star

T

0.0

1star

CL

0.0

1star

on 5 votes

 

[Gift]

THere was a game last year where Riccardi from the Giants kicked many goals on debut.............i thought was a decent bet but didnt land the 3.

Umps probably didnt even know his name so couldnt write it down on the votes card

 

[The_Steadier]

can hugh greenwood bob up again without touk miller? some only have noah anderson on 5 votes

If hugh greenwood is the answer then you are most definitely asking the wrong question

 

[frank99]

can hugh greenwood bob up again without touk miller? some only have noah anderson on 5 votes

Possible, he did miss a large chunk of games but realistically 2nd place at the Sun's probably isn't going to be a high number of votes so he's a decent chance

 

[Michael Scarn]

It would be on the 7plus app presumably

I think it's usually locked out of 7plus like the actual AFL matches - could be wrong

 

[LIONS15v]

View attachment 1239768View attachment 1239769

I really hope Walsh isn't involved in any ties for a Top 10 spot.. would decrease the payout for a lot of multis out there

 

[Pereya]

can hugh greenwood bob up again without touk miller? some only have noah anderson on 5 votes

He definitely can IMO.

 

[Pereya]

I think it's usually locked out of 7plus like the actual AFL matches - could be wrong

Yep, it's bullshit. Can't watch it on the internet at all. I just spent the last hour making an antenna. Ridiculous.

 

[The_Steadier]

I think it's usually locked out of 7plus like the actual AFL matches - could be wrong

How to watch the Brownlow Medal: AFL awards live stream, TV guide

It's time to award the 2021 Brownlow Medal. Here's everything you need to know 👇

www.zerohanger.com

Zerohanger saying on the app

Also fyi- actual count to start at 7.30eastern

 

[You Beauty!]

Good luck everyone. Kudos to those that spent 100s of hours creating counts. Hope you guys are rewarded tonight. I used to do the same and really enjoy Brownlow night. It’s an exciting event to bet on for the high rewards on bets like Team votes. There will be no doubt disappointed people tonight, but also some very happy. All the best



It will be interesting to see if the umps lean more towards Petracca after his strong 2020, more so than Oliver. Feel there might be a story there. Bont has that star factor that can’t be ignored & he will poll very well in my opinion. Is very open this year. Should be a great count. Enjoy it Boys

 

[HTPunter]

This is a myth. He has Petracca and Gawn early in the season. Wines has Boak and Amon at times. Bont has Macrae, Baz Smith/Libba a few times, Bruce in games he kicked big bags and Dunkley/Treloar early season

More that Bont & Wines are standout 3s in more games, Oliver was more often "one of the best".

Competition isn't that Bruce will poll 3 in a game where Bont isn't expected to poll, it's that Petracca and Gawn could steal the 3 in games that Oliver is tipped to poll it.

 

[frank99]

He could do a Matt Rowell and poll a 3 on debut.

THere was a game last year where Riccardi from the Giants kicked many goals on debut.............i thought was a decent bet but didnt land the 3.

At $12-$13...its worth a go for sure...........good luck

i wouldnt want to be backing anything in single digits though.

From memory Koschitzke also kicked a number of goals at the opposite end.

He did , kicked 6 and the Hawks won, even if it doesn't go to one of the midfielders he is a huge chance. Was a pretty crazy game with momentum swings and a big come back, will be interesting to see how it plays out, fingers crossed !

 

[dontlimitme]

anyone else already started drinking?

 

[frank99]

Good luck everyone. Kudos to those that spent 100s of hours creating counts. Hope you guys are rewarded tonight. I used to do the same and really enjoy Brownlow night. It’s an exciting event to bet on for the high rewards on bets like Team votes. There will be no doubt disappointed people tonight, but also some very happy. All the best



It will be interesting to see if the umps lean more towards Petracca after his strong 2020, more so than Oliver. Feel there might be a story there. Bont has that star factor that can’t be ignored & he will poll very well in my opinion. Is very open this year. Should be a great count. Enjoy it Boys

I agree, any one of the top 5 are massively in play. Petracca could easily win tonight if he is consistently favoured v Oliver

 

[The_Steadier]

More that Bont & Wines are standout 3s in more games, Oliver was more often "one of the best".

Competition isn't that Bruce will poll 3 in a game where Bont isn't expected to poll, it's that Petracca and Gawn could steal the 3 in games that Oliver is tipped to poll it.

Yeah that's my rationale.

It (teammates pinching votes factor) wouldn't be a major influence usually, but because it is likely a close one this year- it could be decisive.

If only my saints had won a couple more games, I'd be all over the man of steele like a cheap suit.... ain't no mates stealing his votes tonight.

 

[LIONS15v]

took 5 or so minutes working through their sh*t site to get a 20legger up, then denied, honestly why do they troll us..

bluebet as well... useless

 

[Fitzey]

For what its worth, here's my count. Really looking forward to tonight. There's every chance Wines and Trac poll a lot better than what I've got them at, and that could impact Oliver and Boak. I think Clarry does enough to win though.

Players Club	Player Name	Total Votes
Melbourne	Clayton Oliver	35
St Kilda	Jack Steele	32
Western Bulldogs	Marcus Bontempelli	32
Essendon	Darcy Parish	28
Port Adelaide	Ollie Wines	28
Port Adelaide	Travis Boak	25
Carlton	Sam Walsh	23
Hawthorn	Tom Mitchell	23
Melbourne	Christian Petracca	23
Sydney	Luke Parker	23
Essendon	Zach Merrett	22
Fremantle	David Mundy	21
Gold Coast	Touk Miller	20
Adelaide	Rory Laird	19
Brisbane	Jarryd Lyons	19
Sydney	Callum Mills	19
Brisbane	Dayne Zorko	18
Brisbane	Hugh McCluggage	18
Western Bulldogs	Jack Macrae	18
GWS	Josh Kelly	17

 

[HTPunter]

Yeah that's my rationale.

It (teammates pinching votes factor) wouldn't be a major influence usually, but because it is likely a close one this year- it could be decisive.

If only my saints had won a couple more games, I'd be all over the man of steele like a cheap suit.... ain't no mates stealing his votes tonight.

The umpires perspective on Oliver decides my count. At the moment I have Steele 1st on 29, Oliver 2nd on 28, but Oliver has by far the biggest range for me. I think I have him 25 to 34. If he goes 25, then I expect Petracca to just fall into the top 3, if he goes 34 it's all over and he's the runaway winner.

 

[LIONS15v]

anyone else already started drinking?

good idea.. i was gonna start after 6.. might start a couple of hours earlier

 

[HTPunter]

Comparing the odds of SB/LB/B365/PB for 3 vote games to the players given the clear 3 by Betfair

Round	Player	SB	Ladbrokes	Bet365	PB
1​	D.Martin	$1.03​	$1.05​	$1.04​	$1.04​
1​	B.Smith	$1.07​	$1.16​	$1.12​	$1.15​
1​	T.Walker	$1.10​	$1.20​	$1.16​	$1.15​
1​	C.Mills	$1.05​	$1.07​	$1.05​	$1.07​
1​	T.Boak	$1.07​	$1.08​	$1.07​	$1.08​
2​	Z.Butters	$1.30​	$1.25​	$1.20​	$1.11​
2​	N.Anderson	$1.45​	$1.50​	$1.45​	$1.40​
2​	M.Bontempelli	$1.10​	$1.20​	$1.20​	$1.30​
2​	A.Brayshaw	$1.87​	$1.95​	$1.95​	$1.80​

From the looks of that, Ladbrokes probably the place to go for rollovers. If anyone has a bot that could enter the data though for 23 rounds that'd be even better!

 

[the_big_sav]

ive got a multi with tab that i can cash out with tex as adelaide winner w/o laird. do i cash it out at say round 20 before keays polls in the last round? ive got dusty guthrie kelly parker lyons bont oliver boak as the other legs

 

[dontlimitme]

Comparing the odds of SB/LB/B365/PB for 3 vote games to the players given the clear 3 by Betfair

Round	Player	SB	Ladbrokes	Bet365	PB
1​	D.Martin	$1.03​	$1.05​	$1.04​	$1.04​
1​	B.Smith	$1.07​	$1.16​	$1.12​	$1.15​
1​	T.Walker	$1.10​	$1.20​	$1.16​	$1.15​
1​	C.Mills	$1.05​	$1.07​	$1.05​	$1.07​
1​	T.Boak	$1.07​	$1.08​	$1.07​	$1.08​
2​	Z.Butters	$1.30​	$1.25​	$1.20​	$1.11​
2​	N.Anderson	$1.45​	$1.50​	$1.45​	$1.40​
2​	M.Bontempelli	$1.10​	$1.20​	$1.20​	$1.30​
2​	A.Brayshaw	$1.87​	$1.95​	$1.95​	$1.80​

From the looks of that, Ladbrokes probably the place to go for rollovers. If anyone has a bot that could enter the data though for 23 rounds that'd be even better!

can multi up to 10 rounds on topsport!

 

[botswana42]

can multi up to 10 rounds on topsport!

yeah agreed, never done a rollover before, and imo probably not worth the effort to call up, when we can just multi. Thanks TopSport!

 

[frank99]

ive got a multi with tab that i can cash out with tex as adelaide winner w/o laird. do i cash it out at say round 20 before keays polls in the last round? ive got dusty guthrie kelly parker lyons bont oliver boak as the other legs

You could hedge with a punt on Keays. I actually think seedsman could surprise also.