Strategy 2024 Midprice Madness

[A Bit Dusty]

Well it's that time of year where all of us that love a Midpricer get to take on the Guns N Rookies Coaches.

There will be the old argument as to what price the midpricers are for me I think after Top rookie price around $205k - $450k
Any player over $450k you really should be looking as a premo keeper for the season unless they get injured.

There seems to plenty this year that have caught my eye so far that could be good cash cows under $300k:

Zac Williams $216k
Charlie Comben $227k
Jack Billings

14

Jack Billings

Age

29

Ht

185cm

Wt

81kg

Pos.

M/F

Career

Season

Last 5

D

21.3

5star

K

11.5

4star

HB

9.8

5star

M

5.1

5star

T

2.9

4star

CL

1.3

3star

D

19.7

5star

K

11.7

5star

HB

8.0

4star

M

4.7

4star

T

2.9

4star

CL

2.3

4star

D

13.8

4star

K

9.2

4star

HB

4.6

4star

M

5.2

5star

T

1.6

4star

CL

0.0

1star

$244k
James Harmes

22

James Harmes

Age

29

Ht

186cm

Wt

86kg

Pos.

M/F

Career

Season

Last 5

D

19.4

5star

K

9.4

4star

HB

10.0

5star

M

3.1

3star

T

4.1

5star

CL

2.4

4star

D

16.3

4star

K

7.4

3star

HB

8.9

4star

M

2.9

3star

T

1.6

3star

CL

1.9

4star

D

10.6

3star

K

5.2

2star

HB

5.4

4star

M

1.6

2star

T

1.8

4star

CL

0.2

2star

$258k
Heath Chapman $252k
Nat Fyfe $283k
Tom Lynch $287k
James Jordan $275k

 

[Makeshift Park]

Well it's that time of year where all of us that love a Midpricer get to take on the Guns N Rookies Coaches.

There will be the old argument as to what price the midpricers are for me I think after Top rookie price around $205k - $450k
Any player over $450k you really should be looking as a premo keeper for the season unless they get injured.

There seems to plenty this year that have caught my eye so far that could be good cash cows under $300k:

Zac Williams $216k
Charlie Comben $227k
Jack Billings $244k
James Harmes $258k
Heath Chapman $252k
Nat Fyfe $283k
Tom Lynch $287k
James Jordan $275k

Under that definition, I’m currently rolling with 7.

Owens 445
Wardlaw 365

Phillipou 287
Xerri 407

Lynch 287
Williams 216
Comben 227

My hypothesis is that the first two will be keepers, and the next two will be traded at their byes (granted, there is also a decent chance Phillipou will be worth keeping beyond then if he gets dpp as f7/m9).

The last three will be pumped and dumped as soon as they’ve made enough cash.

 

[jdstorm]

True midprice madness is in the 350k -500k range

It’s about those POD breakout players who no one else wants to touch but you believe are premos and you can go 15+ premos deep to start the season by trying to guess a breakout

 

[MacStradbroke]

Under that definition, I’m currently rolling with 7.

Owens 445
Wardlaw 365

Phillipou 287
Xerri 407

Lynch 287
Williams 216
Comben 227

My hypothesis is that the first two will be keepers, and the next two will be traded at their byes (granted, there is also a decent chance Phillipou will be worth keeping beyond then if he gets dpp as f7/m9).

The last three will be pumped and dumped as soon as they’ve made enough cash.

Wardlaw keeper? Ballsy early prediction.

The kid is a gun, but is a still a kid and has some very tight strings on him.

 

[Makeshift Park]

Wardlaw keeper? Gutsy early prediction. The kid is a gun, but is a still a kid and has some very tight strings on him.

He’s a freak mate. As you say, the main qualification at this point is his durability. All the training reports have been unanimous that he’s been in consistent outstanding form this PS.

 

[TheArchitect]

Reuben Ginbey really tempting me. Reckon he makes $100K+

 

[Hawkboy62]

Barrass is my p.o.d. midpricer. Hopefully the ball still gets in to the Eagles back line regularly.

At the moment have two of Lunch/ Harmes/ Jordon plus Williams. Billings could replace any of the first three.

Big preseason watch on Chapman. Averaged 75.9 in a flaky fashion over 14 games in 2022 and priced at 46. That year he had no set position. In his fourth year Young's back line position has now become vacant.

 

[King_Steele]

Barrass is my p.o.d. midpricer. Hopefully the ball still gets in to the Eagles back line regularly.

At the moment have two of Lunch/ Harmes/ Jordon plus Williams. Billings could replace any of the first three.

Big preseason watch on Chapman. Averaged 75.9 in a flaky fashion over 14 games in 2022 and priced at 46. That year he had no set position. In his fourth year Young's back line position has now become vacant.

Chapman apparently training with the mids to play wing vacated by Henry

 

[Cactus_]

Lynch
Chapman
Williams

Likely starters for me if they get through the preseason

Not big on the rest but might do a bit more research

 

[King_Steele]

Lynch
Chapman
Williams

Likely starters for me if they get through the preseason

Not big on the rest but might do a bit more research

Billings for me. Reckon he goes 85+

 

[rocker_oz33]

Billings for me. Reckon he goes 85+

Who sp spot and where does he fit in at the Dees..
Watch list

 

[kenneyswarriors]

True midprice madness is in the 350k -500k range

It’s about those POD breakout players who no one else wants to touch but you believe are premos and you can go 15+ premos deep to start the season by trying to guess a breakout

Much better definition, means I only have 2, not the 9 under Dusty's criteria.

 

[Shinboner1]

 

[Duckworthy]

Does a sub $600k rule mean midprice madness?

 

[rocker_oz33]

Does a sub $600k rule mean midprice madness?

View attachment 1883771

You gone full ken Bruce

 

[SELFCONFESDAFLNERD]

Does a sub $600k rule mean midprice madness?

View attachment 1883771

I like it. Im not a fan of every pick but i think if you are willing to be bold enough to go against the grain like you have, all i have to say is kudos.

 

[Jaymin]

 

[Maybe Tomorrow]

$493k, similar price to Amon. Risky pick. Could work IF the role holds and he gets DPP.

You wouldn't want either stuck in your mid's all year averaging 85 if they get moved back to the wing.

 

[Northernsoul74]

I was very interested in him until team picker opened. I assumed he’d have F/M dpp but as a mid only?

 

[Duckworthy]

I'd be very surprised if Martin played off hbf. Maybe he was training there to try and add some defensive mindset to his wing/mid role

 

[King_Steele]

I'd be very surprised if Martin played off hbf. Maybe he was training there to try and add some defensive mindset to his wing/mid role

Beautiful kick I can see it personally

 

[Seymour Skinner]

I'd be very surprised if Martin played off hbf. Maybe he was training there to try and add some defensive mindset to his wing/mid role

Seems most likely.
While he had a good season offensively, there was some stat floating around about him conceding the most disposals to opposition wingers.

 

[Lolaser]

One thing to consider with MPM this year is that the main benefit is the scoring boost you get in the early season through players 13-22. As four of the first six rounds have best 18, this effect will be reduced as guns and rookies teams without a lot of R0 players will be able to loop to get 22-25 scores to get a best 18 from.

My view is this will weaken the strategy and I'm pretty firm on a GnR structure with 1-3 mid-pricers (Williams, Lynch, Fisher, Amon, M Crouch etc). This allows you to restructure to get the key mid-pricers after R2 still so you don't miss the best value picks, however, avoids a lot of the risk associated with MPM.

Still love the fun of the structure, but worth considering that it may not have the potential that it does in other seasons.

 

[A Bit Dusty]

One thing to consider with MPM this year is that the main benefit is the scoring boost you get in the early season through players 13-22. As four of the first six rounds have best 18, this effect will be reduced as guns and rookies teams without a lot of R0 players will be able to loop to get 22-25 scores to get a best 18 from.

My view is this will weaken the strategy and I'm pretty firm on a GnR structure with 1-3 mid-pricers (Williams, Lynch, Fisher, Amon, M Crouch etc). This allows you to restructure to get the key mid-pricers after R2 still so you don't miss the best value picks, however, avoids a lot of the risk associated with MPM.

Still love the fun of the structure, but worth considering that it may not have the potential that it does in other seasons.

This can only work if the Rookies are scoring well and not under 50 and also it's best 18 so MPM might be an advantage. Also your theory of trading in Midpricers after R2 means either trading out premos to get them or starting with lots of cash in the bank.
Starting with Midpricers if they are a bust are an easy downgrade to a rookie who might have been missed or possibly trading a couple 1 up and 1 down.

 

[Duckworthy]

Seems most likely.
While he had a good season offensively, there was some stat floating around about him conceding the most disposals to opposition wingers.

Either way, he's had one training session kicking balls off hb. Hardly anything to get excited about at this stage