Lawson Humphries is 21 years old. He’s not even remotely comparable to Jack Delean.
FWIW with late picks drafting players more like Humphries than Delean should be our priority. We do well when we draft mature agers late in the National Draft (beyond pick 45). Only really Walker has worked from the 18 year olds since 2016. Mature ager wise we’ve drafted Ryan, Meek, Switkowski, Jones, Schultz, Bewley, Frederick and Wagner in that period (and Emmett too except earlier than Pick 45).
Sorry. Missed the 18 year old part of your argument because all I was saying is anyone past pick 20 will have done very well to play in what is hopefully a contending side. Obviously there will be examples but there’s no science behind it.
So pick 30 to pick 50? It’s really much of a muchness.
No harm in the mature agers, but you kind of know what you’ll get. I love me a Tendai Mzungu type like everyone, but clubs love a gamble and the 18 year old are simply that. The top 10 you hope just give you better odds.