You appear to be basing that on the assumption that afl compensation rules have a skerrick of logic in them. Let me put your mind at rest about that, they don't. After the Franklin and Frawley farces where the compo picks were respectively too little and too much the afl will be loath to give any pick that is higher than start of second round, whatever contract is offered them.
That was to do with ladder position. Both were band one compos. As I said, older players got paid less than what it would take to get pittard and got 2nd round or higher.