Competitions AFC97981015 Goal Kicking Game II

[Macjoe]

We're back!

...
Rule Changes

Latecomers
If you miss seeing the thread this week and don't enter a selection for the Carlton game you can enter the competition for our next match (Hawthorn). However you will have to choose two goal kickers in that game.

If you still haven't entered by the Hawthorn game though then you cannot enter. This week, the bye, the whole next week... if you really haven't spotted the thread by then it's probably not meant to be.

...
Pick a goal kicker

What a magnificent rule change

I'll have Tex and Jenkins, please.

 

[Danger Zone]

Gonna go with Jenkins after the bye.

 

[billy fragos]

Lynch vs the Hawks.

 

[Allefgib]

leeroy jenkins please

 

[OldCrowBloke]

ill laugh if you go left field every single pick and win

That really would be hilarious!!
I am just determined to try out the new buy-back rule.

 

[Glenno23]

Charlie Cameron

 

[Scorpus]

In the last game, you would have won had you gone this left field strategy:

Laird, Van Berlo, Brown, Henderson, Thompson, Jacobs, Grigg, Dangerfield, Ellis-Yolmen

So it is possible

 

[Scorpus]

You also would have lost very early had you chosen our top goal scorers (at this point) in order:

Betts, Walker, Jenkins, Lynch

 

[Drugs Are Bad Mackay?]

Nice research

I've also been meaning to do a hit list of which player knocks out the most tipsters. I suspect it's Dangerfield.

 

[Scorpus]

Nice research

I've also been meaning to do a hit list of which player knocks out the most tipsters. I suspect it's Dangerfield.

• Dangerfield: 17
• Sloane: 15
  
• No Selection: 11
• Wright: 8
  
• Lynch: 7
• Douglas: 7
• Smith: 6
• M. Crouch: 3
  
• CEY: 2
• Van Berlo: 2
• Lyons: 2
• Henderson: 2
• Mackay: 2
• Grigg: 2
• Cameron: 2
  
• Jacobs: 2
  
• Talia: 1
  
• Thompson: 1

 

[Drugs Are Bad Mackay?]

Gun

While I'm creating work for other people, as a percentage of times picked would also be interesting

 

[Scorpus]

Gun

While I'm creating work for other people, as a percentage of times picked would also be interesting

Goal Kicking Game II Form Guide

Selections and Elimination Percentages

• Dangerfield: 52 selections total - 32% knockout rate
  
• Betts: 51 - 0%
  
• Walker: 47 - 0%
• Lynch: 46 - 15%
• Jenkins: 31 - 0%
• Sloane: 23 - 65%
• Cameron: 19 - 11%
  
• Douglas: 16 - 44%
• Smith: 13 - 46%
  
• Wright: 9 - 89%
• Van Berlo: 4 - 50%
  
• Jacobs: 4 - 50%
  
• Grigg: 4 - 50%
  
• Lyons: 3 - 67%
  
• M. Crouch: 3 - 100%
  
• Ellis-Yolmen: 2 - 100%
• Mackay: 2 - 100%
• Thompson: 2 - 50%
• Talia: 1 - 100%
• Henderson: 1 - 100%

Immunity Cards and Percentages

• Sloane: 6 - 26%
• Betts: 22 - 43%

Immunity Cards Lost by Selecting

• Dangerfield: 12
• Lynch: 3
• Smith: 2
• Sloane: 2
• Douglas: 4
• Wright: 2
• Jacobs: 2
• Lyons: 1
• Thompson: 1
• Grigg: 1
• No selection: 1

Knock Outs by Selecting

• Dangerfield: 17
• Sloane: 15
• No Selection: 11
• Wright: 8
• Lynch: 7
• Douglas: 7
• Smith: 6
• M. Crouch: 3
• CEY: 2
• Van Berlo: 2
• Lyons: 2
• Henderson: 2
• Mackay: 2
• Grigg: 2
• Cameron: 2
• Jacobs: 2
• Talia: 1
• Thompson: 1

So the safe bets in the game are Betts, Jenkins and Walker who didn't kick anyone out last game. Cameron and Lynch also good bets.

Betts is the best bet as he removed no-one and gave immunity cards to nearly half of those who selected him

Bad bets are Wright, Sloane, Smith and Douglas of the players selected more than 5 times.

Sloane is interesting because he kicked out people 65% of the time, but 26% of the time gave people immunity cards.

Dangerfield knocked out 32% of people who selected him, and removed the immunity card of 23% of those who selected him. Not a particularly safe bet if you don't have an immunity card - if no one had immunity cards he would have knocked out 55% of those who selected him.

Players not selected who kicked goals this year:

• Laird: 1 goal
• Brown: 1

Players not selected who kicked goals last year:

• Podsiadly: 26 goals (no games this year)
  
• Kerridge: 10
  
• B. Crouch: 9 (no games this year)
• Martin: 8
  
• Jaensch: 7
• Laird: 2
• Brown: 1

Players from 2015 sorted by goal averages:

• Betts: 3.2
• Walker: 2.6
  
• Jenkins: 2.0
  
• Lynch: 1.5
  
• Dangerfield: 1.2
  
• Cameron: 1.0
• Grigg: 0.5
• Thompson: 0.5
  
• Sloane: 0.4
  
• Smith: 0.4
  
• Ellis-Yolmen: 0.4
  
• Jacobs: 0.3
  
• Douglas: 0.2
  
• Van Berlo: 0.2
  
• Henderson: 0.2
  
• Mackay: 0.1
• Laird: 0.1
• Wright: 0.1

Players from 2014 sorted by goal averages:

• Betts: 2.3
• Walker: 2.3
  
• Jenkins: 2.0
  
• Cameron: 1.3
• Podsiadly: 1.2
  
• Lynch: 0.9
  
• Dangerfield: 0.8
  
• Grigg: 0.7
  
• Kerridge: 0.7
  
• Lyons: 0.7
  
• Douglas: 0.6
  
• Mackay: 0.6
  
• Sloane: 0.6
  
• Wright: 0.7
  
• B. Crouch: 0.5
• Martin: 0.5
  
• Smith: 0.5
  
• M. Crouch: 0.4
• Jacobs: 0.3
• Jaensch: 0.3
• Thompson: 0.2
  
• Laird: 0.1

 

[Drugs Are Bad Mackay?]

Brilliant!

Like having our own form guide to pore over

 

[Scorpus]

Yeah that can be a form guide for people. Might help some people make their next selection

 

[Jars458]

Betts for the Hawks game please.

 

[Vessel]

Josh Jumping Jenkins

 

[OldCrowBloke]

I'll take a chance this week and go with no one. Crows to be goalless this week vs The bye.

Did you ever see the video of PAP losing to the bye?
Hillarious!

 

[Doombs]

Rory Sloane to celebrate his re-signing with the first goal against Hawks.

Good signs early

 

[Danoz]

Rory Sloane to celebrate his re-signing with the first goal against Hawks.

Salient

 

[Danoz]

RORY!!! (Sloane, is my pick)

 

[BrissyCrow]

Cameron for me please.

 

[George 13]

JJ please

 

[Hendersloane]

Jenkins

 

[Hinkstuff]

J. Jenkins please.

 

[Drugs Are Bad Mackay?]

Round 12 Selections
1 dude316 - Jenkins (Walker)
1 anthc - Jenkins (Betts)
1 hank93 - Jenkins (Cameron)
1 chigwidden - Jenkins (Betts)
1 Scorpus - Jenkins (Betts)
2 Crow-eater - Jenkins (Lynch)
1 Danger Zone - Jenkins (Dangerfield)
1 Allefgib - Jenkins (Betts)
2 Vessel - Jenkins (Lynch)
1 George 13 - Jenkins (Walker)
1 Hinkstuff - Jenkins (Dangerfield)
1 Hendersloane - Jenkins (Walker)
1 SugarShane - Jenkins (Betts)
1 Billie - Jenkins (Betts)
1 Daniel1812 - Jenkins (Betts)
2 alex_is_on_fire - Jenkins (Lynch)
1 Redleg Crow - Jenkins (Betts)

2 hendo8888 - Cameron (Lynch)
1 skippy231 - Cameron (Betts)
2 DD#23 - Cameron (Lynch)
1 Glenno23 - Cameron (Betts)
1 BrissyCrow - Cameron (Walker)
1 Drugs Are Bad Mackay? - Cameron (Betts)
5 Mr MysteryGuest - Cameron (Jenkins)
1 CrowinNT - Cameron (Betts)
2 Mattrox - Cameron (Lynch)
2 azza77 - Cameron (Lynch)
1 Dirty Bird - Cameron (Walker)

1 FyfeToAdelaide - Betts (Walker)
1 Bacon8 - Betts (van Berlo)
1 jenny61_99 - Betts (Cameron)
1 WAG - Betts (Walker)
1 Pilchard_Adams - Betts (Walker) (Jenkins for Brisbane game)
1 huludicidal - Betts (Walker)
2 robboaustralia - Betts (Lynch)
2 Jars458 - Betts (Lynch)
1 fabs33 - Betts (Cameron)
1 Pea Nut - Betts (Walker)

1 thebeedee - Walker (Cameron)
1 Schulzycrow - Walker (Betts)
1 1990crow - Walker (Cameron)
1 Donkey Magoo - Walker (Cameron)
5 Rusty Crow - Walker (Jenkins)
1 Godallblighty - Walker (Betts)
1 Crows Dynasty - Walker (Betts)

1 Crow Murder - Sloane (Walker)
1 Danoz - Sloane (Cameron)
5 Dewy006 - Sloane (Jenkins)
1 Red mist - Sloane (Cameron)

5 crowded house - Dangerfield (Jenkins)
5 Jcpdragonx - Dangerfield (Jenkins)
5 croweater 41 - Dangerfield (Jenkins)
2 Kane McGoodwin - Dangerfield (Lynch)

1 Ravin Crow - Lynch (Walker)
1 billy fragos - Lynch (Dangerfield)
1 weekend at bernies - Lynch (Cameron)
1 AdelaideFan14 - Lynch (Jacobs)

1 Crouch - Smith (Walker)
1 Elite Crow - Smith (Cameron)

1 OldCrowBloke - van Berlo (Wright)

Forgotten - given player with lowest number
1 BundyJack - Jenkins (Betts)
1 Mr_Smooth - Jenkins (Walker)
1 Jinglebells32 - Jenkins (Walker)
5 whattagun07 - Thompson (Jenkins)
5 cm_perfect - Thompson (Jenkins)
5 ZedCrow - Thompson (Jenkins)

Buying Back In
0 FR0GGY - Betts and Cameron (Smith)
0 Infra Ted - Sloane and Dangerfield (Grigg)
0 Golumless - Smith and Sloane (Grigg)
0 AFC979810 - Walker and Cameron (Mackay)
0 radiojake - Jacobs and Laird (Ellis-Yolmen)
0 Doc_ - Douglas and Jenkins (Smith)
0 Samcro24 - Sloane and Walker (Thompson)
0 FantasticShirt - Sloane and Douglas (Sloane)
0 TexFactor - Walker and Betts (Grigg)

Forgotten - given players with lowest numbers
0 Paladin - Jenkins and Thompson (Sloane)

Latecomers
Dean1 - Betts and Jenkins
JP Sauce - Wright and Walker
Macjoe - Walker and Jenkins
hey shorty - Sloane and Wright
1970crow - Betts and Lynch