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probably talking to libertarians, so its more #onlymylifeandfreedomsmatter
They abandoned all these plans for back of the envelope calculations that didn’t even get near to happening. Remember Neil Ferguson’s terribly inaccurate model?The Australian Health Sector Emergency Response Plan for Novel Coronavirus published in February 2020 goes into a little more detail on severity levels than the pandemic plan I mentioned earlier.
Low severity is compared to severe seasonal influenza or the 2009 influenza A(H1N1) pandemic. High severity is compared to 1918 H1N1 ‘Spanish flu’. Perhaps there's a case for Moderate severity.
People in at-risk groups may experience severe illness. As the number of cases grows the number of people presenting for medical care is likely to be higher than for severe seasonal influenza and primary care and hospital services will be under severe pressure, particularly in areas associated with respiratory illness and acute care.
But somewhere along the line the considered plans were thrown out of the window. Even if the severity was assessed as Spanish flu level the measures went way beyond anything outlined in the plan.
20 million is an estimate that counts deaths from health services not delivered. Not a true estimate of the number of deaths directly from covid.
It’s impossible to tell whether people would have died because a covid patient was taking a hospital bed, an obese person was, or that lockdowns meant they were less likely to get an early diagnosis for a curable disease. You can’t disentangle that. The only way to measure it is direct deaths.How does that make it any less deadly for those people that died?
Like... why the * does the distinction matter? But for COVID swamping hospitals and denying those people adequate care, they wouldnt have freaking died.
It’s impossible to tell whether people would have died because a covid patient was taking y a hospital bed, an obese person was, or that lockdowns meant they were less likely to get an early diagnosis for a curable disease. You can’t disentangle that. The only way to measure it is direct deaths.
How do you know?It's really not that difficult to understand. Because of COVID there was an additional 20 million excess deaths. Now we have returned to the norm.
Of course had we done absolutely nothing in terms of quarantining and lockdowns then that number would have easily tripled.
i think you missed the sark. Of course they should be doing it. But I have very low expectations of what government does
Hence the statement "concentrate on only a few things at a time"
It’s impossible to tell whether people would have died because a covid patient was taking a hospital bed, an obese person was, or that lockdowns meant they were less likely to get an early diagnosis for a curable disease. You can’t disentangle that. The only way to measure it is direct deaths.
That is truly idiotic.A. There was a flood
B. I dropped a nuke on the flood
C. Afterwards I counted the number of dead
Those dead were a result of the flood. Had I not dropped a nuclear bomb on the flood, who knows how many would have died.
A. There was a flood
B. I dropped a nuke on the flood
C. Afterwards I counted the number of dead
Those dead were a result of the flood. Had I not dropped a nuclear bomb on the flood, who knows how many would have died.
You made up that inference yourself, in order to threaten the poster with your Mod powers. Poor form, but not surprising.Youre blaming lockdowns and vaccine policies (the nuke) for the huge numbers of excess deaths, notwithstanding overwhelming scientific consensus that it was unrecorded COVID deaths that did it?
Im this close with you in this incarnation.
What inference do you think the poster meant to be drawn from his blatantly false analogy?You made up that inference yourself, in order to threaten the poster with your Mod powers. Poor form, but not surprising.
Other countries may have returned to the norm but Australia hasn't. 12% excess deaths in 2022.It's really not that difficult to understand. Because of COVID there was an additional 20 million excess deaths. Now we have returned to the norm.
Of course had we done absolutely nothing in terms of quarantining and lockdowns then that number would have easily tripled.
Our pandemic response.What inference do you think the poster meant to be drawn from his blatantly false analogy?
You made up that inference yourself.
Our pandemic response.
How do you know?
Really? Where in the post you quoted from royale with cheese were vaccine policies mentioned?No I didnt.
Really? Where in the post you quoted from royale with cheese were vaccine policies mentioned?
Of course had we done absolutely nothing in terms of quarantining and lockdowns then that number would have easily tripled.
How do you know?
That's supposition.
Australia had a well considered and reviewed Health Management Plan for Pandemic Influenza. It was first developed in 2005 and updated in 2014. The Australian Health Sector Emergency Response Plan for Novel Coronavirus published in February 2020 goes into more detail on severity levels. High severity is compared to 1918 H1N1 ‘Spanish flu’. Covid wasn't anywhere near as bad as Spanish flu but the measures imposed went way beyond anything outlined in the plan.
The plans talk about 'proportionate response'. A response that is appropriate to the level of impact the pandemic is likely to have on the community, and minimising social disruption.
There's nothing in the plans about curfews, 1 hour limits on being outside the house, 5km movement limits, only 4 reasons to leave the home, police checkpoints between metro and regional areas, travel across state borders not allowed, our international border closed, public housing complexes locked up, schools closed, weddings not permitted.
That's why I would like to see a Royal Commission on our response to the pandemic. Why we didn't follow our plans. What impacts did the measures have on our society, not just in terms of Covid but cancer diagnosis, education, mental health, human rights, businesses closing.