List Mgmt. Contract, Trade and Draft Discussions - 2024 Post Season

Whose future picks would you have preferred?


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Trade period
In:
12, F1, F2, F3, 73, Baker, Owies, Graham*
Out: 3, 63, F4, Barrass, Darling

*Free agent

Done deals

  • Jai Culley, Alex Witherden and Coby Burgiel delisted






  • Zane Trew, Jamaine Jones and Jordyn Baker delisted

 
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I know a lot of the SSP talk is rightly around a key defender (DGB, Clurey) and midfield depth (Carroll) but surely we’d at least look at a mature age ruckman?

We have Bailey Williams, Flynn (injury prone), Jamieson (key defender) and Barnett (not ready).
 

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So lining up the Cal's guide and here is the current order

View attachment 2150205

Firstly, I have excluded the club tied prospects as they will not be available.

My expectation is that there will be significant variances in the club board orders. That said, the clustering will vary but not greatly.

At 12 - a cluster of Travaglia, Allan, Lindsay, Hynes and Berry (Go Home Hotton is a no as is multiple concussion Trainor)

At 26 - Oliver, Gross, Hannaford, Moraes, or a choice of talls (Mraz, Ough, Barrat, Sims, Gerreyn)

Cal spoke about the 2025 picks being devalued at the moment and us and Bomber will be struggling to buy in at a reasonable price. Point noted.

For those wanting us to buy in at the pointy end, I suspect our F1 is only likely to buy 10 or 11. IMHO, Rodrigues is a better option that Travaglia or Allan, so it feels a waste of that sort of pick
The Hawks F1 will only likely buy pick 19, 20 or 21 if we are lucky. We might even need to add something to it. Not seeing too much of a must have at that range.

As an aside, how tempting would it me for Giants to go the Whitlock twins at 15 and 16. Murray Bushranger lads so not likely to be drawn to Melbourne.
Moraes was quite highly regarded coming into the season and has steadily fallen down the order right? As a wing type player how would he compare to Davis?

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So lining up the Cal's guide and here is the current order

View attachment 2150205

Firstly, I have excluded the club tied prospects as they will not be available.

My expectation is that there will be significant variances in the club board orders. That said, the clustering will vary but not greatly.

At 12 - a cluster of Travaglia, Allan, Lindsay, Hynes and Berry (Go Home Hotton is a no as is multiple concussion Trainor)

At 26 - Oliver, Gross, Hannaford, Moraes, or a choice of talls (Mraz, Ough, Barrat, Sims, Gerreyn)

Cal spoke about the 2025 picks being devalued at the moment and us and Bomber will be struggling to buy in at a reasonable price. Point noted.

For those wanting us to buy in at the pointy end, I suspect our F1 is only likely to buy 10 or 11. IMHO, Rodrigues is a better option that Travaglia or Allan, so it feels a waste of that sort of pick
The Hawks F1 will only likely buy pick 19, 20 or 21 if we are lucky. We might even need to add something to it. Not seeing too much of a must have at that range.

As an aside, how tempting would it me for Giants to go the Whitlock twins at 15 and 16. Murray Bushranger lads so not likely to be drawn to Melbourne.

Seems certain that O’Sullivan, Smith, Draper, Lalor, Langford and Smillie will be gone by our pick

Ideally the other 5 taken will come from Reid, Armstrong, Trainor, Tauru, Hotton and (judging by the general sentiments here towards him) Allan.

That would leave one of that group plus Travaglia, Berry and Lindsay to choose from with Travaglia the most popular option

With Richmond and North sharing 5 picks between them we’re relying on them both wanting to go tall with at least 2 of those picks. And one or both of Saints and Melbourne taking a tall with one of their two picks each

Carlton and Adelaide will both take mids
 
I think Berry is a much bigger chance at 12 than we think. On ability alone 12 is not a reach and Mini wants to play footy in our attacking half.

The question for me really is can he primarily play midfield in the medium term? The forward line is not an area that needs urgent attention.

The Richmond style has many HFF pushing up around the ball .

Our connection between our mid and forwards has been poor for a long time .

Berry looks a beauty.
 
For those wanting us to buy in at the pointy end, I suspect our F1 is only likely to buy 10 or 11. IMHO, Rodrigues is a better option that Travaglia or Allan, so it feels a waste of that sort of pick
Whilst I do agree with your assessment that our future pick may only buy 8-11 range by itself (if we're lucky)
I don't think clubs look at a future prospect and compare to what they could get by trading back in.
I think that clubs (by and large) see trading back in using future picks as an opportunity to develop a player for an additional year and they consider this pretty invaluable (particularly for a rebuilding side).
 
Just an FYI Warner will only be a year younger than Kelly was when we traded for him

The team is obviously at different stages, but just a thought when we look at making the trade.
Yeah I wish we had kept pick 3 and drafted the best mid available and then the same next year with our probably top 3 pick instead of splitting and Warner



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My mate has been a passionate Eagles member for over 20 years he has decided not renew his membership next year as he is not happy with the direction the club is going, so i certantly wont be going on my own so i wont be maintaing my membership next year as well. I prefer it live but it looks like ill be watching it on the TV.

What isn’t he happy about? I am sure he wanted changes, changes happened. New everything pretty much.

Can’t wait to see if it works?

Imagine if we didn’t have Reid and traded those picks out….house would be burning down.
 

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Tsatas got taken at 5 in 2022. Can't kick. Duursma the year after,soft. Players like these get taken every year in the top 10.


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Sure, but it's gone from all the time, to rare. Go have a look at the Tsatas draft. There's me saying, "wouldn't take this kid with a top 10 pick". No one is taking Tom Scully these days with #1.
 
Carlton fans have cut a decent highlights package of him.

He's a bit of an odd unit. Strange gait. Penetrating kick. Doesn't seem slow for mine, which is also handy.

I like the idea personally, don't think there's much moneyball mid depth out there and Carroll still has plenty of upside.




If it came down to SSP signings and we only had room for 1 selection, i'd prefer Carroll > DGB > Clurey at this point.

Just feels like Carroll is more likely to make it and be more handy than the other two.

We're turning into the saints with all these moneyball acquisitions.

Baker, graham, hunt, flynn.

Potentially clurey, DGB, carroll
 
I'm good with Hotton if he's there. I doubt we take him, seems we have a thing for Bo Allen, but Hotton was looking the goods prior to the knee. Kids recover pretty well from ACL's these days.
 
Sure, but it's gone from all the time, to rare. Go have a look at the Tsatas draft. There's me saying, "wouldn't take this kid with a top 10 pick". No one is taking Tom Scully these days with #1.
Tom Scully was pretty good. Injuries didn't help, and playing for a terrible Melbourne, then a GWS club starting out.
 
If Richmond retain their first four picks (1,6,10,11) they’d be the best placed side to take the risk with Hotton at 10 or 11
 
How those 3 perform is irrelevant. The problem is giving away #3. Even if we the kid we draft at 12 is a gun, and the 2 or 3 kids at 3 are duds, it'll be a case of luck.

Oh come on

Not many go on about it as much as you, but most of us don't like the fact we traded 3.

But if it happens to work out for the best, nearly everyone will have to give credit to Clarke and the club.

Not you. It's just dumb luck and you're right regardless

Jeepers
 
Tom Scully was pretty good. Injuries didn't help, and playing for a terrible Melbourne, then a GWS club starting out.
He was a good player. The problem with guys like him is they find it hard to get going in bottom 4 teams. That's why you get ball winners if you are near the top of the draft. Scully types are for top 8 teams and teams who think they're on the way up. TK was dynamite for Geelong. Patchy with us when the midfield struggled to win contested ball.
 
No thanks, coming off injury and a flight risk...

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The injury is a concern, but seriously we just have to get over the flight risk concerns with first round draftees.

It is now a 3 year initial contract. 3 years is a significant chunk of time, and more so when you are only 18. Lots of young men grow up a lot between the ages of 17-23/24…

Obviously there are different levels of it, and if it is JHF levels of go home plus JHF personality then steer clear - but if they are just a bit immature (and the best fit for us) take the risk.


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He was a good player. The problem with guys like him is they find it hard to get going in bottom 4 teams. That's why you get ball winners if you are near the top of the draft. Scully types are for top 8 teams and teams who think they're on the way up. TK was dynamite for Geelong. Patchy with us when the midfield struggled to win contested ball.
Things might have been different for Melbourne if they'd taken Dusty at two instead of Trengove....

Having said that they probably just ruin Dusty's career as well.
 
Oh come on

Not many go on about it as much as you, but most of us don't like the fact we traded 3.

But if it happens to work out for the best, nearly everyone will have to give credit to Clarke and the club.

Not you. It's just dumb luck and you're right regardless

Jeepers
Ah, you don't understand hindsight.

Without the benefit of hindsight, some decisions are bad. Doesn't matter how they turn out, they're bad decisions.

example: The TK trade was a good decision at the time. If we had a time machine and went back there (meaning we go back to a place where we don't know what the future holds), most people are happy with it. Fast forward to when we realised we weren't in fact competing for a flag, it's a bad decision.

Unless someone has an amazing track record of beating the index, decisions need to be judged on what data was available at the time.

Bad outcome: Why did you make that decision? Oh, I see, that made sense at the time. It will be rare we lose again.
Good outcome: Great decision. Let's try it again. Why did I get a bad outcome?
 
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