Prediction Margin v Brisbane That Makes You Happy

[Mr MysteryGuest]

 

[cm_perfect]

Surely you jest? A 1 point win against a basket care that Port smashed at home would be a disaster.

Not only would we kiss goodbye a chance to finish top 4, our confidence would take a hit and we would have had to have played poorly because if we played well Brisbane wouldn't get near us.

I honestly don't get the logic of some supporters. Do you not want to finish top 4 and have a chance of winning the flag?

After dropping over 1 percent in the last 5 minutes against Essendon, anything but an annihilation against Brisbane would more than likely see us finish 5th and the end of the season, after promising so much, will finish with another let down.

We are not going to have a dream injury run like this again, we have to maximise our chances and that means being ruthless and smashing shit teams.

Take a breath EC, it was said in jest. Although, compared to a loss I would be happy with a 1 point win.

Of course the last 5 mins of the game against the EFC shit me, I know it cost us an easier path to the top 4 but it was still a good win minus our skip and lead ruckman.

That 5 mins is just the last in a lineup of games that got us here.

The Scats cost us an easier path to top 2 last week.

A combination of North, Hawks, Scats and #freekicks is what got us into this position.

Anyway, let's hope the 1% does not make the difference.

 

[Captain Morgan]

Geelong play Sunday afternoon

Do I have to spell it out ?

HOT TUB TIME MACHINE

But seriously, thanks I didn't realise !

 

[GreyCrow]

Do I have to spell it out ?

HOT TUB TIME MACHINE

But seriously, thanks I didn't realise !

Geelong are scheduled after us every game except when we play Freo 5 minutes after they play Richmond

 

[Grenville]

Honestly, I'm more interested in fine tuning our ball movement than the margin. I'd take a 10 goal win, where we get back to the fast, fluent, long kicking footy that we were building earlier in the year over a 15 goal win where we over handball like we did against Essendon.
Add winning the contested ball count in all 4 quarters to that, and I'll be satisfied.

 

[FR0GGY]

250pts +

 

[dogs105]

I think we should all try to be happy within ourselves, and not rely on a sporting team to make us happy.

 

[arrowman]

OK, stats time

Brisbane's losing margins this year:
average = 47
max = 94 (Port )
min = 3 (Sydney )
They have been beaten by 70+ 5 times out of 16 losses.

Against top 8 sides, their average is -50 and max -79. They have lost by 70+ only once out of 8 games (and by 60+ 3 times).

Regardless of what we "need" or want to get, my guess is that 70+ is the minimum.

 

[Simmo28]

There has been discontent on here about an 82 point win against Essendon that most see as disappointing. So much so some have likened it to a loss and are acting like it is a loss.

I am happy with 82 points. Sure we could have done better in the last 5 minutes. Once we reached 100 I wanted a 115 win. But looking back I think there is some fundamental issue that the coaching staff need to work on in regards to that. pjcrows posted a wonderful table showing how our lack of finish has hurt us in (about) 7-8 games. Simmo28 has suggested our structure and play was poor . I thought/think that the coaches and staff would be happy with how the game turned out after losing their number 1 ruck and switching a strong defender to the forward line. ( some would say the coaches weren't looking at % by doing this) Sure Brad Crouch could find a target by foot , sure David Mackay could tackle an ant without falling over , and spotting up Essendon players for end to end makes for hilarious viewing ( in 20 years time) but I think an 80+ win says something is working

So with all this in mind and if it disrespects Brisbane or their supporters apologies in advance but Brisbane are struggling big time.

The weather for Saturday night


Saturday 6 August
Summary

Min 6
Max 15
Cloudy.
Possible rainfall: 0 mm
Chance of any rain: 5%

Adelaide area
Cloudy. Light winds.

Given all that I would hope and want a similar margin ie 80+

I feel privileged to get a mention
The margin against Brisbane doesn't bother me just as the margin against Essendon didn't bother me. I just want to see us play footy that is going to stack up in finals. Playing all these lower teams could lead to bad habits such as bombing into 50 and players laying off the action a little knowing they may get some easy touches/scores. I don't want another honourable prelim loss.

Having said that Adelaide by 78




Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

 

[PCORF]

80 will increase the % to something like 137 or 138, the aim is to win every remaining game so we can finish in the top 4 and then best of luck next month.

 

[weekend at bernies]

Anything under 95 is unacceptable

 

[Rory Walkerfield]

Titus says 80 points:

http://www.heraldsun.com.au/news/vi...e/news-story/eface85972e7c8e0d2f8f82c62be0ddb

Adelaide v Brisbane (AO) 7.40pm

This will be a nice Saturday night out in Adelaide. Gather the quince paste, pack some fritz and wander down to the Oval to see a certain Crows victory.

Justin Leppitsch has taken everything he learnt at Richmond and implemented it in Brisbane, to stunning effect. He can’t claim all the credit though; the whole organisation has contributed to this 2-16 record.

Lucky for the Lions, the AFL is about to throw a heap of cash at them. That’s really all the AFL is, an insurance fund to bail out badly run clubs. Every supporter needs to remember that.

The Crows are so much better than the Lions that this is merely a percentage boosting opportunity. Anything less than an eighty-point victory is a loss.

 

[headache1]

The margin that moves us into the top 4.

 

[Rotayjay]

A hungie. Our mere 82-point win last week angered the Squiggle. Have to win bigger to get back on its good side.

 

[Alwaysacrow]

It's been interesting (but not surprising) that Pyke has seemed to play down the % boost opportunity with these last 2 games in the media. Hopefully that's just media spin and he's pushing for a demolition tomorrow.I think % will be the difference with us finishing 4th or 5th not points and of course we all know the difference with our flag chances of 4th vs 5th. We must be utterly ruthless for all 4 quarters.

 

[BRL121]

It's been interesting (but not surprising) that Pyke has seemed to play down the % boost opportunity with these last 2 games in the media. Hopefully that's just media spin and he's pushing for a demolition tomorrow.I think % will be the difference with us finishing 4th or 5th not points and of course we all know the difference with our flag chances of 4th vs 5th. We must be utterly ruthless for all 4 quarters.

It's not spin: most coaches are as one with him. However, it even more interesting that Geelong, through this week's spokesman, their new ruckman, is publicly saying that they're going for the jugular percentage-wise this week. This really puts the pressure on them, IMO, and has the possibility of backfiring badly.

 

[Alwaysacrow]

It's not spin: most coaches are as one with him. However, it even more interesting that Geelong, through this week's spokesman, their new ruckman, is publicly saying that they're going for the jugular percentage-wise this week. This really puts the pressure on them, IMO, and has the possibility of backfiring badly.

We can only hope. Geelong has had a tendency to drop games they should win or perhaps or not win by as much as they should. IIRC the Essendon match with them earlier in the year was a lot closer than it should've been you would think so hopefully Essendon can push them again but I'm not confident.

 

[skoobydoo]

I don't care what we win by, we need to make sure we keep them to the lowest score possible

Yep, that's what finals are all about.

 

[skoobydoo]

I feel privileged to get a mention
The margin against Brisbane doesn't bother me just as the margin against Essendon didn't bother me. I just want to see us play footy that is going to stack up in finals. Playing all these lower teams could lead to bad habits such as bombing into 50 and players laying off the action a little knowing they may get some easy touches/scores. I don't want another honourable prelim loss.

Having said that Adelaide by 78

This. How we demonstrate we have something for the finals is what I want.......naturally that presupposes a win!




Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

 

[WetCrow1991]

Destroy them around the ground and on the scoreboard. We need percentage so as high as possible, 100+ but at this time no amount is enough, we need to shoot for the stars! Also completely wreck them, Brisbane are rubbish and the garbage truck comes tomorrow! DESTROY THEM.

 

[SydCrow]

Put the boys on cash bonuses linked to our percentage.

 

[marvin]

Adelaide have played 596 games in the AFL. In 10 of them, they have won by 100+ points.

I want a shellacking as much as the next fan. However, anyone setting par at 100+'is saying that unless tomorrow night is in the top 2% of all time Crows wins, they'll be disappointed. That's a pretty high bar to happiness.




Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk

 

[Redleg Crow]

As with last weekend, it depends.

10 goals equals bare minimum - the geez, we won, but missed our chances.
Would take 80 points.
But if we're up 100 points at any point in the last quarter, then would like to see us play out the full game and stay at least that far ahead.

 

[ac83]

Adelaide have played 596 games in the AFL. In 10 of them, they have won by 100+ points.

I want a shellacking as much as the next fan. However, anyone setting par at 100+'is saying that unless tomorrow night is in the top 2% of all time Crows wins, they'll be disappointed. That's a pretty high bar to happiness.

Fair point. However, it's not often that all of these factors combine together: a) we're the highest scoring team in the league; b) playing against a team who has conceded the most points in the league; c) it's at Adelaide Oval; d) we're in a four way tie for 2nd place with percentage being crucial to our flag hopes.

I won't be upset if we win by 80 points, but to be genuinely happy with the result I think I'd need a 100+ win.

 

[The Sloane Ranger]

Reducing the lions score is critical in boosting our %