Racing Melbourne Cup 2020. * All race day discussion and Tips in here *(no aftertiming)

[balmainforever]

ANY AFTERTIMING WILL GET A CARD.

ANYONE BAGGING WHAT HAPPENED TO AVD GETS A CARD.

 

[iluvparis]

$7 favourite from barrier 23 with only 4 runs under it's belt.... pass for me. But good luck. If it drifts out past $10 I'd be interested but will need one hell of a ride from McEvoy.

Just remember folks, same people that are over-confident in here were the same ones saying Vow and Declare could not win last year.

You mean the same V&D that jumped from gate 21 and was able to win despite showing afterwards it is nowhere near up to them?

Yeah I wouldn't be relying on the opinion of anyone that had V&D on top last year either - those knocking it have been proven 100% correct in hindsight.

 

[iluvparis]

Thread probably jumped the shark if we are name dropping old duritz as an analyst to pick apart.

Luckily he has found the winner tho

Lol is Cam O'brien Duritz? Explains a lot

 

[iluvparis]

Is Warning an each way chance ?

I give it none.

 

[Jugada]

Lol is Cam O'brien Duritz? Explains a lot

Yup lol

 

[Better Loosen Up]

I've left the russian out of everything. Has absolutely none

 

[TBellicious]

Lol is Cam O'brien Duritz? Explains a lot

Told you Paris !

 

[TBellicious]

I've left the russian out of everything. Has absolutely none

Big call. Have seen some very respected analysts such as Dom Beirne talking him up. Excellent run in the Cox Plate

 

[Better Loosen Up]

Big call. Have seen some very respected analysts such as Dom Beirne talking him up. Excellent run in the Cox Plate

Who?

 

[FallingLiefs]

Big call. Have seen some very respected analysts such as Dom Beirne talking him up. Excellent run in the Cox Plate

Did I miss Dom Beirne's comments? Send them this way if you have. I'd trust his computer of which he bases large amounts of form off would rate the Cox Plate SP magnificently.

 

[iluvparis]

Big call. Have seen some very respected analysts such as Dom Beirne talking him up. Excellent run in the Cox Plate

Racing and sports also have him on top

 

[TBellicious]

Racing and sports also have him on top

Yep that was another I saw

 

[TBellicious]

Did I miss Dom Beirne's comments? Send them this way if you have. I'd trust his computer of which he bases large amounts of form off would rate the Cox Plate SP magnificently.

Damien Ratcliffe wrote an article with his thoughts. Thinks Cox a better form reference than CC unlike your good self

 

[Notorious_29]

You mean the same V&D that jumped from gate 21 and was able to win despite showing afterwards it is nowhere near up to them?

Yeah I wouldn't be relying on the opinion of anyone that had V&D on top last year either - those knocking it have been proven 100% correct in hindsight.

Those who said with certainty it couldn't win, were 100% correct in hindsight you reckon? Geez that's a hot take.

 

[FallingLiefs]

Damien Ratcliffe wrote an article with his thoughts. Thinks Cox a better form reference than CC unlike your good self

Yeah interesting read, sounds like it rated too well on the clock due to the clump of average horses chasing he's marked it back. I can see that. Personally due to stop start nature and the 2 good horses swooping hard I can trust that form for those 2 as for those behind them there are definite questions. The CP didn't have that feel about it, it looked genuine hard slog with plenty floundering late.

I don't think there's any doubt the 2 best horses in this race quinella'd the CC. Happy for other people to propose a counter argument how the CP is better that way, but the CP horses who would normally be top weights find themselves middle rung which makes it quite intriguing balancing the CP vs CC. In any other year if you get the CP winner and CP fave line up in the MC they'd be very short faves, given the price it seems the market is already taking on the CP this year.

 

[iluvparis]

Those who said with certainty it couldn't win, were 100% correct in hindsight you reckon? Geez that's a hot take.

More than happy to forgive 1 in 50 year races. Would so same for anyone that tippped POP

 

[Coach_Required]

I'm on the Russian, followed by Sir Dragonet & Verry Elleegant.

2 Roughies are The Chosen One & Miami Bound.

Giddy up.

 

[Jugada]

A: Baby, Tone, Moth, Dragon

B: Finche, Prince of Arran

C: Twilight Payment, MoR, Stratum

D: Camel, Verry Elleegant, Steel Prince, Warning, The Chosen One

E: Avilius, V&D, Ashrun, Persan, Miami Bound, KoL

F: Mustajeer, Dashing Willoughby, Etah James, Oceanex

 

[rideclutch]

I've left the russian out of everything. Has absolutely none

Why?

 

[Chism]

Ok i have done my usual roughie Trifecta which has never saluted EVER but what the heck and i am having a go early after having a nice collect today.

4/9/16/18/21 Boxed for a boosted 49%.

Don't ask me how i came up with the numbers as i just did regarding who i think can run a nice place at odds because i think Tiger Moth may just brain them IF he runs out 3200m.

 

[Jugada]

Why?

Middle of the road 2000m horse. Over races too much to get 2 miles and doesn't have the class to cover for it

 

[iluvparis]

Middle of the road 2000m horse. Over races too much to get 2 miles and doesn't have the class to cover for it

Interesting comment from the bloke whose top selection stands out like dogs balls as having a lack of class.

 

[puntking]

Middle of the road 2000m horse. Over races too much to get 2 miles and doesn't have the class to cover for it

Think is won over 2500m before

 

[Jugada]

Interesting comment from the bloke whose top selection stands out like dogs balls as having a lack of class.

Don't need that classic range class when you can get home like an Oakleigh Plater at the end of 2 miles

 

[rideclutch]

Middle of the road 2000m horse. Over races too much to get 2 miles and doesn't have the class to cover for it

I've been against him every run this prep saying he's not a WFA horse, but I'm hopping on now.

He's a stayer, with a beautiful prep for this. Does do things wrong (VE board) but disagree on the class factor.

 

[Jugada]

Think is won over 2500m before

Lol SA Derby