Oppo Camp Round 21 non-Pies games

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These tight finishes are good for us, No sides have increased their percentages even if they won. Apart from Richmond who do not matter anyway.
We want Adelaide to smash GWS here in Canberra.
On my way to the ground now to shine a laser in a few GWS forwards eyes.:D
 

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so amateurish that afl level teams cant ice the clock for a few minutes to protect a lead. id be filthy if our boys are not trained to a T to deal with such a situation
 
Go Swans. A close win to them today v Melbourne will be perfect. One that doesnt improve their percentage though!!!

We have a pretty safe percentage buffer over the Swans and can afford to be equal with them on points. We cant possibly catch Melbourne on percentage so need to stay a game ahead of them.
Melbourne have a very tough run home. Hawthorn is the team we are battling with for 4th
 

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Any chance we overtake them on percentage?
As it stands right now, we need to add 47 points to our score to go past them.

So, working roughly:
-We beat Port by 20, they beat St Kilda by 20
-They beat Sydney by 10, we would need to beat Freo by around 60

So it’s doable, but there’s a fair chance their winning margins are better than that - plus we play before them in round 23 so they’ll know exactly how many they need to win by.
 
Hawthorn vs Sydney in round 23 is massive. It’s annoying that we play before that game, as we won’t know how many points we need to “win by”.

Sydney would be lining up to beat Hawthorn. That’s the easiest game they have for the rest of the season. Plus, Buddy always plays well against his old team.
 
As it stands right now, we need to add 47 points to our score to go past them.

So, working roughly:
-We beat Port by 20, they beat St Kilda by 20
-They beat Sydney by 10, we would need to beat Freo by around 60

So it’s doable, but there’s a fair chance their winning margins are better than that - plus we play before them in round 23 so they’ll know exactly how many they need to win by.
I think it will be tough, especially with Saint Kilda next week as I can see that being a 50 point thumping. Really need them to drop a game. Alternatively, if Melbourne lose to Sydney today, it opens up to take over GWS in round 23 if Melbourne knock them off. All assuming we win the next 2 of course. Personally, I think if we win both games, there is a good chance that we will finish 4th. If the above happened and Hawthorn drop a game, we could still finish 3rd.
 
I think it will be tough, especially with Saint Kilda next week as I can see that being a 50 point thumping. Really need them to drop a game. Alternatively, if Melbourne lose to Sydney today, it opens up to take over GWS in round 23 if Melbourne knock them off. All assuming we win the next 2 of course. Personally, I think if we win both games, there is a good chance that we will finish 4th.
Agree. St Kilda have shown they are capable though; they played a great game against Melbourne not that long ago and were competitive against GWS away as well. They also put up a decent effort against the Hawks in Tassie early in the year. That may just be me hoping but we'll see.

Then there's also this chance: even if Melbourne win their next two, that means they will have beaten West Coast and we could potentially catch them if they also lose to Brisbane at the Gabba (not an gimme game by any stretch). We're currently 82 points behind WC on percentage so there's also a chance we catch them - it only requires modest 20-point results.

So yes if we win both our games there are plenty of avenues that allow us into 4th.
 
Agree. St Kilda have shown they are capable though; they played a great game against Melbourne not that long ago and were competitive against GWS away as well. They also put up a decent effort against the Hawks in Tassie early in the year. That may just be me hoping but we'll see.

Then there's also this chance: even if Melbourne win their next two, that means they will have beaten West Coast and we could potentially catch them if they also lose to Brisbane at the Gabba (not an gimme game by any stretch). We're currently 82 points behind WC on percentage so there's also a chance we catch them - it only requires modest 20-point results.

So yes if we win both our games there are plenty of avenues that allow us into 4th.
I think ideally, Sydney winning today would give them the confidence to beat either GWS or hawthorn, both of which would guarantee a top 4 finish if we win both games. Also knocks Melbourne out of the top 4 race.
 
Gee GWS are good, more injuries than us. Finally getting it together.

Will give the finals a push, if not us, hope it is them. Sad for Heath though. Collingwood curse reaching out?

When you have so Many 1st Rounders it helps a lot
 

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Oppo Camp Round 21 non-Pies games

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