Banter The No Dazzlering Big Cricket Thread

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Safa’s needed 148 to seal up a world test championship spot. Currently 8 for 116 needing 32 more. Classic saffas if they lose

Not sure if there’s a more damning indictment of how bad the Pakistani’s selection process has been over the years than the fact that Mohammad Abbas is playing in just his 22nd test at nearly 35 years old. Test average of 23, first class average below 21 including years of bowling on domestic roads in Pakistan, has had an average below 20 bowling for Hampshire in county cricket, but because he doesn’t bowl fast enough or something he’s been criminally underrated by the Pakistani selectors. Meanwhile they keep tossing opportunities to guys who bowl 10 km/h faster, but without any ability to swing the ball or consistently challenge batsmen by keeping the ball in the right areas.
 

South Africa have already qualified

India
Percent: 55.89, matches remaining: Aus (2 away)

For India to be sure of qualifying, they need to win both their remaining Tests in Melbourne and Sydney. Then they would finish on 60.53, which would be more than Australia's 57.02 even if they were to win their upcoming two-Test series 2-0 in Sri Lanka. Sri Lanka's points ceiling for this cycle is 53.85 - a tally they would end up with if they were to sweep Australia at home.

If India win one Test and draw the other, they'll finish on 57.02; in such a case, they could lose out on the second spot to Australia, who would finish on 58.77 if they were to also win both Tests in Sri Lanka. For India to qualify with 57.02, Australia would need to get no more than 16 points in Sri Lanka (a win and a draw).

A win and a defeat in Australia would put India on 55.26, which would leave them pinning their hopes on Sri Lanka beating Australia by at least a 1-0 margin.

Two draws would leave India on 53.51. Sri Lanka can go past that with a 2-0 win, while Australia would need at least one win in Sri Lanka to beat it.

If India draw a Test and lose the other they would finish on 51.75 and be out of the race; in such a case Australia would finish ahead of India even if they were to lose 2-0 in Sri Lanka.
Yashasvi Jaiswal, Virat Kohli and Rohit Sharma look on during India's disappointing first session, Australia vs India, 4th Test, Melbourne, 2nd day, December 27, 2024


Australia

Percent: 58.89, matches remaining: Ind (2 home Tests), SL (2 away)

If Australia were to win the Melbourne and Sydney Tests against India, they would be certain of qualifying for the WTC final - in such a case, they would finish on 57.02 even if they were to go on to lose 2-0 in Sri Lanka.

A win and a draw against India would leave them ahead of India even if they were to lose both Tests in Sri Lanka, but then Sri Lanka could go past Australia with a clean sweep.

If Australia were to win one and lose one against India, they would need at least one win in Sri Lanka to stay ahead in the race. The same applies if both Tests against India are drawn.

If they were to draw one and lose the other against India, they would need two wins in Sri Lanka.

Defeat in both Tests against India would push Australia out of contention.

Sri Lanka


Percent: 45.45, matches remaining: Aus (2 home)

The maximum Sri Lanka can finish on is 53.85, if they beat Australia 2-0. For that to be enough for a second-place finish, one of two scenarios have to play out in the remaining Border-Gavaskar Trophy Tests:

Both Melbourne and Sydney produce draws
Australia win one of the two home Tests, while the other is drawn

In any other scenario, either Australia or India will finish higher than 53.85 and knock Sri Lanka out.
 

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Kohli out - 7 wickets left, "One suspects India nearly gone" says the commentator?
Am I missing something, India bat Deep!

Batted 11 in Brisbane, but he came in as the nightwatchman this time around

So not sure where he will bat?
 

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