UK UK general election, July 4

[spinynorman]

Reports that Corbyn has held Islington North. Fingers crossed!

 

[Pakenhamsaint]

Tunbridge Wells could be a loss for thr Tories

 

[Gough]

Tunbridge Wells could be a loss for thr Tories

Colin Cowdrey spinning in his grave.

 

[Pakenhamsaint]

Count Binface is being interviewed on BBC 4/5

 

[Stokey]

Didn’t happen in Australia to either Labor or Libs with their leadership changes, no wipe out occurred.

Scomo won in 2019 too.

I think Uk different set of circumstances.

It's not compulsory for starters. Australia wouldn't see this volatility but there isn't much doubt there were swings against each party that changed leaders mid cycle. Rudd/Gillard/Rudd, Abbott/Turnbull.

 

[Hank Scorpion]

Harrogate and Knaresborough goes to the Lib Dems. 16% swing with Tory vote down 22%

Should start to fall quickly now.

 

[Pakenhamsaint]

Harrogate and Knaresborough goes to the Lib Dems. 16% swing with Tory vote down 22%

Should start to fall quickly now.

There's another seat in play as well that the exit poll didn't have being a Tory loss.

 

[Pakenhamsaint]

Tories get thier first but the trend is the same. Tory vote collapsing into Reform.

The conservative national party chairman's seat is tight from reports

 

[Ballarat Bob]

Rees Mogg reckons dumping Johnson was the problem

 

[Hank Scorpion]

Nuneaton, Darlington, Stroud all fallen within the last 10 minutes.

Chattering seems to be that the Tories will be on the lower side of the exit poll.

EDIT: Might be better for Tories at expense of Reform actually

 

[Ballarat Bob]

heck Lib Dems have overcome 21490 majority to boot education secretary Gillian Keegan in Chichester.

 

[Satan]

looks like protest vote to reform and lib dems parties destroying cons

 

[Pakenhamsaint]

Barnsley North is a Labour hold. This was one of the seats Reform we're targeting

 

[Hornberger]

LibDems take Eastleigh from the Tories.

 

[Pakenhamsaint]

Lib Dems are claiming victory in Tunbridge Wells.

 

[Hank Scorpion]

Tory vote overall seems to be better than the exit poll, but tactical voting is trashing them

Apart from 2 ultra-safe seats in Essex, they've lost everything else so far.

 

[Happy Mastenator]

So far 8 conservative held seats called. They’ve won one of them… Jesus this is going to be a bloodbath

 

[Cap]

So far 8 conservative held seats called. They’ve won one of them… Jesus this is going to be a bloodbath

I've been reliably told this is a reflection of voters disillusionment with both parties

 

[Hank Scorpion]

Leigh, Colchester, Vale of Glamorgan.

They're falling at a rate of one per minute now.

 

[Hornberger]

So far 8 conservative held seats called. They’ve won one of them… Jesus this is going to be a bloodbath

12 declared, 1 held

 

[Happy Mastenator]

I've been reliably told this is a reflection of voters disillusionment with both parties

It keeps getting worse. What happens first? They win 10 seats or lose 50?

 

[Forward Press]

Sir Robert Buckland, Tory who just lost his seat:

"I'm fed up with performance art politics. I've watched colleagues in the Conservative Party strike poses, write inflammatory op eds, and say stupid things they have no evidence for instead of concentrating on doing the job they were elected to do. I've had enough of it.

"I want the Conservative Party to get back to the ethos of doing stuff well and being competent and not pretending to please the media.

"If we can get back to that, then I think we have more than a fighting chance at the next election, but we need to do it quickly and we need to wake up now."

"I expect more from colleagues. And I also expect colleagues in senior office to get a grip of their brief and their portfolio and understand politics is about hard choices and doing the detail," Sir Robert said.

"It's not about left and right. It's about those who want to come into politics to do things, rather than to be somebody.

"I'm fed up of personal agendas and jockeying for position, the truth is now — with the Conservatives facing this electoral Armageddon — it's going to be like a group of bald men arguing over a comb.

"I came into politics to actually do government and to responsibly exercise power in order to make change in this country.

"I wanted the chance to do more for the people I care about. I've been denied that because the party around me can't get its proverbial together."

I always love election night meltdowns from outgoing MPs.

 

[Hornberger]

12 declared, 1 held

14 declared, 1 held

 

[beez]

Remind me never to visit the Ashfield constituency.

 

[MrKK]

It's not compulsory for starters. Australia wouldn't see this volatility but there isn't much doubt there were swings against each party that changed leaders mid cycle. Rudd/Gillard/Rudd, Abbott/Turnbull.

FPTP naturally produces bigger swings than our preference system too.