Autopsy US Election Day Thread - Trump 47th President of the United States

[Gethelred]

The race is run, the winner declared!

For further discussion of the election:

USA - 2024 US Presidential Election: Trump vs Harris (pt II)

I will be keen to watch the handover on J6 I think, Will the Bidens attend unlike Trump? Will the crowd be the biggest in history, Will there be a magical Mystery victory tour and rallies like 2016, Will he reduce his golf games and stop heading North in the Summer or home to Fl in the winter...

www.bigfooty.com

For discussion of the incoming president:

Play Nice - 47th President of the United States: Donald Trump - Part 20: Here we go again!

Mod Notice * Thread monitored actively. User who drag it down will be removed Specifically: reference to TDS (Trump Derangement Syndrome) and its counterpart 'Trumpanzee' or anything similar will no longer be allowed. Personal attacks are also to be kept to a minimum. Just a reminder, even...

www.bigfooty.com

For discussion of the losing candidate:

USA - Kamala Harris Concedes. God Help America

www.bigfooty.com

Enjoy, all!

 

[Goldii]

Essentially winner of Pennsylvania is the extremely likely to win

 

[tigland]

North Carolina has been called for Trump.

that seems early. Only 10% counted in Charlotte so far

 

[Happy Mastenator]

Whatever way this goes, it is clear that there divide among Americans is getting wider. You couldn't have two more opposed candidates, yet they are both going to go roughly 50/50 in the popular vote. Just insane.

 

[Groucho]

Essentially winner of Pennsylvania is the extremely likely to win

As always

 

[eaglespremiers]

that seems early. Only 10% counted in Charlotte so far

The Decision Desk and Fox have called it.

https://decisiondeskhq.com/results/2024/General/President/

 

[tigland]

The Decision Desk and Fox have called it.

https://decisiondeskhq.com/results/2024/General/President/

ah Fox called it. Makes sense

 

[iDon]

that seems early. Only 10% counted in Charlotte so far

which counties are Charlotte?

 

[Strange Cat]

Essentially winner of Pennsylvania is the extremely likely to win

Google has Harris in the lead atm

 

[Randomizor]

Fox is, unfortunately, quite accurate with these things

 

[Millky95]

ah Fox called it. Makes sense

Yeah think I'll wait for AP

 

[boncer34]

Harris needs about 59% of remaining Georgian votes and 53% of NC to roll them back.

Trump needs 52% of PA

 

[HirdsTheWord]

Essentially winner of Pennsylvania is the extremely likely to win

not without winning other battle ground states

if trump gets Georgia and NC - could be over

 

[Falconista]

For a bloke I hadnt heard of 3 months ago I wonder how Walz would have gone as the main man

Seems a good person as a VP- too maverick for the main job imho. However, question will be, should he have been used more prominently on the national stage ala Vance?

 

[And_ROOS]

Not good news obviously for the Democrats.

How far out did Biden get in 2020? Was it ever 'leaning Trump'?

Don't have the screenshots but it got very into the "leaning Trump" territory in 2020, this is mirroring 2020 in quite a few ways.

 

[Achy Blakey Heart]

TYT reporting exit polls in Michigan where the black vote has doubled for trump since 2020.

 

[tigland]

which counties are Charlotte?

Mecklenburg

 

[Cyber_punk]

The issue was leaving it so late to make the switch. It was never going to be a 2nd term for Biden even after he was elected. They should have either run primaries or pushed Harris from early on.

Instead they have given a half chance to a very easily beatable Trump.

If the Dems lose the election, they are likely not giving a woman another chance to run and thats not the lesson here but likely the lesson they take.

They will blame progressives.

They thought their own base would just forget how awful the Cheney's were. Dick left office with 13% approval. As soon as she accepted the endorsement, that's exactly when she lost her momentum.

 

[Rotayjay]

If those gender and age breakdowns are anything to go by, Harris is stuffed.

 

[Aristotle Pickett]

Yeah think I'll wait for AP

Still up for grabs

 

[mickelboy182]

Whatever way this goes, it is clear that there divide among Americans is getting wider. You couldn't have two more opposed candidates, yet they are both going to go roughly 50/50 in the popular vote. Just insane.

Really just shows how right wing and toxic the country has become - the standards one side is held to opposed to the other couldn't be more stark.

 

[Saint]

Sprinkled a few bets around. Cash on Harris to win the popular vote at $1.40.

Bonus bets on Harris to win Wisconsin $2.2 and on Harris to get between 270 and 299 EC votes at $4.33

Just to make myself more interested.

Looks like Trump will win at the moment, but it looked like this in the previous elections. Michigan looks like it might be where Harris falls over, if not PA. Looks to me like Wisconsin is Harris, but I'm not looking deep enough to know why the odds are the way they are.

 

[CarnTheScray]

How do they go about calling some states? Missouri at 17% counted, called for Trump despite Harris leading the count by 70,000. Is it based on predicted for the remaining districts? It is confusing sometimes.

Election counts this early are useless. Some places have less than 20% counted, barely tens of thousands of votes counted yet the media calls it early. Its all a race to be the first to call it. Half of them change overnight. Happened in 2020.

 

[boncer34]

Harris needs about 59% of remaining Georgian votes and 53% of NC to roll them back.

Trump needs 52% of PA

65% now for Georgia. That's a tough path.

 

[Scythe94]

69% on NYT forecast now. Starting to look pretty grim

 

[Achy Blakey Heart]

Sprinkled a few bets around. Cash on Harris to win the popular vote at $1.40.

Bonus bets on Harris to win Wisconsin $2.2 and on Harris to get between 270 and 299 EC votes at $4.33

Just to make myself more interested.

Looks like Trump will win at the moment, but it looked like this in the previous elections. Michigan looks like it might be where Harris falls over, if not PA. Looks to me like Wisconsin is Harris, but I'm not looking deep enough to know why the odds are the way they are.

I’m wondering if that’s the case. See my earlier comment above