Here's the corresponding pessimistic scenario where we drop games like Hawthorn and Bulldogs, and fail all tests against the Pies, Dees and Lions. I think we're better than 9 wins, but who knows?
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AFLW 2024 - Round 10 - Chat, game threads, injury lists, team lineups and more.
Prediction Will we make finals in 2023? AFL responds with "...not on my watch"
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jackster83
Killing with a smile
The Collingwood and St Kilda games will be fascinating to see how our style holds up against well drilled opponents. Looking forward to both of them.
- Sep 28, 2016
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I have a feeling that this Sunday we are going to break the Hawthorn/Tasmania hoodoo.
And when I say break it, I might we are going to smash it into 80+ pieces.
And when I say break it, I might we are going to smash it into 80+ pieces.
TheRankineFile
All Australian
- Apr 9, 2023
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If we dont beat Hawks ... have gone nowhere. Would be stunned if they can outscore us but have been burnt enuf to know its possible. Next 3 weeks after are against teams likely to finish top 6. Will be the make or break there.
WaynesWorld19
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Golumless
A bigger deal out west.
I doubt it'd make much of a difference, seeing Nicks has wanted us to be known as a side for their defense. It's the only consistent theme throughout our rebuild. The offense is more to do with now having a playing group capable to pull it off.
Probably by conceding 85+ both weeks would have rang alarm bells.
- Sep 28, 2016
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Hawthorn are travelling interstate twice in consecutive weeks and are 3 days less rested. Also, they lost Wingard this week.
I'm not counting my chickens before they hatch, but hot damn there are a eggs lying around.
- Nov 5, 2009
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You would have to think the 2 to fall out would be between Us, Essendon, Carlton and St.Kilda.
I think the Saints are too well coached to drop out. So that leaves 2 between Us / Carlton and Essendon to survive.
Samcro24
Free the Cartel Colonel
- Oct 28, 2014
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Looks like Ross is doing Ross things at St Kikda. I’d have said Essendon too, but knocking off the dees is a big tick. For now anyway.
Long way to go, anyone could get the wobbles from here I spose.
Seems like a 10 horse race unless someone out of GWS, freo, bulldogs, Richmond get their shit together. That group is running out of time though.
TheRankineFile
All Australian
- Apr 9, 2023
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U never know. Sometimes teams go 10-1 or so and miss.
The commentary about Adelaide is getting a bit silly, particularly from Kingy, Cornes and now Buckley.
Just because we beat Carlton at home, again. Did it last year too. They haven't won in Adelaide since 2014 or something.
Carlton will go home and forget about this and play 15 games at the MCG.
Adelaide have hardly won away in 4 years, and the only way to be a success in this comp is to win in Melbourne. We won in Perth against the bottom team, and I think Ballarat last year.
We are playing in Tassie next week, and a win would be something.
But will our kids play well in the middle of winter against Collingwood at the MCG?
Will they be too tired?
Moreso, will other teams have worked out how to stop us? Sam Mitchell will have a plan next week, for sure.
Our team looked good last week, but so did 8 other teams. The youth will tire, we will get injuries, depth will get tested.
If we pass all these tests, then we are something, but there's a long way to go before we have a Crows Kids version of the Baby Bombers.
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Just because we beat Carlton at home, again. Did it last year too. They haven't won in Adelaide since 2014 or something.
Carlton will go home and forget about this and play 15 games at the MCG.
Adelaide have hardly won away in 4 years, and the only way to be a success in this comp is to win in Melbourne. We won in Perth against the bottom team, and I think Ballarat last year.
We are playing in Tassie next week, and a win would be something.
But will our kids play well in the middle of winter against Collingwood at the MCG?
Will they be too tired?
Moreso, will other teams have worked out how to stop us? Sam Mitchell will have a plan next week, for sure.
Our team looked good last week, but so did 8 other teams. The youth will tire, we will get injuries, depth will get tested.
If we pass all these tests, then we are something, but there's a long way to go before we have a Crows Kids version of the Baby Bombers.
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Golumless
A bigger deal out west.
GWS was an unlucky loss, and three solid, 5+ goal wins is a very solid start to the year for a team thought in a rebuild. Including a 8.1 first quarter statement against an unbeaten team.
Especially when there are 3 100+ scores against some of the stronger defenses in the last couple of years.
They've earned this moment in the sunshine.
Samcro24
Free the Cartel Colonel
- Oct 28, 2014
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Kane Cornes is talking about All Australian selections, prior to this round too. It’s all about the now in the over saturated click bait media world.
Scorpus
Moderator
- Apr 16, 2014
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There's certainly a big question mark over whether Port, Fremantle and Carlton are the real deal.
Before the season a lot of people had all three making finals. Carlton a potential flag challenger.
Will that turn out to be the case, or have we just beaten up on three non-finalists and a potential bottom 4 team in Fremantle?
But can they do it on a cold rainy night in Stoke?
I agree that we shouldn't get ahead of ourselves, and smashing Carlton at home isn't as good as it looks. Nothing is as good, or as bad, as it first seems. To be a serious finals side, you need to win at the MCG against an MCG tenant - and there are two contender MCG tenants right now (Collingwood and Melbourne). This year, I don't think we can expect much better than a competitive showing against those two sides at the MCG.
- Aug 30, 2021
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Agree with a lot of that but it’s not just because we pumped Carlton, they were on our bandwagon from the preseason.
It looks like it’s that type of year where a lot of the better sides are pretty even, there’s some inconsistency and some are copping some structural injuries.
What we’ve got going for us is the best forward line in the comp which will keep us in most games. Now that we’ve added Dawson to the middle, we’ve injected one of the best mids in the comp, he’s a friggin gun. Rachelle is playing a lot more midfield. We don’t need to win the middle, just go close to breaking even.
Our attacking game plan gives that forward line the best opportunity and when we don’t have the ball we harass and harass.
Guys like Milera who sucked last year whilst they nursed him back is playing good footy.
Guys who were walk up starts last year have been made to earn their spot and we’ve got good depth.
Our team hasn’t had this sense of belief under Nicks as we were rebuilding from scratch.
Then we have Burgess.
We really should be 5-0.
I said to my mate before the season started I just want to go to the footy with hope and expectation we can win, we’ve got that now. At home especially I believe we are a chance to beat every team.
- Jun 23, 2016
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If we win the next 2 we will.
Rankine2Thilthorpe
Cancelled
- Mar 24, 2023
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You'd have to say right now we are at least 50/50 to make finals. That will be decided by how we can perform away from home, and how our young list holds up over a long season.
What I hope we are really careful of though, in the context of our rebuild, is going back to the old mindset of "make the 8 and anything can happen" that the club used to have under the old regime. Build a premiership side please. To win a flag you need to have a top quality squad, with elite midfielders. As a non-Melbourne / non-MCG tenant side we also have to be significantly better than our most likely Victorian opposition to beat them on their home deck on GF day. We need to be absolutely elite and probably at least five goals better than a Melbourne based opponent to jag a premiership.
We're not there yet. Dawson is showing us what the team is capable of with elite mids. Go get a couple more, then we're talking.
What I hope we are really careful of though, in the context of our rebuild, is going back to the old mindset of "make the 8 and anything can happen" that the club used to have under the old regime. Build a premiership side please. To win a flag you need to have a top quality squad, with elite midfielders. As a non-Melbourne / non-MCG tenant side we also have to be significantly better than our most likely Victorian opposition to beat them on their home deck on GF day. We need to be absolutely elite and probably at least five goals better than a Melbourne based opponent to jag a premiership.
We're not there yet. Dawson is showing us what the team is capable of with elite mids. Go get a couple more, then we're talking.
This is massive for us, can keep us healthy along the way and hopefully fresh for finals if Nicks does his job.
Injuries play bigger into success than the AFL wants to admit.
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Real finals or premiership contenders? Surely the former unless Smith, Sloane and Walker miraculously find their 2017 form at the age of 32+ years old and Doedee and Milera improve.
WaynesWorld19
Moderator
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I still believe Finals Contenders .....knocking on the door of the 8
Just depends on what sort of injury run we have ....there are teams being decimated by injury, concussion, ands dangerous tackles ....anything can happen
- May 26, 2013
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tbh, we should be 5-0.
Bizarrely bad goal kicking cost us in Rd 1
The heat of Rd 1 and the short break v long rested Tigers cost us in Rd2
We're playing a brand of footy that is a winning brand.
Dawson and Laird, ROB being more than serviceable, Top notch forward line.
Main issue will be defence. But we have a side that can score quickly. Few leads will be safe.
Why not now?
Bizarrely bad goal kicking cost us in Rd 1
The heat of Rd 1 and the short break v long rested Tigers cost us in Rd2
We're playing a brand of footy that is a winning brand.
Dawson and Laird, ROB being more than serviceable, Top notch forward line.
Main issue will be defence. But we have a side that can score quickly. Few leads will be safe.
Why not now?
- Dec 29, 2000
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The boys won’t be tired going into the Collingwood game in June given we have the bye the week before.
And just on games vs Collingwood at Adelaide Oval, the past two years those games have been decided by less than a goal.
MsTopG
Norm Smith Medallist
- Mar 21, 2023
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Our last 3 weeks would have us in the premiership quadrant. The first two weeks we got heavily scored against which skewed this result but we have improved our defence significantly since then. It's too early for this to be predictive anyway as some teams have had an easy first 5 games draw. By week 10 this should be more beneficial. Coincidentally when Dawson was moved out of defence our defence has improved as it's not rebounding back out of our forward line and he is helping to win it out of the centre. We are also defending better when the ball goes down to our defence. Dawson has the highest conversion in the league for forward 50 entries.
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