Do you even understand what is meant by the term "excess deaths"? It is the number of people who have died, over and above the historic long term average.This is a strange statistic that in the US only 2/3 of excess deaths are attributable to Covid. I don’t even know why they count the 216K fully as excess deaths, because a large number of the 216K were elderly and/or ill as well and would likely die of other causes within this time period. But it seems that lots of younger people have died from not getting medical treatment and suicides etc unrelated to Covid.
I think the true analysis of how many normally die each year v how many died of Covid v how many died from other causes neglected due to overemphasis on Covid, hasn’t been calculated yet. I’ll be interested to see this stat in the wash up when it’s all back to normal as I believe it will in time.
The Pandemic’s Real Toll? 300,000 Deaths, and It’s Not Just From the Coronavirus (Published 2020)
A C.D.C. analysis finds that overall death rates have risen, particularly among young adults and people of color.www.google.com.au
The fact that the COVID19 deaths only account for 2/3 of the excess deaths indicates that the true COVID19 death toll is probably much higher than the reported figure.
As you rightly point out, many of the COVID19 victims have been elderly, and may have died of natural causes anyway. These would not show up as excess deaths, which makes the disparity between the two figures even greater.
Put it this way... The USA has had approximately 230,000 deaths because of COVID19. Their excess deaths would be around 345,000. If we assume that 20,000 COVID19 deaths were elderly, and who would have died of natural causes during the same reporting period, then the disparity between the number of excess deaths and the reported COVID19 death toll rises from 115,000 to 135,000.
The question is why did those 135,000 people die? Were they unreported COVID19 cases? Were they people who didn't receive treatment for other diseases, as a second or third order effect (**) of COVID19? Or, were they simply due to the natural variance in the number of deaths occurring each year? I suspect that the true answer may be all three reasons.
** Second order effects would include people who were unable to receive treatment due to COVID19 related capacity issues. Third order effects include people who were so scared of catching COVID19 if they went to hospital, that they didn't seek treatment for their (non COVID19) health problems, and subsequently died as a result.
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