Prediction Finals watch

[I Lost My Keays]

And eliminate Richmond, for the third year running, in front of 80,000 people? Delicious.

And make my Richmond mate cry? Delicious

 

[whitey_1975]

Sydney have been stinky all year, except for against us

Cause we were even stinkier

 

[whitey_1975]

Didn't we just play West Coast and Brisbane? What the heck is going on?

"Fixture"

 

[whitey_1975]

"Fixture"

Thats jinx my kids call it, I honestly didnt see your post and posted the identical thing.

 

[Pdub]

That 0% next to Port Adelaide is also nice.

 

[SES SA]

If they can beat Port Power. Yes if they can not, they are out this week.

This finals cluster has me hoping Port wins more often than ever before. They really failed on the weekend, but they have to bounce back this week.

 

[TGFC]

I just did the ladder predictor on the AFL website. don't worry guys, it turns out we not only make the finals but win the premiership from 7th position.

For those wanting more details:

We beat Richmond in the elimination at the MCG
We beat Hawthorn in a semi at the MCG
We beat Freo in the Prelim at Subi
And finally the swans in the Granny at the MCG

woop woop go you crows

also another plus is awesome frequent flyer points. i think i saw something saying double points for the month of september and october

 

[Captain Morgan]

I think it's great that there are only a handful of rounds to go and we are actually talking of "ramping up" to finals. Not mathematical possibilities either..... Whilst we could still bomb out our destiny is in our own hands.

I loved watching danger fire up tex before the players ran out On Friday night.

We can do this ! Let's put essendon and the bears to the sword and get a percentage booster.

 

[Stevolution]

West Coast - Win three more than and increase our percentage
Hawthorn - Win three more than
Western Bulldogs - Win two more than
Sydney - Win two more than
North Melbourne - Win one more than
Richmond - Win one more than
Geelong - Same wins but increase percentage
GWS - They need to win one more than Adel/Geel
Collingwood - They need to win two more than Adel/Geel
Port Adelaide - They need to win three more than Adel/Geel

 

[Wood_Duck]

Sydney have been stinky all year, except for against us

That was our fault

 

[Stevolution]

That was our fault

wouldnt want to face them week one of finals and do that again

 

[Wood_Duck]

wouldnt want to face them week one of finals and do that again

38 tackles for the game wont beat anyone.

 

[Scrotes2000]

. We'll beat Essendon and Brisbane. Uncharacteristically confident about that. Both those teams are worse than rubbish.

Not sure why I'm not that confident. Actually quite nervous about those two games...can only hope it being so close to finals the players are well and truly switched on from the first bounce.

I'll start worrying about WC and Geelong after we've crossed off our next two opponents.




Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk

 

[Stevolution]

Not sure why I'm not that confident. Actually quite nervous about those two games...can only hope it being so close to finals the players are well and truly switched on from the first bounce.

I'll start worrying about WC and Geelong after we've crossed off our next two opponents.




Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk

2 from 14 against Essendon in Victoria, lets start by making it 3 from 15

 

[Danoz]

Guys I've said it before and I'll say it again, we'll get a home final, we'll win the last 4 home and away games.

I like this new glass half full you.

 

[SugarShane]

Yeah but if they pull a win that I marked as a loss, they'll make it and the Cats vs Crows game will decide who makes it and who misses out of the two. Assuming they both win the games you'd expect them to.

Just finished having a play around with the ladder predictor and that's basically it. Winner likely takes seventh and the loser ninth/tenth.

Varying results change a few things, like whether GWS or North makes it through. Funnily enough Geelong won't have a lot of bearing on us, even if they lose to Collingwood we still have to beat them to stay in front of GWS and North.

Percentage is only relevant if we win the same amount of games from here on out, which is unlikely with us both having 1 game against a top team, two against lower teams and one against each other. If Geelong beat the Hawks, then we beat Geelong, we could both make finals.

My tips have us finishing 10th though, dropping the last one against Geelong.

All this will mean nothing though after a few upsets.

 

[Danoz]

Geelong and GWS most likely to upset in rd 20. Other 7 games more than likely will go the way of the favourites. Kangas and Dogs can cause upsets in rd 21. Suns Bombers and Blues Demons games irrelevant.


Round 22 is where it gets interesting. Dogs to beat Roos makes our task a lot simpler. If Roos win, we're in trouble, but we need to win either of our last two. I've put two scenarios here, one is winning against WCE the other is losing against them. I've conceded defeat against the Cats. Reason for this is the Eagles look to be struggling defensively. If we can impart the pressure on them that we did to the Tigers, we'll go a long win towards winning that game. If Roos lose to both Dogs and Tigers, we don't have to win against either Eagles or Cats to make it.

 

[ManInTheArena]

View attachment 160875 View attachment 160877
Geelong and GWS most likely to upset in rd 20. Other 7 games more than likely will go the way of the favourites. Kangas and Dogs can cause upsets in rd 21. Suns Bombers and Blues Demons games irrelevant.

Round 22 is where it gets interesting. Dogs to beat Roos makes our task a lot simpler. If Roos win, we're in trouble, but we need to win either of our last two. I've put two scenarios here, one is winning against WCE the other is losing against them. I've conceded defeat against the Cats. Reason for this is the Eagles look to be struggling defensively. If we can impart the pressure on them that we did to the Tigers, we'll go a long win towards winning that game. If Roos lose to both Dogs and Tigers, we don't have to win against either Eagles or Cats to make it.

I don't think North Melbourne will lose to Richmond AND Western Bulldogs. I'd have them down to beat both. Their form isn't as up and down as has been.

 

[ams4crows]

North will crack under the pressure there's no way the beat Bulldods and Richmond they may beat one but likely to lose both.

 

[CrowMike]

Really simple question, massive workload. What needs to happen for us to pinch a home final; likely 6th?

 

[Pdub]

The thing I hate about the finals is that for 7 teams all they achieve is making their draft picks shitter. Draft placement should be based on H&A positions. If we go in at 8th we start with pick 10, and every game we win it drops 2 places.

 

[AmericanCrow]

Ladder predictor while not being a "lock it in" gives a guide to the draw teams have in the run home.
I had the Geelong vs Adelaide game deciding who will finish 7th or 8th out of the 2 of us.
Both to make the 8.

I agree---tend to think winning the next two by a wide margin should be enough

 

[GROTTO]

Another unexpected twist is the Eagles dropping games deliberately to "manufacture" a home final by coming 4th with the knowledge that Freo will be first. Not to mention the odd upset between now and the end of the last round.

Mouthwatering scenarios are going to be happening in the next 4 weeks, very unpredictable.

 

[The Sloane Ranger]

Over the next month we will find out what this playing group did learn from last year

 

[pjcrows]

Over the next month we will find out what this playing group did learn from last year

We are in just about the exact position we were in last year and the year before.

"We only have to beat <crap team> and <crap team> and then a bit of luck to make it".

You're right. Let's see if we can make things happen by our own good performance, rather than hope results suit us.