Hawthorn only need 3 more wins to make the 8

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THis week's Port/Hawthorn game is pretty much an elimination final. The winner will get a huge boost with 4 games to go, being a game and likely percentage ahead of their rival. Sorry to say Bombers, but no side wanting a spot in the 8 would ever drop a game to a side like Richmond late in the year. Chance blown i'm afraid.

Didnt Port Adelaide lose to Melbourne 2 weeks ago. Or does 14 days difference not constitute "late in the year"?
 
Just looking at the run home of the clubs, is going to be very interesting.

Hyperthetical question. Lets say the Hawks some how (can't see it happening but lets say it does) beat Saints after beating Port (again hyperthetically, not a done deal), if your the saints, any thoughts of giving the bombers a leg up and playing dead to help stop the hawks making the finals?

You couldn't but would be interesting.
 
Just looking at the run home of the clubs, is going to be very interesting.

Hyperthetical question. Lets say the Hawks some how (can't see it happening but lets say it does) beat Saints after beating Port (again hyperthetically, not a done deal), if your the saints, any thoughts of giving the bombers a leg up and playing dead to help stop the hawks making the finals?

You couldn't but would be interesting.

Like when we rolled over to Richmond in '01? LOL

The Bombers may have blown it but luckily we still have our fate in our own hands. Simply must beat Freo and West Coast and beat one of Brissy or Hawks to make it.
 

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Geez, settle down hawk fans.

We need to win 60% of games for the rest of the H&A to make finals, yet we've won less than 50% so far this year. I know the form has been great but let's not get ahead of ourselves.

St Kilda, Adelaide and Port will all be difficult games
Richmond have the great ability to piss us off and drag us down
Essendon pulled our pants down earlier this year.

What I'm HOPING is:
1. St Kilda have their only loss for the season against us
2. Port fall in a hole, still crying about their loss on the weekend.
3. Richmond remember that losing is in their best interest
4. Adelaide forget how to play interstate
5. Essendon's young team runs out of puff and can't make the finals regardless of the result in round 22.

Something in the middle of these two extremes will occur.

One thing is certain: the favourites will not win every game for the rest of the season.
 
Like when we rolled over to Richmond in '01? LOL

The Bombers may have blown it but luckily we still have our fate in our own hands. Simply must beat Freo and West Coast and beat one of Brissy or Hawks to make it.

It is true you also have your fate in your own hands, but for that to be true you have to beat the hawks as if the hawks win there last 5 they make it. HUGE if granted.
 
doesn't work that way. If we beat port and then port go on to win the games you mentioned above, we still only need to win 2 and have a better percentage. That's 3 more wins

Wrong..

What if the bombers go on to win 3... (WCE, bris, freo) Then they are equal with you and its more than likely that their current 7% lead will hold..

You will need 4 wins...
 
i hope the hawks make it, will be a great finals series with hawks Geelong, doggies and St Kilda fighting it out. The others are just canon fodder but 4 teams of this quality would make the finals series something special.
 
We can only hope and pray that the pies come 5th :D

NOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO:(

I've never had an issue with the Kangaroos but my god was i pissed off with them in in that game in Tassie the other week, my pessimistic side knew with 5 minutes to go this could be a massive disaster.
 
They are gone no chance.
Last saturday was their final punch and they couldn't get the chocolates.
Watch Port flog a dejected Hawks outfit this week.
When you're relying on 'mathematical chances' you know you're no good.

Please explain how they are relying on mathematical chances? :rolleyes:
 
i hope the hawks make it, will be a great finals series with hawks Geelong, doggies and St Kilda fighting it out. The others are just canon fodder but 4 teams of this quality would make the finals series something special.

agree: that would be a brilliant finals series.

Geelong, Saints, Doggies (my smoky), Woods, Lions, Adelaide, Hawthorn, Carlton.

All quality games, anything could happen.
 

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I just did the predictor and came out with Carlton and Port in 7th and 8th with 11 wins each, a game ahead of Essendon and Hawthorn.

I also came up with the Dockers for the spoon and the only priority pick this year.
Your prediction hinges on Port beating the Hawks this week im guessing?

So if we win this week, then spots reversed and we'll be 8th.

We really need to pull the lead out this weekend.

Lose and not only will we not make finals, but we don't even deserve to be there in the first place.
 
My first ever live AFL game and It had to be on Saturday. If I knew my way around that ground, I would have found a heavy blunt object and the siren would have sounded sooner.
I would like to see the Hawks make it but I have serious doubts.
 
hawks will def make it, would be an endictment if they didn't cos they are clearly better than us, we are lucky to be where we are atm cos ess and port are just as s.hit, every1 is saying the final hawks v ess game will almost certainly decide the 8th spot, so going on that basis, the hawks are certainties to make it imo, i think port and the hawks will sneak in based on the ladder predictor
 
Team Pl W L D PF PA Perc Pts
1 St Kilda 22 22 0 0 2256 1292 174.61 88
2 Geelong 22 20 2 0 2414 1773 136.15 80
3 W Bulldogs 22 15 7 0 2401 1941 123.70 60
4 Collgwood 22 15 7 0 2185 1925 113.51 60
5 Bris Lions 22 14 8 0 2068 1819 113.69 56
6 Adelaide 22 14 8 0 2015 1850 108.92 56
7 Carlton 22 10 12 0 2097 2033 103.15 40
8 Hawthorn 22 9 13 0 1969 2064 95.40 36
9 Port Adel 22 9 13 0 1956 2191 89.27 36
10 Essendon 22 8 14 0 1934 2150 89.95 32
11 Sydney 22 8 14 0 1822 2048 88.96 32
12 Nth Melb 22 7 14 1 1610 2021 79.66 30
13 West Coast 22 7 15 0 1842 2044 90.12 28
14 Fremantle 22 7 15 0 1723 2210 77.96 28
15 Richmond 22 6 15 1 1896 2255 84.08 26
16 Melbourne 22 4 18 0 1548 2120 73.02 16

Hawks CAN make the finals with juz one more win as long as its against Essendon. They can also win 4 and not make it. What they cant do is win all 5 and not make it.

SO basically theres way to many possibilities right now to know anything much. The best thing to do is treat every game like its a knock-out.
 
They are gone no chance.
Last saturday was their final punch and they couldn't get the chocolates.
Watch Port flog a dejected Hawks outfit this week.
When you're relying on 'mathematical chances' you know you're no good.

At least we are a mathematical chance every time we play Collingwood.

100% mathematical chance in fact. :thumbsu:
 

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Hawthorn only need 3 more wins to make the 8

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