Draft Watcher Knightmare's 2017 Draft Almanac

[Knightmare]

Knightmare what do you think the chances of Callan Wellings getting drafted are?

Had a terrific year. Numbers excellent. Reliable ball user and can play mid or flank easily. Like his game overall.

In the mix late/rookie but not a certain selection as an overager without a great deal of wow-factor.

 

[Knightmare]

Hey KM, all the hype around Liam Ryan has seemed to disappear. Do you see him going in the ND?

Possible but not certain pick.

He's still getting spoken about as a possible, but I'm not aware if any particular club is committed to taking him in the national draft at this point.

 

[Glenny83]

Hey KM,

Zak Bailey obviously has pricked the ears of recruiters and the media too, following on from the AFL.com.au article last week. Given his steep curve from relative unknown, realistically, how early could he go?

I could have two arguments why he should go early second or in the the third with some solid reasoning.


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[Knightmare]

Hey KM,

Zak Bailey obviously has pricked the ears of recruiters and the media too, following on from the AFL.com.au article last week. Given his steep curve from relative unknown, realistically, how early could he go?

I could have two arguments why he should go early second or in the the third with some solid reasoning.


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Bailey is a genuine top 20 chance and should go 15-30. He wins the footy inside, exceptionally quick and agile. Very high x-factor type but with the production and improvement over the past 12 months which makes him a very intriguing prospect.

If he could kick reliably, he'd be a top 10 choice.

 

[remfan101]

Bailey is a genuine top 20 chance and should go 15-30. He wins the footy inside, exceptionally quick and agile. Very high x-factor type but with the production and improvement over the past 12 months which makes him a very intriguing prospect.

If he could kick reliably, he'd be a top 10 choice.

is his kicking that bad? it looks ok technically

 

[Knightmare]

is his kicking that bad? it looks ok technically

Technically on drop punts, snaps. He doesn't kick it flush. His placement on kicks also are mostly poor and not overly near the make. Some of his decision making is a ?

He'll lower his eyes and gets out of traffic with his pace/agility/don't argue. He has a lot of freakish qualities, and he tries to keep his kicks simpleish but his kicking is not at all reliable at this stage in his development.

If ever he gets all that right. He could be anything.

 

[My name geoff]

Technically on drop punts, snaps. He doesn't kick it flush. His placement on kicks also are mostly poor and not overly near the make. Some of his decision making is a ?

He'll lower his eyes and gets out of traffic with his pace/agility/don't argue. He has a lot of freakish qualities, and he tries to keep his kicks simpleish but his kicking is not at all reliable at this stage in his development.

If ever he gets all that right. He could be anything.

Has a bit of Scott West about him

 

[GapInIkonPark]

Thanks Knightmare, look forward to catching round three of your updated phantom drat on Monday . I hope we snuffle Rayner, Fogarty and Petruccelle from your suggestions that would be a great haul indeed.

No great midfielders in that trio, which is what Carlton needs the most.

 

[Jeffcrowe]

Why is Balta so underated?

Lack of footy IQ

 

[The Sloane Ranger]

Adelaide are always quiet going into the draft. Recently no one expected them to select Doedee, Gallucci was a quiet selection, Lever wasn’t expected etc. I think they’ll pick Hunter Clark as a HBF option to put in Brodie Smith’s role or Higgins to replace Charlie Cameron. I can’t see them selecting a genuine mid after picking up Sam Gibson, who they obviously prefer to hand games to than a youngster.


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I can't see Adelaide putting an early draft pick to replace Smith at HB for next year

IMO the club will look internally at players like Hampton, Milera or Seedsman to play HB in season 2018 and use pick 12 with more longer term vision in mind

I wouldn't be surprised if we used Gallucci in Cameron's high HF roe

I don't mind the idea of Balta at pick 12 that is if Fogarty is not available at our first selection

 

[GoGrows]

Regarding Bailey, What are your thoughts on the Sloane comparisons? I think they're spot on, in terms of the player he could end up resembling.

 

[Knightmare]

Regarding Bailey, What are your thoughts on the Sloane comparisons? I think they're spot on, in terms of the player he could end up resembling.

It's a struggle to think of anyone who moves like Bailey. That is the most distinctive thing with him. His speed/agility in traffic is unrivaled. He gets around guys like traffic cones and accelerates away from the contest with ball in hand routinely.

Sloane isn't nearly the athlete Bailey is, so while Bailey has the contested side of the game down, I don't look at that as quite the right comparison.

I'll have to think up a comparison myself, but he has the feel of something like a young Ablett Jnr (without the skills). Just the way he gets through traffic, how quick he is, winning it inside. He has a lot of that.

 

[M Malice]

It's a struggle to think of anyone who moves like Bailey. That is the most distinctive thing with him. His speed/agility in traffic is unrivaled. He gets around guys like traffic cones and accelerates away from the contest with ball in hand routinely.

Sloane isn't nearly the athlete Bailey is, so while Bailey has the contested side of the game down, I don't look at that as quite the right comparison.

I'll have to think up a comparison myself, but he has the feel of something like a young Ablett Jnr (without the skills). Just the way he gets through traffic, how quick he is, winning it inside. He has a lot of that.

Sounds like a player who would be a great pick up for any club KM, why isn't he in the conversation for a top 10 or so pick? Acceleration from stoppages etc is a reported strength of Paddy Dow, how do you compare Bailey to Dow in that area? Weaknesses? Would love the Lions to get him at 18.

 

[Knightmare]

Sounds like a player who would be a great pick up for any club KM, why isn't he in the conversation for a top 10 or so pick? Acceleration from stoppages etc is a reported strength of Paddy Dow, how do you compare Bailey to Dow in that area? Weaknesses? Would love the Lions to get him at 18.

Dow is a stronger contested ball winner by contrast to Bailey and a more reliable ball winner, better forward of centre as a marking target and converting on goal in general play or from set shots.

Bailey has him for pace/agility though. He has everyone in those stakes.

If you want line-breaking. Ling is the fastest with ball in hand when he gets up and going. Petruccelle is sheer acceleration away from the contest is the quickest at that. If you want someone who can't be touched and can get around and through everyone, Bailey is the best at that in this draft.

20ish is around where I expect Bailey to go. A chance to be available for Brisbane at 18.

 

[BigCat2]

It's a struggle to think of anyone who moves like Bailey. That is the most distinctive thing with him. His speed/agility in traffic is unrivaled. He gets around guys like traffic cones and accelerates away from the contest with ball in hand routinely.

Sloane isn't nearly the athlete Bailey is, so while Bailey has the contested side of the game down, I don't look at that as quite the right comparison.

I'll have to think up a comparison myself, but he has the feel of something like a young Ablett Jnr (without the skills). Just the way he gets through traffic, how quick he is, winning it inside. He has a lot of that.

From the little bits I've seen of Bailey, he moves a little like Zorko. Skills a bit untidy at the moment, and probably not the same penetration in his kicking though.

 

[remfan101]

Hi Knightmare, someone I've really liked the look of as a later pick is Gordon Narrier. Lighting quick and skillful wingman who, while he's still very lightly built, played 17 senior WAFL games this year. What are your thoughts on his potential and draft range? I think he'd be a great fit at one of North's late selections.

EDIT- also like the look of Aiden Domic, but I haven't heard too much talk about him either. What are the knocks on his game? Has great skills and knows how to find the footy.

 

[Knightmare]

From the little bits I've seen of Bailey, he moves a little like Zorko. Skills a bit untidy at the moment, and probably not the same penetration in his kicking though.

Zorko without the skills/penetration and unclear ability as a forward is probably as good a summation of Bailey as any.

 

[foodles05]

Dow is a stronger contested ball winner by contrast to Bailey and a more reliable ball winner, better forward of centre as a marking target and converting on goal in general play or from set shots.

Bailey has him for pace/agility though. He has everyone in those stakes.

If you want line-breaking. Ling is the fastest with ball in hand when he gets up and going. Petruccelle is sheer acceleration away from the contest is the quickest at that. If you want someone who can't be touched and can get around and through everyone, Bailey is the best at that in this draft.

20ish is around where I expect Bailey to go. A chance to be available for Brisbane at 18.

Just wondering if you have had the opportunity to see him play live many times?

 

[Knightmare]

Hi Knightmare, someone I've really liked the look of as a later pick is Gordon Narrier. Lighting quick and skillful wingman who, while he's still very lightly built, played 17 senior WAFL games this year. What are your thoughts on his potential and draft range? I think he'd be a great fit at one of North's late selections.

EDIT- also like the look of Aiden Domic, but I haven't heard too much talk about him either. What are the knocks on his game? Has great skills and knows how to find the footy.

Not sure I've seen a full game of Narrier's but have heard he's quick. And as an overager playing the 17 games or so at league level, he's probably worth consideration late/rookie.

Domic has skills and is quick but plays a fairly uncontested brand of footy. Needs to become more of a contested ball winner. He could also add some versatility and learn to play more positions.

Just wondering if you have had the opportunity to see him play live many times?

Bailey?

Just through the monitor. Watched his televised U18 champs games.

 

[redcan81]

hey knightmare love your work! what do you think the chances of Fogarty slipping to the crows?

 

[Knightmare]

hey knightmare love your work! what do you think the chances of Fogarty slipping to the crows?

Highly unlikely.

The belief is if Darcy Fogarty gets through to Carlton at 10, they'll take him.

 

[remfan101]

Highly unlikely.

The belief is if Darcy Fogarty gets through to Carlton at 10, they'll take him.

I reckon Freo are a very good chance to take Fogarty at 5, especially if as expected they go for LDU @ 2. Gives them a great inside mid and an x-factor type.

 

[Knightmare]

I reckon Freo are a very good chance to take Fogarty at 5, especially if as expected they go for LDU @ 2. Gives them a great inside mid and an x-factor type.

I'm hearing North at 4 may take Fogarty.

 

[remfan101]

I'm hearing North at 4 may take Fogarty.

God I hope not. Reckon it has to be one of LDU/Rayner/Cerra/Dow given our midfield. The last thing we need is an inconsistent, injury-prone half-forward with uncertain midfield capacity, when our only proven quality mids are Cunnington and Higgins.

 

[adammania9]

God I hope not. Reckon it has to be one of LDU/Rayner/Cerra/Dow given our midfield. The last thing we need is an inconsistent, injury-prone half-forward with uncertain midfield capacity, when our only proven quality mids are Cunnington and Higgins.

I reckon the Fogarty link is all talk to try and get Carlton to move in on him early, and let Dow or the like slip to North’s pick 4. I don’t think it’ll be successful but I have a great source who suggests the Blues will take Cerra anyway and Dow may well get to pick 4 anyway.

Fogarty is literally the least needed player for North Melbourne of all top ten fancies. They’d be better off recruiting Higgins or Naughton at 4 because they better fill the needs.


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