Knightmare
Brownlow Medallist
- Sep 22, 2010
- 19,533
- 19,542
- AFL Club
- Collingwood
- Other Teams
- Chicago Bulls
- Thread starter
- Banned
- #551
Yes maybe thre are players that could be best22 for some clubs, but tehy are the clubs in rebuild so they will look at long term development players. North or Haw could probably pick Bolton ...but would they pick him? I doubt it.
I would like you to track it and see how many games anyone is picked in this draft plays. To me most clubs are just jumping early at players that still have years of development in them... so why is it required to be done now?
These players should be given the same sort of contract that National drafted players are given. How many are drafted then delisted?
Maybe Callow is different. However, again on young. I never really like his kicking action but maybe thats not as important as the marking. Trading from club to club would benefit most clubs more, and not whiteant the clubs these clubs currently play for
Schlensog would have to improved a lot to walk into a best 22 imo. He may well get there. Ironical as geelong could do with a young KPD.
Those bottom teams will go young. That's what they do. Rightly or wrongly.
We have 2019's mid-season draft to have a rough feel for what a mid-season draft can look like. There is in my view more young talent available this time around. Will take longer with this year's crop as more younger types are likely to be picked.
On Callow. He's a terrific field kick, I really like the ball in his hands when he's looking for an i50 target. On his set shot goal kicking though, the modification I'd be recommending though is just not to go around on an ark to try to get more distance. Just keep it a straight approaching routine to maximise results. When he does that, and he did with his first goal on the weekend approaching from the boundary. He can nail those set shots.
It was a strange decision by Geelong to cut Schlensog. Geelong typically are conservative in the respect that they tend to keep guys too long rather than cut them early. He's one who could be brought back. He has improved this year though. He's better than the vast majority of AFL key defenders playing reserves footy, and he ticks the boxes in the key areas. What I'm liking this year more than previously is he's intercepting to a high level this year. Doing that, he's at a level now where I'd be comfortable playing him. He's better than he was last year.
Hoping Melbourne pick up a key defender in the MSD.
Seems like a glaring need, considering if May/Petty goes down we're cooked.
Jackson Callow would be the ultimate if he were to be passed up by other clubs. Blake Schlensog otherwise is that best available key defender. I view Schlensog favourably to Petty.
The typical football draft debate involves best available talent versus needs/role based drafting. Reality is that clubs ride both those horses (actually there is a third horse call potential). When you make a statement like “based on what you want them to do” you are talking needs based, and after that qualifier you are looking at the best available.
In the end best available has been diluted by positional needs. When clubs don’t they often end up with lists full of half back flankers and try to shuffle them into positions of need.
Your particular post followed this familiar path. Talked about best available, but then immediately suggested different criteria. It is an area where being a purist is not a strength.
The other problem with best available is that the draft is a defined and numbered list which definitively values players. In contrast, I think the players are pooled together by clubs in terms of their value; top 3, top 10, first round, top KPPs, outside runners etc. I suspect it is unlikely that they lock in a rigid best 50 and cross off those taken before their pick.
And even then, they can strategize within the parameters of value. Pick 15 may see a KPD as best available, but a small forward fits the needs better and a player is available and rated. Plus there are other KPDs available later.
Knightmare is inclined towards the purist view and consistently leans to best available I think. He is probably right. In the end you can’t beat talent. But for me it is only part of the story.
I'm a best available guy.
That's what my research in going through drafts suggests is by far and away the most effective approach to the draft. I think that's played a big part in how I've outperformed clubs through the draft more years than not with my own ID of KPPs, with clubs in the past particularly reaching on talls far too often.
I'm all about addressing list needs through the trade and free agency period. Across AFL lists, there are good players of all types and there should pretty much all the time be someone either available, or available at the right cost. If your opposition talent ID is good enough, it should be no problem finding those guys who can balance your list. It's like if I wanted a key defender last year. I was talking about Aliir Aliir and Tom McDonald. Both inexpensive, but both capable and undervalued within the industry. I'd have gone and gotten one of those guys for a good price and then I'd feel good about that need being immediately met. And when you have a list need eg. need a key defender. Those Aliir's or McDonald's will want to join you as they'll be after those regular opportunities and want to hear your vision as a club where they're central to your plans and clearly fill a pressing need.
The trade and free agency period is when all the list balancing needs to happen so that you can improve your draft position in ways where you can not only be in position to take the best available player, but also get into a combination of picks that will maximise the combination of players you acquire based on where you rate talent in relation to where you expect them to be picked.
Late/rookie draft there are mature agers who can also fill needs, though if going that direction, I'd want them to be on parr with the best available and project as a best-22 player. If they're not on that level and the need isn't that dire, best available.