Opinion Matthew Nicks: Adelaide's Coach (Part 2) - Full Support of the Board

[AFC979810]

No and it never applied to us anyway.


I'd best case scenario for us is if we did (we won't) turf him at the end of the year he's getting a minimum of 12 months payout.

Tale of two contracts: How JL, Nicks deals are shaping their seasons

Coaching on the edge, or opting for stability? Nathan Schmook looks at the choice facing clubs with coaches in their final year

www.afl.com.au

So from this article it says the following:

"While previous guidelines stipulated six-month payouts for coaches at clubs who were reliant on AFL funding, coaches can now negotiate 12-month payout clauses or longer"

So this presents two questions:

1. What does reliant on AFL funding actually mean? "Reliant" seems a rather ambiguous term considering all AFL clubs receive AFL funding. Considering how amateurish the AFL is - I wouldn't be surprised at all if this isn't as locked up as people think.

Revealed: Where your club sits on AFL’s $276m ladder... and who’s getting the most help

Where your club sits on AFL’s $276m ladder as league’s wealth divide explained

www.foxsports.com.au

2. That coaches can negotiate the additional 6 months.

Doesn't mean they do - just that they can.

 

[MRB37]

Tale of two contracts: How JL, Nicks deals are shaping their seasons

Coaching on the edge, or opting for stability? Nathan Schmook looks at the choice facing clubs with coaches in their final year

www.afl.com.au

So from this article it says the following:

"While previous guidelines stipulated six-month payouts for coaches at clubs who were reliant on AFL funding, coaches can now negotiate 12-month payout clauses or longer"

So this presents two questions:

1. What does reliant on AFL funding actually mean? "Reliant" seems a rather ambiguous term considering all AFL clubs receive AFL funding. Considering how amateurish the AFL is - I wouldn't be surprised at all if this isn't as locked up as people think.

Revealed: Where your club sits on AFL’s $276m ladder... and who’s getting the most help

Where your club sits on AFL’s $276m ladder as league’s wealth divide explained

www.foxsports.com.au

2. That coaches can negotiate the additional 6 months.

Doesn't mean they do - just that they can.

AFL funding was always described as teams who took COVID loans. The AFL didn't want that money going to pay out coaches contracts, so wrote in that rule. We borrowed money privately from Bendigo Bank during that period, so weren't required to abide by any AFL rules regarding how we spent money.

 

[Interloperer]

I'm not a fan of Nicks' work at all. But I'm pretty skeptical of 90% of the claims about his "favourites".

10-12 months ago there was a large cohort of posts confidently asserting that Nicks was playing favourites by even considering Matt Crouch

5

Matt Crouch

Age

29

Ht

181cm

Wt

85kg

Pos.

Mid

Career

Season

Last 5

D

28.4

5star

K

12.0

4star

HB

16.4

5star

M

3.3

3star

T

3.9

5star

CL

4.8

5star

D

24.9

5star

K

9.7

4star

HB

15.1

5star

M

2.4

3star

T

2.4

3star

CL

4.4

5star

D

21.2

5star

K

10.4

4star

HB

10.8

5star

M

4.4

4star

T

3.4

5star

CL

2.0

4star

for selection. When it turns out that all evidence suggests the exact opposite and Crouch was needlessly left out of the side for months on end.

 

[George Kramer]

I'm not a fan of Nicks' work at all. But I'm pretty skeptical of 90% of the claims about his "favourites".

10-12 months ago there was a large cohort of posts confidently asserting that Nicks was playing favourites by even considering Matt Crouch for selection. When it turns out that all evidence suggests the exact opposite and Crouch was needlessly left out of the side for months on end.

Favourites or defaulting to experience? I can’t recall too many who claimed Crouch was a Nicks favourite

 

[DoubleBlue2]

I called this when we signed him in the first place. A lone voice in the void, disparaged here as too negative.
Welcome everyone to the sad truth.

 

[CrowBloke]

Took a screenshot of analysis of Crows' forward entries 'wastefulness'.
This says a lot about how our blokes are coached and their decision-making:
Not sure who has the ball at the pointy end of that shadow, but he has options:
1) handball to player close in front of him (not great, oppo close)
2) kick to bloke on lead, in the clear. A good pass will find him 40m out in front.
3) kick/handball to his R to Crow just above Kornes' notepad (too indirect)
4) kick deep to Tex (closest to goal) who will be manned-up by the time the ball gets there.


Clearly, 2) is the best option, but our bloke goes for 4) .

Sorry if this has been posted, but the options and entries (high-bombs or shat-kicks) are shown clearly in here, and they expose the Crows to be terrible:

'Confronting' vision exposes wasteful Crows

Footage on The Round So Far shows how Adelaide misfired when entering forward 50 against Geelong

www.afl.com.au

The Pedlar one is the worst, but Dawson (our previously best kick/deliverer) misses TWO great chances to set up goals.
Often, the Crows are not looking for a mate on a lead, but if they are, they do not trust their mate to get the job done and choose the worst option to kick to.
That's on Nicks.

 

[MRB37]

Took a screenshot of analysis of Crows' forward entries 'wastefulness'.
This says a lot about how our blokes are coached and their decision-making:
Not sure who has the ball at the pointy end of that shadow, but he has options:
1) handball to player close in front of him (not great, oppo close)
2) kick to bloke on lead, in the clear. A good pass will find him 40m out in front.
3) kick/handball to his R to Crow just above Kornes' notepad (too indirect)
4) kick deep to Tex (closest to goal) who will be manned-up by the time the ball gets there.
View attachment 1947137

Clearly, 2) is the best option, but our bloke goes for 4) .

Sorry if this has been posted, but the options and entries (high-bombs or shat-kicks) are shown clearly in here, and they expose the Crows to be terrible:

'Confronting' vision exposes wasteful Crows

Footage on The Round So Far shows how Adelaide misfired when entering forward 50 against Geelong

www.afl.com.au

The Pedlar one is the worst, but Dawson (our previously best kick/deliverer) misses TWO great chances to set up goals.
Often, the Crows are not looking for a mate on a lead, but if they are, they do not trust their mate to get the job done and choose the worst option to kick to.
That's on Nicks.

I wonder if our consistency in not honouring a lead and instead kicking long is going back to Nicks' "get it as close to goal as possible" strategy.

Did anyone else notice in footage so far this pre-season/season when we practice our set shots all the players are seeking to do it from no more than 30-40 metres out?

 

[ABAB]

Took a screenshot of analysis of Crows' forward entries 'wastefulness'.
This says a lot about how our blokes are coached and their decision-making:
Not sure who has the ball at the pointy end of that shadow, but he has options:
1) handball to player close in front of him (not great, oppo close)
2) kick to bloke on lead, in the clear. A good pass will find him 40m out in front.
3) kick/handball to his R to Crow just above Kornes' notepad (too indirect)
4) kick deep to Tex (closest to goal) who will be manned-up by the time the ball gets there.
View attachment 1947137

Clearly, 2) is the best option, but our bloke goes for 4) .

Sorry if this has been posted, but the options and entries (high-bombs or shat-kicks) are shown clearly in here, and they expose the Crows to be terrible:

'Confronting' vision exposes wasteful Crows

Footage on The Round So Far shows how Adelaide misfired when entering forward 50 against Geelong

www.afl.com.au

The Pedlar one is the worst, but Dawson (our previously best kick/deliverer) misses TWO great chances to set up goals.
Often, the Crows are not looking for a mate on a lead, but if they are, they do not trust their mate to get the job done and choose the worst option to kick to.
That's on Nicks.

Bomb it long is how we want to play this year so 4) is "correct" lol.

 

[kirky]

I wonder if our consistency in not honouring a lead and instead kicking long is going back to Nicks' "get it as close to goal as possible" strategy.

Did anyone else notice in footage so far this pre-season/season when we practice our set shots all the players are seeking to do it from no more than 30-40 metres out?

Well we did lose all those close games last year by having more scoring shots so assume it is a clear directive.

The only problem is we don’t have players to mark the ball with an opposition player on their tail. Both Fogarty and Walker are leading forwards not pack marking forwards.

 

[Rory Walkerfield]

I was laughed at after the Geelong game for suggesting this, but if our game plan is to bomb it long into F50, and we’re not going to change that plan, then we need to play both Strachan and ROB with the resting ruck in a fwd pocket.

The obvious answer is to spot up the lead, but if we are sticking to this god awful game plan then play two rucks.

 

[GROTTO]

I called this when we signed him in the first place. A lone voice in the void, disparaged here as too negative.
Welcome everyone to the sad truth.

This has to simply stop. Its being realistic and many posters dont like the honest cold hearted truth. We wont be any chance of a flag till the 2030s when we have undertaken a 2nd rebuild. We are without a flag for over 26 years and counting.

There are too many posters living in fairyland believing our form in 2023 was good and that we were going to make the 8 off the basis of those "wins" last year. It was fraudulent form.

I just hope the Club learns from its mistakes and undertakes a proper rebuild the 2nd time around. Sadly the entry of Tasmania exacerbates the problem.

 

[GreyCrow]

I like listening to podcasts and one caught my eye due to the recent passing of Nobel Prize winner Danny Kahneman

He co-wrote a book called Noise

Noise: A Flaw in Human Judgment - Wikipedia

en.wikipedia.org

Noise: A Flaw in Human Judgment is a nonfiction book by professors Daniel Kahneman, Olivier Sibony and Cass Sunstein. It was first published on May 18, 2021. The book concerns 'noise' in human judgment and decision-making. The authors define noise in human judgment as "undesirable variability in judgments of the same problem" and focus on the statistical properties and psychological perspectives of the issue.

They write that noise arises because of factors such as cognitive biases, mood, group dynamics and emotional reactions. While contrasting statistical bias to noise, they describe cognitive bias as a significant factor giving rise to both statistical bias and noise.

The authors write that noise can lead to gross injustices, unacceptable health hazards, and loss of time and wealth. They argue that organizations should be more committed to reducing noise and promote noise audits and decision hygiene as strategies to detect, measure, and prevent noise.

I can guarantee our newly appointed club psychologist is an adherent of this book and Kahneman ( which is not a bad thing) because the language is eerily familiar

We dont listen to outside noise
Our data points
Group think

Hidden Brain - The Transformative Ideas of Daniel Kahneman

If you've ever taken an economics class, you were probably taught that people are rational. But about 50 years ago, the psychologists Daniel Kahneman and Amos Tversky began to chip away at this basic assumption. In doing so, they transformed our understanding of human behavior. This week, we...

podcasts.google.com

 

[Ham]

I was laughed at after the Geelong game for suggesting this, but if our game plan is to bomb it long into F50, and we’re not going to change that plan, then we need to play both Strachan and ROB with the resting ruck in a fwd pocket.

The obvious answer is to spot up the lead, but if we are sticking to this god awful game plan then play two rucks.

Did we roll out this horrid game plan in the trial games? I dont remember it then.


On iPhone using BigFooty.com mobile app

 

[Rory Walkerfield]

Did we roll out this horrid game plan in the trial games? I dont remember it then.


On iPhone using BigFooty.com mobile app

I think we were relying on TT to bring the ball to ground.

 

[Interloperer]

Favourites or defaulting to experience? I can’t recall too many who claimed Crouch was a Nicks favourite

No practical difference between the two.

 

[relapse]

Anyone else of the opinion that the club giving Nicks an extension when they did has actually increased the pressure and expectation on him?

It feels like it's actually had the complete opposite affect that they were hoping it was going to have.

 

[MrBarry]

Anyone else of the opinion that the club giving Nicks an extension when they did has actually increased the pressure and expectation on him?

It feels like it's actually had the complete opposite affect that they were hoping it was going to have.

It was just so obviously a knee jerk and bad decision that the pressure was always going to come back down.

 

[Ischenko]

I come in peace etc etc. Have you guys seen this? Reckon it’s a pretty good analysis of what’s going wrong:

Returning to old habits: Adelaide’s midfield | FTN, R2 2024

This week’s Notebook is a one-topic affair, focusing on how Adelaide are setting up their midfield.

theshinboner.com

 

[relapse]

It was just so obviously a knee jerk and bad decision that the pressure was always going to come back down.

It also puts pressure internally now as well because the club have gone all on him.

The club now need him to succeed for their own sake as well as his own.

 

[relapse]

I come in peace etc etc. Have you guys seen this? Reckon it’s a pretty good analysis of what’s going wrong:

Returning to old habits: Adelaide’s midfield | FTN, R2 2024

This week’s Notebook is a one-topic affair, focusing on how Adelaide are setting up their midfield.

theshinboner.com

Seems like a pretty accurate analysis

We've actually been talking about this for a while on here that Laird especially is a poor ball user that has absolutely zero hurt factor, unfortunately the club seems completely oblivious to it.

Glad that outsiders are starting to see what some of us have been seeing for a while.

 

[cleanhands]

What makes me the most annoyed is I can see talent go down the gurgler

 

[GROTTO]

What makes me the most annoyed is I can see talent go down the gurgler interstate.

EFA

 

[FullyBigKPro]

Anyone else of the opinion that the club giving Nicks an extension when they did has actually increased the pressure and expectation on him?

It feels like it's actually had the complete opposite affect that they were hoping it was going to have.

Its almost like we looked at the mob down the road last year and thought "dont want any media circus as we push for finals later in the season... better diffuse things now and put it to bed....Yeah, great idea Tim, genius actually, nothing could go wrong"

 

[cleanhands]

EFA

That to

 

[MrBarry]

Its almost like we looked at the mob down the road last year and thought "dont want any media circus as we push for finals later in the season... better diffuse things now and put it to bed....Yeah, great idea Tim, genius actually, nothing could go wrong"

They wanted some idiotic feel good story "hey look we have the right man for the job".