Game Day US Election Day Thread - Trump v Harris - Nov 6 Aus Time

[Chief]

AP Live Blog



More US Election streams: The Majority Report //

 

[Tadpole]

52-47 now, Trump's lead is shrinking

It'll be a squeaker imo

I’ll be a little cheesed off if it stays like that, though.

 

[GreyCrow]

surprised that all the fox news talking heads dont have orange colored lip stick.. it is 5AA calling of a crows game levels of bias.

 

[JB1975]

I've previously suggested that Harris will bolt it in.

There, I said it. Go f*** yourselves.

I still think it might slide Dem quite quickly and resoundingly, but I otherwise stand ready to delete some fine work.

 

[Randomizor]

Michigan votes coming in

 

[MadMundy]

Count faster you campaigners

 

[Dixie Flatline]

I can't believe I am getting dragged into this. guess my hypocrisy does go this far.

No. No it doesn't. All it indicates is where the money is going. A few big bets (I am talking in the millions) for 1 specific individual will skew odds because betting companies want whoever has the most money on them at the lowest odds so they don't have to pay out as much. The betting market is the easiest market to manipulate if you have enough money. Which is what is happening. This is why it swings. Trump would be leading now simply because the first booths are coming out Republican. If Cali was the first state to call votes Harris would have shortened up because she would have been on 54-0. People see the first results and think "oh I can make a quick buck" and bet on that, further making the odds shorter. Just look at last elections odds. Trump got super short and soon as Biden started winning the battleground states went from like $6 to $1.10 very quickly. This is what is happening now.

Also gambling is a cancer that people are enabling.

It's probably a conspiracy theory, but given that Musk has spent in excess of $100 million of his own money supporting Trump and has actively used his own social media platform for this, it's not overly farfetched to think that certain people have placed strategic bets to influence the betting lines that do not necessarily have the aim of collecting money on the outcome of the election. When people treat the betting lines on elections as important information, there is certainly a temptation for this to happen.

 

[ClarkeM]

Well if you think the market is wrong , back Harris. It's more like a sharemarket than horse gambling. Chill out.

Millky95 was just educating you, hard. Grow up.

 

[ESKIE]

A few on social media calling Virginia to Harris

 

[Aristotle Pickett]

Harris coming back. This race is on bros.

 

[And_ROOS]

I’m just checking in for the melts. Disappointing. I’ll be back in a couple hours.

Its like the pre-game of the AFL GF, you don't get the good melts til HT. Especially if you are a Swans fan.

 

[Royces Hart]

CNN have called Wyoming and North Dakota for Trump, it’s all over

 

[Randomizor]

A few on social media calling Virginia to Harris

Looks likely

 

[ClarkeM]

A few on social media calling Virginia to Harris

Hmmmm I think a bit early no?

 

[Millky95]

Millky95 was just educating you, hard. Grow up.

-Explains to someone why voting is bad and stupid
-Them: well go bet then

Honestly.

 

[ClarkeM]

CNN have called Wyoming and North Dakota for Trump, it’s all over

 

[Rotayjay]

Harris being 1 point ahead in the nationwide vote is not enough. But this is still very early.

 

[ClarkeM]

Texas called for Trump

 

[Millky95]

It's probably a conspiracy theory, but given that Musk has spent in excess of $100 million of his own money supporting Trump and has actively used his own social media platform for this, it's not overly farfetched to think that certain people have placed strategic bets to influence the betting lines that do not necessarily have the aim of collecting money on the outcome of the election. When people treat the betting lines on elections as important information, there is certainly a temptation for this to happen.

I reckon some big billionaires absolutely put the money on him. Maybe not in pure market manipulation but that's a side effect.

But that's just me

 

[Ambrose Burnside]

ABC dude says Harris on track for a 1% popular vote win which probably won't be enough to win the election if it stays that way.

 

[Randomizor]

Thinking the Dems ground game in PA is gonna pull the state over the line for them

 

[GreyCrow]

CNN have called Wyoming and North Dakota for Trump, it’s all over

Wyoming called with 0% counted

 

[Millky95]

99 to 120 so far

 

[Dixie Flatline]

According to NBC, 50% of the vote in Georgia comes from the Atlanta area and the suburban counties in that area. Harris overperforming Biden in Cobb County, slightly underperforming Biden in Fulton County, and overperforming Biden in Gwinnett County and in Douglas County, Rockdale County. Harris slightly outperforming Biden in Muscogee County.

NBC still not calling Georgia. Trump is performing about the same level as he did in 2020, although in Dooly County, is significantly outperforming his previous campaigns.

 

[Punt rd end]

Harris starting to really blow out now.

View attachment 2159190

I remember trump getting to about $10 in 2016 during the count

 

[Dixie Flatline]

Wyoming called with 0% counted

It's called on polls and past voting history. There's no reason to think that Wyoming would ever flip blue.