Banter Who will be Better in 2025, Collingwood or Carlton? Part 4

Banter threads are not to be taken too seriously. Have fun. Let others have fun.

Who will be better in 2025

  • Collingwood

    Votes: 101 52.1%
  • Carlton

    Votes: 93 47.9%

  • Total voters
    194

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I haven't seen any of you do any sort of in-depth analysis into the fixture. All you have mentioned are games against North/Richmond. As I have said countless times there are a million factors that make a fixture uneven and you ignore 999,999 of them because they don't suit your narrative.
Wins of your dbl up opponents

Collingwood 70
Carlton 63
Port 55

Port and Carlton both had infated H&A ladder positions because of easy double up opponents.

Port only finished 2nd, because their toughest dbl up opponent was Carlton.

But yet, you rate Port as a better team than Geelong beacuse they had a gift of a H&A fixture. 🤣🤣
 
Wins of your dbl up opponents

Collingwood 70
Carlton 63
Port 55

Port and Carlton both had infated H&A ladder positions because of easy double up opponents.

Port only finished 2nd, because their toughest dbl up opponent was Carlton.

But yet, you rate Port as a better team than Geelong beacuse they had a gift of a H&A fixture. 🤣🤣
I can't keep going around in circles - both teams got KO'd in the same round in finals and Port finished one game ahead in the H+A season. If I had to compare I'd have Port slightly ahead emphasis on slightly. Basing it off H2H will never make sense to me when the sample size is far too low each year. Factors like injuries, form etc become far too significant when looking at a 2-game sample size compared to a 23-game sample size imo
 

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You completely ignored my question and went your own way again, you're are crap at this and everytime you change the subject is a victory to us the underdogs.
Carlton seeking underdog status?

That’s a far cry from the blues of old..
 
Just coincidence that you stopped at the top 5 and excluded Hawthorn?

How many games did you predict Richmond to win in 2024 at the start of the season?
Tbf hawthorn doesn’t change it, we played you both once each.

Edit shit forgot gather round…
 
I can't keep going around in circles - both teams got KO'd in the same round in finals and Port finished one game ahead in the H+A season.
Na - Geelong KOed Port with the 80 point belting in the QF, Port were done after Wk1.

If I had to compare I'd have Port slightly ahead emphasis on slightly.
LoL

Yeah an 84 point demolition by Geelong in the QF, but yeah give the edge to Port because they had a soft H&A fixture and didnt strong teams twice. 🤣🤣

Basing it off H2H will never make sense to me when the sample size is far too low each year.
It would be great if Collingwood got to play Carlton 4 times a season.

If you get 4 gimme wins, it can go a long way to help a team limp into finals.

Factors like injuries, form etc become far too significant when looking at a 2-game sample size compared to a 23-game sample size imo
Injuries, form what are you on about?

Have you not realised you are comparing teams who have completely different H&A fixtures?

Port had the easiest double-ups in the competition (just 55 wins all up for their dbl up opponents) as they played just one of this year's finalists twice in Carlton (eighth), while also meeting Melbourne (14th), St Kilda (12th), Adelaide (15th), Richmond (18th) and Fremantle (10th) twice.

Adelaide copped a reaming (88 wins all up from their dbl ups opponents) who played Sydney (first), Port (second), Geelong (third), Brisbane (fifth), Hawthorn (seventh) and Essendon (11th) twice.

Why on earth would anybody think using H&A fixture is a fair way of comparing the strength of teams?

Port only finished 2nd because of their fixture. Give them Adelaide's fixture and they would be back with the Pies on the outside looking in.

But you decide to ignore an 80 point QF loss as your evidence (due to sample size) but use H&A fixtures which are not the same as your evidence 🤣🤣
 
Na - Geelong KOed Port with the 80 point belting in the QF, Port were done after Wk1.
Well they didn't - that's the benefit of finishing top 4 you get a second chance and they won the following week against a red hot Hawthorn.
Injuries, form what are you on about?
When you evaluate seasons based on a one or two game sample rather than 23 games those factors become more significant. The larger the sample the more "smoothed out" these factors become as the data is representative of the whole season. Each team only has 6/23 games different as you still play every other team once (i.e. 17 games).

Look at Blues/Saints for instance in Round 24 - your mate said that Saints had a better season because of that win as they won H2H. Carlton had 26 players available for selection that game - are we supposed to believe St Kilda now had the better season because of that one win by 2pts in the last round of the season...
 
Well they didn't - that's the benefit of finishing top 4 you get a second chance and they won the following week against a red hot Hawthorn.
They were never a premiership contender after Geelong toyed with them in the QF.

Sydney also waltzed past them, their form was poor and nowhere near that of the "2nd best team" in the comp during H&A.

When you evaluate seasons based on a one or two game sample rather than 23 games those factors become more significant. The larger the sample the more "smoothed out" these factors become as the data is representative of the whole season. Each team only has 6/23 games different as you still play every other team once (i.e. 17 games).
The H&A fixtures aren't smoothed out. The data shows Port had the easiest H&A fixture.

Not sure why you then run with this to say they were the 2nd best team in the comp.

If Port had Adelaide's H&A fixture they aint finishing 2nd.

That is the point...the H&A fixtures are not equal, some teams like Port benefit from a soft fixture to get top2/4 only to be shown up by "weaker" H&A teams based on the ladder.

But it is clear the weaker teams aren't actually weaker, they just didnt get Port's dream H&A fixture where Carlton was their toughest double up!

But yes, lets ignore Port's 80 point loss to Geelong, they were better than Geelong in 2024 because they had the easiest H&A fixture of all teams.👍👍

Look at Blues/Saints for instance in Round 24 - your mate said that Saints had a better season because of that win as they won H2H. Carlton had 26 players available for selection that game - are we supposed to believe St Kilda now had the better season because of that one win by 2pts in the last round of the season...
Carlton fans and injuries...

StK had a shit season, they went backwards and they also had a soft fixture aka no excuses for them being poor, the Saints were just making up the numbers.
 
They were never a premiership contender after Geelong toyed with them in the QF.
I didn't think they were a premiership contender all year because in finals Port haven't shown themselves to be a threat in the last few years. No Houston/Farrell eliminated any small chance they had imo
The H&A fixtures aren't smoothed out. The data shows Port had the easiest H&A fixture.
I never said H+A fixtures are smoothed out - I said taking into account all games rather than one or two smoothes out factors that influence performance like injuries/form etc.
Carlton fans and injuries...

StK had a shit season, they went backwards and they also had a soft fixture aka no excuses for them being poor, the Saints were just making up the numbers.
Not using injuries as an excuse I'm illustrating how one game is not representative of a teams season. So to say a team was better over the season than another because of one or two games in a 23-game season is inaccurate imo.
 
I didn't think they were a premiership contender all year because in finals Port haven't shown themselves to be a threat in the last few years. No Houston/Farrell eliminated any small chance they had imo
Bit weird that the 2nd team on H&A ladder at end of season written off, almost as if accepted they weren't the 2nd best team.

I never said H+A fixtures are smoothed out - I said taking into account all games rather than one or two smoothes out factors that influence performance like injuries/form etc.
If each team faced the same opponents in equal fixtures than it makes sense.

But to place more weight on H&A ladder which is not based on an even and balanced fixture make little sense.

Carlton enjoying 4 gimme wins against the battlers who lost 20+ games and other teams only getting 2 gimme wins gives a big leg-up to Carlton in terms of H&A ladder position.

Port's H&A fixture and not playing any of the other strong teams twice, obviously gives them a leg-up in terms of H&A ladder position.

No idea why you think getting an easier fixture (Port and Carlton) validates that they are better teams?

Not using injuries as an excuse I'm illustrating how one game is not representative of a teams season. So to say a team was better over the season than another because of one or two games in a 23-game season is inaccurate imo.
You brought up injuries and the Saints game, and keep using injuries as an excuse for a loss.
 
You brought up injuries and the Saints game, and keep using injuries as an excuse for a loss.
No I didn't - it was an example to show you how ridiculous it is to evaluate a 23-game season on 1-2 games. Factors like form/injuries have too much of a significant impact when the sample is that small
 
Bit weird that the 2nd team on H&A ladder at end of season written off, almost as if accepted they weren't the 2nd best team.
Being a good H+A team doesn't always translate to being a good team in finals. Port have been a great H+A team for years but have never performed well enough in finals.
 

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Na - Geelong KOed Port with the 80 point belting in the QF, Port were done after Wk1.


LoL

Yeah an 84 point demolition by Geelong in the QF, but yeah give the edge to Port because they had a soft H&A fixture and didnt strong teams twice. 🤣🤣


It would be great if Collingwood got to play Carlton 4 times a season.

If you get 4 gimme wins, it can go a long way to help a team limp into finals.


Injuries, form what are you on about?

Have you not realised you are comparing teams who have completely different H&A fixtures?

Port had the easiest double-ups in the competition (just 55 wins all up for their dbl up opponents) as they played just one of this year's finalists twice in Carlton (eighth), while also meeting Melbourne (14th), St Kilda (12th), Adelaide (15th), Richmond (18th) and Fremantle (10th) twice.

Adelaide copped a reaming (88 wins all up from their dbl ups opponents) who played Sydney (first), Port (second), Geelong (third), Brisbane (fifth), Hawthorn (seventh) and Essendon (11th) twice.

Why on earth would anybody think using H&A fixture is a fair way of comparing the strength of teams?

Port only finished 2nd because of their fixture. Give them Adelaide's fixture and they would be back with the Pies on the outside looking in.

But you decide to ignore an 80 point QF loss as your evidence (due to sample size) but use H&A fixtures which are not the same as your evidence 🤣🤣
Bit of a long winded and lengthy spiel that mate. Ever heard of the expression when you're explaining you're losing?:laughv1:
 
No I didn't - it was an example to show you how ridiculous it is to evaluate a 23-game season on 1-2 games. Factors like form/injuries have too much of a significant impact when the sample is that small
Lol, you brought up Carlton having injuries against StK and are still talking about injuries being a factor.

But dont want to acknowledge how the H&A fixture and how easy your double up games are has a huge impact on the final H&A ladder.

Some teams (Port and Carlton) got soft H&A fixtures in 2024. The fact you think that benefitting from a soft fixture makes you a better team is genuinely baffling.
 
Bit of a long winded and lengthy spiel that mate. Ever heard of the expression when you're explaining you're losing?:laughv1:
Do I need to dumb it down for a Bagger?

H&A fixtures aren't equal.

Some teams got soft fixtures in 2024 (Port and Carlton), those teams finished higher on the ladder due to a soft fixture, it doesnt make them "better".

But to then double down and use the H&A ladder to say Port was better than Geelong in 2024 despite Geelong belting them by 80 points in the QF is peak Carlton fan logic.
 
No I didn't - it was an example to show you how ridiculous it is to evaluate a 23-game season on 1-2 games. Factors like form/injuries have too much of a significant impact when the sample is that small
You'd better go into the new Carlton thread on the main board that just because Carlton beat some teams that finished higher on the ladder than them, it doesn't mean that those teams aren't better than Carlton...
 
Do I need to dumb it down for a Bagger?

H&A fixtures aren't equal.

Some teams got soft fixtures in 2024 (Port and Carlton), those teams finished higher on the ladder due to a soft fixture, it doesnt make them "better".

But to then double down and use the H&A ladder to say Port was better than Geelong in 2024 despite Geelong belting them by 80 points in the QF is peak Carlton fan logic.
Have a look at this years ladder and then come back to me! When you have to explain intensively it's a sure and obvious sign that your argument is not strong or straightforward.:D
 
Have a look at this years ladder and then come back to me! When you have to explain intensively it's a sure and obvious sign that your argument is not strong or straightforward.:D
Every year there are teams who get hard fixtures (Adelaide) and those who get soft gifts (Port and Carlton).

When 30% of your teams wins are from gimme games against teams who lost 20+ games you have had a gift of a fixture.

Collingwood had Carlton's measure in 2024 again.
 
Collingwood played against 17 teams below them on the ladder from the previous year. How does one figure that they had a harder fixture ?
I'm fact, finals should have been a dead set certainty but they shit the bed. Oh well. Bring in 2025
0-60 is shitting the bed and an obvious sign that a team undeservedly fell into the finals due to a soft draw, happens now and then

On SM-A225F using BigFooty.com mobile app
 
Do I need to dumb it down for a Bagger?

H&A fixtures aren't equal.

Some teams got soft fixtures in 2024 (Port and Carlton), those teams finished higher on the ladder due to a soft fixture, it doesnt make them "better".

But to then double down and use the H&A ladder to say Port was better than Geelong in 2024 despite Geelong belting them by 80 points in the QF is peak Carlton fan logic.
I never said the double ups don't have an impact - but as I have said previously there are heaps of other things that make the fixture uneven each year.

Again this whole "dumb it down" rubbish is just pure arrogance. I don't agree with you it happens
 

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Banter Who will be Better in 2025, Collingwood or Carlton? Part 4

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