List Mgmt. 2020 Trade and List Management Thread III

[Rooboys Rool]

There was speculation that clubs would be reluctant to trade 2021 picks due to the strength of next year's draft. The trades to date don't really show that to be the case.

 

[Star]

AFL journalism having a 'mare today, even by their pathetic standards

Tweet is about George Hewitt. Looks nothing like Jake Lloyd

44

Jake Lloyd

Age

31

Ht

182cm

Wt

81kg

Pos.

D/M

Career

Season

Last 5

D

23.4

5star

K

14.4

5star

HB

9.0

5star

M

4.3

4star

T

1.9

4star

MG

403.9

5star

D

23.4

5star

K

14.4

5star

HB

9.0

4star

M

4.3

4star

T

1.9

3star

MG

403.9

5star

D

23.2

5star

K

13.4

5star

HB

9.8

5star

M

4.2

4star

T

2.2

4star

MG

357.4

5star

 

[Rooboys Rool]

If it's 26 & 33 for Brown, surely we don't have to be sending anything back their way.

 

[RobZombie]

So Melbourne's future 1st is out of play unless they trade back in to the later rounds?

 

[New_Roo]

AFL journalism having a 'mare today, even by their pathetic standards

Tweet is about George Hewitt. Looks nothing like Jake Lloyd

44

Jake Lloyd

Age

31

Ht

182cm

Wt

81kg

Pos.

D/M

Career

Season

Last 5

D

23.4

5star

K

14.4

5star

HB

9.0

5star

M

4.3

4star

T

1.9

4star

MG

403.9

5star

D

23.4

5star

K

14.4

5star

HB

9.0

4star

M

4.3

4star

T

1.9

3star

MG

403.9

5star

D

23.2

5star

K

13.4

5star

HB

9.8

5star

M

4.2

4star

T

2.2

4star

MG

357.4

5star

View attachment 1007771

With Blakey connection? Are we involved.... I'd grab Hewitt, good tagger

And Lloyd obviously but he won't be on the table....


On iPhone using BigFooty.com mobile app

 

[BlueandWhiteinmyBlood]

Yeah 26 and 33 we can maybe give them a future 4th

Why are we giving change. They get one of the best forwards in the comp over the last 5 years for two mid to late second rounders. That’s a win for them, and it’s getting there for us, but it’s far from ideal.

If we manage to work those second rounders in to a first rounder somewhere down the line well then I’ll look at the bigger picture and say “yep, all things considered we did okay”. But definitely no change to Melbourne from us in my opinion.

 

[Harris 10]

George Hewitt is worth looking at.

A good defensive mid to go with Cunners, Jy and LDU would be handy.

 

[shimaburnsgrieg]

26 and 43 - points value around 15 - would be fair value for BBB. Anything better than that and Brady has done a very good job.

26 we will use as a draft selection and 43 will be packaged up imo.

 

[giantroo]

So Melbourne's future 1st is out of play unless they trade back in to the later rounds?

They can trade it as they've traded back in picks with the Dogs and Lions.

 

[RobZombie]

Can't argue with that, but I think it's worthwhile considering a couple of other perspectives:

- the picks give us the currency we need to potentially trade up and get that 12th (or 14th, if we trade with WB) best player.
- even if we don't, it's not as absolute as that to say the 12th best player is better than the 26th or 33rd best player. Fair chance they will all be a bust, but a pick 12 might give us a 25% chance of a 200 gamer, pick 26 a 20% chance and pick 33 a 15% chance. (I have no idea what the actual odds are there, but someone did do some stats on that - RobZombie ?) So, overall, the extra picks might be better as it gives us more bites at the cherry.

The stats I quoted the other day were from draftcentral. Sorry, can't access it from the daytime computer to paste a link. They have a table but it only has quite broad ranges of picks. I agree, the probabilities of getting x games at draft pick y would surely slide within those ranges.

History - and common sense - shows that you have to overpay to move up. That is probably even more so in live trading, but I haven't done the legwork to figure it out and it's going to be a small sample size at best. So it could well make sense to hold on until the last minute to maximise the return. But it makes just as much sense to take the bird in the hand - say, pick 5 from GC as the main piece coming back - than roll the dice on the right buyer being desperate enough on the night.

 

[giantroo]

Wow

 

[The Nostradamus]

Wow

Jesus Christ this has to be a joke

Who has turnstiles replaced?

 

[justroyal]

Wow

You know what.
I spent months grilling him.
But **** it.
I'm backing damo now.

 

[dollarscost]

Wow

Tweet unavailable. What is it?

 

[RobZombie]

Wow

tweet's already gone. what was it?

 

[scooby1279]

Wow

what was it? Seems to be deleted?

 

[giantroo]

Tweet unavailable. What is it?

tweet's already gone. what was it?

Jmac is back at the club in the Footy Ops Manager role.

 

[Swallow_Wood]

Wow

No can see. What's the dealio?

 

[Psicosis]

Jamie Macmillan

34

Jamie Macmillan

Age

33

Ht

188cm

Wt

89kg

Pos.

Def

Career

Season

Last 5

D

17.3

4star

K

10.3

4star

HB

7.0

4star

M

4.3

4star

T

2.0

4star

MG

368.8

5star

D

11.9

3star

K

7.3

3star

HB

4.6

3star

M

2.7

3star

T

2.3

3star

MG

212.7

3star

D

14.4

4star

K

7.0

3star

HB

7.4

5star

M

2.6

3star

T

1.6

4star

Footy Operations Manager at North was the Tweet from Morris.

 

[MagicDaw]

tweet's already gone. what was it?

Jmac back as footy operations manager

 

[Star]

 

[Rooboys Rool]

Wow

Wonder then if he'll line up for our VFL team too.

 

[giantroo]

 

[Psicosis]

I didn't love him on-field, but off-field he handles himself as well as anyone.

 

[North Viking]

Wow

Only liked because NMFC are trolling The Ziebull.