gustaaf
Team Captain
- Oct 12, 2018
- 313
- 1,326
- AFL Club
- North Melbourne
- Other Teams
- Man Utd, Vitesse Arnhem, Raiders
I think the loss of Goldie is bigger than we'd like to think it is. He might have been getting on in years, but he still had a big enough engine to carry most of the ruck load on his own. We need to find a way to compensate for his loss by improving as a clearance team. I think Wardlaw can make a big difference at least around the centre square if he stays healthy for most of our games.Really have no idea what to expect next year. Goldy gone I'm not sure is a massive issue, in that he wasn't near the player he once was, but on the flip side the entire squad knew how to play with him but the current ruck options won't have that benefit (plus have their own issues). I think it will be a stylistic adjustment more than anything.
Then we have Larkey being the Lone Ranger down forward. Again.
Last of all the defence will be without Logue (for half a season) and Mckay. Say what you will about Mckay's weaknesses but at least initially the replacements for those two won't be up to a great standard.
IMO this year will be a tale of two halves. Rough first half with new players, old champs gone, and a couple of positional issues. Then a stronger second half as things start to gel, Logue returns, and the draftess start having solid cameos off the back of good VFL conditioning.
What that looks like in terms of wins and losses I dunno, but I'd be expecting our percentage in the second half of the year to be drastically higher than what we finished on in the last few.
I'm hopeful that Duursma can provide a second genuine marking and goal kicking threat in our attack to complement Larkey. Perhaps I'm expecting too much too soon from him, but he has X-factor written all over him with his skillset.
The loss of general experience will be felt, but with our draw I think we should be able to manage 6-8 wins. If we can reduce conceding goals by 1 or 2 per game, that alone will make a huge difference. I think that will come down to structures that need to be drilled into the team. I'm confident that we have improved our ball retention ability coming off HB through the players we have drafted and recruited, which should reduce turnovers putting the defence under immediate pressure again. As you've noted, the 2nd half of the season should be much better than the 1st half. 2024 will be our transition year.
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