Rumour 2024 Hypothetical trade and FA Thread

[Hot Cheese Rioli]

Ignore the media discussion - you guys are well and truly in the mix (if not favourites) for Bailey Smith (this is what I've heard all season and posted on the Dogs board).

The thing is though I would still make it less likely than more likely, and there's still so much uncertainty in the process, and if he doesn't go to Hawks there's no way of proving me right - just that the percentages of which club he ends at (my summary) is like 35% Hawks, 30% Geelong, 20% other and 5% Dogs. So if he ends up at Geelong, Collingwood, in Queensland, it doesn't mean I'm wrong (even if it didn't eventuate), just knowing what I know, you're individually more likely than any other club.

 

[TazHawk15]

Ignore the media discussion - you guys are well and truly in the mix (if not favourites) for Bailey Smith (this is what I've heard all season and posted on the Dogs board).

The thing is though I would still make it less likely than more likely, and there's still so much uncertainty in the process, and if he doesn't go to Hawks there's no way of proving me right - just that the percentages of which club he ends at (my summary) is like 35% Hawks, 30% Geelong, 20% other and 5% Dogs. So if he ends up at Geelong, Collingwood, in Queensland, it doesn't mean I'm wrong (even if it didn't eventuate), just knowing what I know, you're individually more likely than any other club.

I got through 85% of that, but could not get through it all.

 

[TassieGrown]

Ignore the media discussion - you guys are well and truly in the mix (if not favourites) for Bailey Smith (this is what I've heard all season and posted on the Dogs board).

The thing is though I would still make it less likely than more likely, and there's still so much uncertainty in the process, and if he doesn't go to Hawks there's no way of proving me right - just that the percentages of which club he ends at (my summary) is like 35% Hawks, 30% Geelong, 20% other and 5% Dogs. So if he ends up at Geelong, Collingwood, in Queensland, it doesn't mean I'm wrong (even if it didn't eventuate), just knowing what I know, you're individually more likely than any other club.

35+30+20+5=90% you are missing 10%

There is an 85% chance you will you be correct

 

[threenewpadlocks]

Fair enough I'm copping shit but just passing on my info.

You're simultaneously on the inside lane with the best contract offer for Smith out of any club, but also, Smith himself is still legitimately undecided as well as many things being able to change between now and October.

I don't think much of the media reporting has you on the inside lane or being discussed as favourites, which is what I'm trying to get across, even if, again, on balance, it's less likely than it is likely.

 

[threenewpadlocks]

35+30+20+5=90% you are missing 10%

There is an 85% chance you will you be correct

Typo. Meant 30% other.

 

[BIGHAWK23]

Ignore the media discussion - you guys are well and truly in the mix (if not favourites) for Bailey Smith (this is what I've heard all season and posted on the Dogs board).

The thing is though I would still make it less likely than more likely, and there's still so much uncertainty in the process, and if he doesn't go to Hawks there's no way of proving me right - just that the percentages of which club he ends at (my summary) is like 35% Hawks, 30% Geelong, 20% other and 5% Dogs. So if he ends up at Geelong, Collingwood, in Queensland, it doesn't mean I'm wrong (even if it didn't eventuate), just knowing what I know, you're individually more likely than any other club.

Never thought ChatGPT could make less sense then a dogs supporter

 

[threenewpadlocks]

I do have Hawthorn sources but if this is the shit I'm copping, that'll be the last you hear from me.

 

[matey]

Given what we have I reckon we are hedging our bets with Battle and Barrass where we will only get one. Battle is probably preferred as we can still use our first ……. one thing that gets overlooked a bit on who we bring in is that we have plenty of players that deserve a pay increase over the next couple years!

 

[BIGHAWK23]

I do have Hawthorn sources but if this is the shit I'm copping, that'll be the last you hear from me.

Is that a 35% chance?

 

[badboybobba]

I do have Hawthorn sources but if this is the shit I'm copping, that'll be the last you hear from me.

I think if you had of worded it better you wouldn’t be copping flak, you could’ve just said that you’re hearing that we are the favourites to land him but plenty of water to go under the bridge or something along those lines

Everyone on here enjoys hearing information regarding our club and welcome it

 

[badgrill]

Ignore the media discussion - you guys are well and truly in the mix (if not favourites) for Bailey Smith

6

Bailey Smith

Age

23

Ht

185cm

Wt

86kg

Pos.

M/F

Career

Season

Last 5

D

18.3

5star

K

8.5

3star

HB

9.8

5star

M

2.3

2star

T

3.8

5star

CL

2.7

4star

D

19.8

5star

K

9.6

4star

HB

10.2

5star

M

1.8

2star

T

3.2

4star

CL

3.2

4star

D

14.8

4star

K

7.6

3star

HB

7.2

5star

M

2.0

3star

T

3.4

5star

CL

1.6

4star

(this is what I've heard all season and posted on the Dogs board).

The thing is though I would still make it less likely than more likely, and there's still so much uncertainty in the process, and if he doesn't go to Hawks there's no way of proving me right - just that the percentages of which club he ends at (my summary) is like 35% Hawks, 30% Geelong, 20% other and 5% Dogs. So if he ends up at Geelong, Collingwood, in Queensland, it doesn't mean I'm wrong (even if it didn't eventuate), just knowing what I know, you're individually more likely than any other club.

 

[LegendLewis]

I do have Hawthorn sources but if this is the shit I'm copping, that'll be the last you hear from me.

I for one always appreciate some info, whether it pans out or not options are always something that excites.

We’ve pretty much had six elimination finals in a row the last six weeks and the tension in here has been a little trigger happy the last two weeks. I’m over invested to an extent that its difficult to think of anything else other than hitting refresh on the hawks bigfooty page and seeing who else is loving what we’re doing.

Good luck next weekend, my best mate is a bully and we’re both pissed that the two best teams in it will pnly be one after the first week!

 

[TylerDurden]

I do have Hawthorn sources but if this is the shit I'm copping, that'll be the last you hear from me.

Hang around, if legit.

 

[threenewpadlocks]

Hang around, if legit.

Most of it's pretty mundane to be honest.

One pretty funny thing I can say is everyone at the club from top to bottom was genuienly surprised at how much Jacob Koschitzke is getting at Richmond. You wanted to keep him, but you don't get in the way of the fact that another club (Richmond) is offering twice as much money as you ... which is twice as much money as 17 clubs in the league would have offered him.

 

[Howe Amazing]

One guy on X is going with the fact Saints have upped their offer and he will stay at bigger money than what we are offering. Any info here TD etc

 

[BIGHAWK23]

One guy on X is going with the fact Saints have upped their offer and he will stay at bigger money than what we are offering. Any info here TD etc

Yeah that’s not true

 

[rei154]

I do have Hawthorn sources but if this is the shit I'm copping, that'll be the last you hear from me.

Our board has a habit of shitting on anyone and everyone (included our ITK's with great track records), share what you can if you feel like it- a lot of us will appreciate it!

 

[Bugs1977]

Ignore the media discussion - you guys are well and truly in the mix (if not favourites) for Bailey Smith (this is what I've heard all season and posted on the Dogs board).

The thing is though I would still make it less likely than more likely, and there's still so much uncertainty in the process, and if he doesn't go to Hawks there's no way of proving me right - just that the percentages of which club he ends at (my summary) is like 35% Hawks, 30% Geelong, 20% other and 5% Dogs. So if he ends up at Geelong, Collingwood, in Queensland, it doesn't mean I'm wrong (even if it didn't eventuate), just knowing what I know, you're individually more likely than any other club.

We've got 4 of our own trusted posters on our board that have him going to the Cats. 2 of those had him coming to us early on but now have him to the Cats. Not knocking your intel (well sort of) but when someone starts throwing around percentage it reeks of nonsense.

 

[tl92]

I do have Hawthorn sources but if this is the shit I'm copping, that'll be the last you hear from me.

Would our future first get it done do you think?

 

[QuietB]

My strong mail, from the inner sanctum of that club, is that all trade requests will be blocked. He can request all he likes.

If the club had any balls they sack Goodwin, trade Oliver and then Petracca could live there happily ever after.

 

[Bugs1977]

One guy on X is going with the fact Saints have upped their offer and he will stay at bigger money than what we are offering. Any info here TD etc

It's true. This is footage of the Saints list manager walking with Battles manager. They're now on the hook for 5 years @1.7mil per season

 

[cryptor]

Ignore the media discussion - you guys are well and truly in the mix (if not favourites) for Bailey Smith (this is what I've heard all season and posted on the Dogs board).

The thing is though I would still make it less likely than more likely, and there's still so much uncertainty in the process, and if he doesn't go to Hawks there's no way of proving me right - just that the percentages of which club he ends at (my summary) is like 35% Hawks, 30% Geelong, 20% other and 5% Dogs. So if he ends up at Geelong, Collingwood, in Queensland, it doesn't mean I'm wrong (even if it didn't eventuate), just knowing what I know, you're individually more likely than any other club.

Thanks for letting us know he's a chance of landing at literally any club.

 

[Sixpence]

I do have Hawthorn sources but if this is the shit I'm copping, that'll be the last you hear from me.

To be fair, a lot of the shit you're copping is really just a running joke at Jon Ralph's expense, who said he's 85% sure Smith is going to Cats. Clearly a made up percentage.

 

[TylerDurden]

One guy on X is going with the fact Saints have upped their offer and he will stay at bigger money than what we are offering. Any info here TD etc

It's gone quiet.

 

[bigmaxi]

Agree but fully expect Melbourne to enforce the contract and refuse any trade attempts. They don’t have to do anything which leaves trac in a fairly powerless position

Not a great message to the rest of the team. Better to sit back go for broke then say, didn’t get offered enough or take the kitchen sink.