Continued from Part 1 - https://www.bigfooty.com/forum/threads/2024-us-presidential-election-trump-vs-harris.1383317/
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USA 2024 US Presidential Election: Trump vs Harris (pt II)
- Thread starter Financialpanther
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So this is probably the closest to accurate unbiased and well constructed USA election poll in existence ATM.
It was undertaken by the major data collection and polling group AtlasIntel which got the closest to correct prediction in 2020 as per this list (Chief will probably restrict this so only logged in members can see results).
The Poll: ( https://www.atlasintel.org/poll/usa-national-2024-09-14) was taken on the day of and the day after the Trump/Harris debate and covers a much wider and in depth field of questions. It includes opinions on current leadership of the country as well as opinions on major factors of influence for the upcoming election. It asks questions in a couple of different ways to confirm results etc, as needs to happen for real accuracy and as mentioned was the closest to accurate polling group in 2020.
Anyway the below is a question from this data set that demonstrates a very different USA public response to that which is being promulgated by most media outlets and the polling groups they are quoting and promoting.
It will be very interesting to see if they repeat their more accurate performance.
It was undertaken by the major data collection and polling group AtlasIntel which got the closest to correct prediction in 2020 as per this list (Chief will probably restrict this so only logged in members can see results).
The Poll: ( https://www.atlasintel.org/poll/usa-national-2024-09-14) was taken on the day of and the day after the Trump/Harris debate and covers a much wider and in depth field of questions. It includes opinions on current leadership of the country as well as opinions on major factors of influence for the upcoming election. It asks questions in a couple of different ways to confirm results etc, as needs to happen for real accuracy and as mentioned was the closest to accurate polling group in 2020.
Anyway the below is a question from this data set that demonstrates a very different USA public response to that which is being promulgated by most media outlets and the polling groups they are quoting and promoting.
It will be very interesting to see if they repeat their more accurate performance.
GreyCrow
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- Mar 21, 2016
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Interesting. Not seen that before
My ironic radar did spot the accepted error at 2.03 and the poll question at 2.6 with noise at the bottom but I will take a look at them
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I'm not smart enough to give a prediction state by state but gut feeling, with abortion on the ballot, Florida will be won by the Dems and the election will be called almost immediately after.
GreyCrow
Make me an Admin!
- Mar 21, 2016
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Out of Brazil and is rated 22nd with a mark just under 3 stars by 538. ( 3 stars is the highest)
FiveThirtyEight, an expert on measuring and rating pollster performance, has evaluated 24 polls by AtlasIntel, earning 2.7 stars for accuracy, indicating they are High Factual by MBFC’s criteria. They also conclude that their polling slightly favors the right with a score of -0.8, which equates to Least Biased overall in polling bias. In general, AtlasIntel is considered accurate and demonstrates minimal bias in polling.
They seem to have a good rating and are not owned by anyone I can see that has any political affiliation obvious. ( that may change)
Not sure you can make the above claim but it isnt terribly inaccurate
- Dec 7, 2001
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blackshadow
Hall of Famer
blackshadow
Hall of Famer
Well, I've never bought a horse. So there's that.
Report: Elon Musk offered to buy flight attendant horse in exchange for erotic massage, exposed himself
The Business Insider reports that it has obtained documents and interviews alleging that billionaire SpaceX and Tesla founder Elon Musk engaged in sexual misconduct, but Musk denied the claims and took to Twitter.www.local10.com
- Jul 5, 2012
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- Kidding, right?
Four pages since this post, and so far not one taker that I can see.
Interesting.
Russian bots not Australians
- Jul 5, 2012
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- Kidding, right?
Surely they have an Introduction To Australian Culture manual?
Nyet
“Both sides are the same, mate”
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Swing and a miss.
Circle jerkin.
**** the Trump assassination pic, that's photo of the year
Yes, Elon with actual power to determine safety regulations, what could possibly go wrong.
I've assessed this from every angle and can't see any potential issues, it's a flawless plan m8
Should just give her one wrapped in tinfoil, something tells me she'd be ok with that compromise lolTina Peters and a magnetic matress,
Keep in mind Tina is an was an avid lindell pillow guy supporter,
Trump Ally Tina Peters Tells Judge She Can't Go To Jail Without 'A Magnetic Mattress': Here's Why
Tina Peters, a Trump supporter convicted of election fraud, is making headlines by refusing jail time unless she is provided with a special magnetic mattress for health reasons.www.ibtimes.co.uk
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Watched a few mins of his speech at the rally, been on the Trump train for awhile obviously but it's still pretty incredible just where he's at now imo. Full MAGA brainworm stage - they'll take your guns and let illegals vote etc
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