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Thinking about what sort of deal I am putting to GC for pick 13.
Let's think about what GC want
Well they need to get better value out of pick 13.
Currently it will be eaten by the Lombard bid
I reckon that pick 9 is about where the bid will come which will be 1175 points
Assuming GC has sold 13 that eats up 23 (815) and 29 (653) and gives them back pick 49
But they also have prospective no.1 next year Zeke Uwland (Bodhi's brother) to keep in mind.
They need 2025 draft capital.
They are probably going to sell more picks from this year's pool to build insurance that they get their man.
So how do we play to their interests to acquire what we want, pick 13?
First, we're going to be overpaying a bit, no use complaining, it's a seller's market and plenty of buyers.
But let's make things work.
First, we need a way to get more 2025 capital in the door. Two obvious options
Sell pick 34
Sell a player
These deals will need to happen before the GC deal, so it's got to be someone who a team wants and not an after thought.
This is why I think our first deal is Matt Kennedy and a Future 3rd for his preferred destinations Future 2nd and a back end pick this year for points (Camporeales)
We then add our new Future 2nd to our own Future 1st and offer that to GC for Pick 13 and pick 41.
Gold Coast don't care about this year's draft outside the top 10 and Lombard so I don't see them complaining about the late 2nd.
So now we have pick 12, 13, 34 and 41 and a ton of junk picks as the back of the draft.
From here you can choose your direction.
Dan Houston, draft whateverPLAYERCARDSTART9Dan Houston
- Age
- 27
- Ht
- 186cm
- Wt
- 88kg
- Pos.
- Def
CareerSeasonLast 5
- D
- 18.2
- 5star
- K
- 11.8
- 4star
- HB
- 6.4
- 4star
- M
- 4.9
- 5star
- T
- 3.0
- 5star
- MG
- 289.2
- 4star
- D
- 17.6
- 4star
- K
- 11.6
- 4star
- HB
- 6.0
- 3star
- M
- 3.3
- 3star
- T
- 3.4
- 4star
- MG
- 319.9
- 5star
- D
- 16.6
- 4star
- K
- 12.4
- 5star
- HB
- 4.2
- 4star
- M
- 7.0
- 5star
- T
- 2.6
- 4star
- MG
- 279.8
- 5star
PLAYERCARDEND
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They will need picks to get Marshall alsoThatās good and I see everyone else also saying GCS will want to maximize the points they get for Pick 13 to match but why arenāt they instead looking at moving up the draft into Top 7 to beat the bid on Lombard? They currently have picks 6, 13, 22 about 28 and about 40 etc. 13 + 22 could get them Saintsā Pick 7 or maybe SOS will want 13 + 22 + 28 which also the Suns would probably pay.
Is there a reason why everyone assumes Suns will trade down instead of up? And for next season they canāt get ahead of the bid so can just use up first and second round picks and thatās fine because they would end up with 2 Top 7 picks this season and another Top 5 pick next season. When you have so many Top 10-20 picks on your list you donāt need to worry about second round and third round draftees.
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Marshall is Lions. Suns will need to match Lombard, which is relatively easy with the old system remaining.They will need picks to get Marshall also
Would putting Cunningham on the rookie list be worthwhile, if we can? Happy to be shot down, due to how injury prone he is and his tendency to drift in and out of games. This could be a low risk approach (rookie), to potentially getting a player who offers a very high return. He ticks a lot of boxes that our list is lacking in: speed, class and silky skills. I think his ability as an inside midfielder in bursts/rotations is really underrated, as he looks like he can win clearances with ease and at speed.
I was watching footage of Murphy Reid, who is first round prospect in this yearās draft and he made me think about Cunningham as his playing style looks similar, although Reid is smaller and with less speed. Reid looks like he racks up more possessions than Cunningham may have as a junior. Nevertheless Cunningham, aināt too old, at 27 yrs of age and I reckon heās worth another chance - how many has he already had? Thoughtsā¦?
One thing that needs to change with list management is recruiting too many injury prone and project players. Lists were made smaller a few years back and we now have our own VFL side and a mid season draft. It makes sense to sign injury prone players like Cuningham and project players like Akuei, Mirkov, O'Keefe etc to the VFL list and when they begin to show something, take them in the mid season draft.
The AFL list should be for players who can play AFL or play it soon, not maybe play AFL or might be able to play it in 4 years time.
Our big issue has been having too many players on the list who can't play AFL. Either because they are injured, not good enough or nowhere near developed enough. We have made some really poor choices and that needs to stop.
I would happily offer VFL contracts to guys like Cuningham and these long term project types but not AFL contracts. I think this is the way of the future.
Ah shit, getting my Qld players mixed upā¦.Marshall is Lions. Suns will need to match Lombard, which is relatively easy with the old system remaining.
Suns have multiple quality academy kids next year, including Zeke Uwland who was all Australian as an under ager this year and is currently in pick 1 conversations. They will be doing that with much tougher conditions. Lesser discount and removal of any value of later ājunkā picks. Suns will absolutely want an extra first leading in to next yearās draft plus what ever else they can reasonably acquire.
Cripps is not a forward. He's the best midfielder in the comp.What kind of options does it lead to for us if we place Cripps at CHF for the year. Heās got nothing else to prove on ball. We can then develop another 1-2 kids on ball like lord and OHollands.
Anyone know anything about why Cooper Vickery was delisted from the Swans?
I know nothing of him, but he might be worth rookie listing looking at his pre-draft highlights, he looks a beautiful kick.
Could be a cheap 'Houston' in a couple of years.
1cm shorter than Boyd. Frame might not be as solid but might be worth a punt, unless he's a total head case.The write-ups for him suggest he has good pace, good penetrating ball use and breaks lines. The knock seem to be on his physical size, but that can be overcome. You'd think you'd have to have effort or attitude problems to get cut loose after two seasons and being taken at #27 in the draft, but who knows?
Anyone know anything about why Cooper Vickery was delisted from the Swans?
I know nothing of him, but he might be worth rookie listing looking at his pre-draft highlights, he looks a beautiful kick.
Could be a cheap 'Houston' in a couple of years.
1cm shorter than Boyd. Frame might not be as solid but might be worth a punt, unless he's a total head case.
We are in the premiership window. We need to use Pick 12 to get Houston. If we don't make top 4 next year with the team below, Voss needs to be sacked.
We need to trade in or draft a speedy goal kicking midfielder with good foot skills (e.g. player like Shai Bolton - obviously we can't get him).
Team for next season:
B: Boyd--------------------Weitering--------------Newman
H: *Houston--------------McGovern---------------Saad
C: Acres--------------------Cripps-----------------Docherty
H: E.Hollands--------------C.Curnow--------------Silvagni
F: Williams-----------------McKay------------------Fogarty
Foll: De Koning, Cerra, Walsh
Bench: *Haynes, Hewett, *New Midfielder, Moir
Inness may know?The write-ups for him suggest he has good pace, good penetrating ball use and breaks lines. The knock seem to be on his physical size, but that can be overcome. You'd think you'd have to have effort or attitude problems to get cut loose after two seasons and being taken at #27 in the draft, but who knows?
Inness may know?
Good effort Jim. I'd have it quite a bit different but don't mind it.Taking a crack at the 23 and reserves with the likely changes so far, as well as a couple of predicted draft picks:
FB: McGovern Weitering Newman
HB: Cowan Haynes Saad
C: Acres Cerra Walsh
HF: Fogarty McKay E.Hollands
FF: Silvagni Curnow Williams
R: TDK Cripps Kemp
Int: O.Hollands (def/mid), Docherty (def/mid), Hewett (mid), Moir (fwd)
Sub: Motlop (fwd/mid)
Reserves
FB: Cincotta Young L.Camporeale
HB: Boyd Duffy M.Carroll
C: Wilson B.Camporeale Binns
HF: Durdin O'Keeffe Fantasia
FF: Cottrell Lemmey Hotton
R: Pittonet Lord Hynes
Int: Monahan