Autopsy AFL 2024 Round 24 - Cats v Eagles Sat Aug 24th 1:45pm AEST (GMHBA)

[Wosh]

4th v 16th

AFL 2024 PREMIERSHIP SEASON ROUND 24
GEELONG V WEST COAST
SATURDAY AUGUST 24TH 1:45PM AEST (GMHBA)

Live scores on BigFooty during the match.

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Teams:
CATS
B: L.Humphries, J.Henry, J.Kolodjashnij
HB: M.Holmes, M.Blicavs, Z.Guthrie
C: M.Duncan, T.Atkins, O.Dempsey
HF: T.Stengle, S.Neale, S.Mannagh
F: B.Close, J.Cameron, O.Henry
FOLL: R.Stanley, P.Dangerfield - C, T.Stewart

I/C: Z.Tuohy, J.Bowes, G.Miers, J.Bews, T.Bruhn
EMG: G.Rohan, O.Mullin, M.Knevitt

IN: Z.Tuohy, J.Bews, T.Bruhn
OUT: O.Mullin (Omitted), M.Knevitt (Omitted), G.Rohan (Managed)

EAGLES
B: T.Cole, H.Edwards, B.Hough
HB: L.Duggan, R.Bazzo, R.Ginbey
C: J.Hunt, E.Yeo, C.Hall
HF: J.Cripps, J.Darling, T.Dewar
F: J.Petruccelle, O.Allen - C, J.Waterman
FOLL: B.Williams, T.Kelly, H.Reid

I/C: C.Chesser, H.Johnston, J.Williams, R.Maric, J.Hutchinson
EMG: M.Flynn, Z.Trew, L.Rawlinson

IN: R.Bazzo, C.Hall, C.Chesser, R.Maric, J.Hutchinson
OUT: A.Witherden (Injured), J.McGovern (Injured), A.Gaff (Retired), L.Ryan (Personal Reason), Z.Trew (Omitted)



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[NetworkNerd]

Geelong by 127 points to give them a chance at top 2 (Given Port and GWS have away games)

 

[JackFlash]

Geelong are the worst team in the 8, but even they couldn't stuff this game up despite playing on their "bogey" ground. Cats in a thriller by 5 points. Geelong are only one "RayGunn" performance away from ending their season.

 

[Chinacats]

Cats to win, but hopefully build their % to have a chance at top 2. Cats haven’t belted anyone this year , so might be just a 5-6 goal win. Eagles are also better this year.

 

[My Tilly]

Cats by 70 points.
Secure fourth spot. Get some rest into the oldies and then shock the world at the SCG in the qualifying final as underdogs

 

[Mr Meow]

Eagles will rise to guarantee Geelong 4th or worse. The Cats have rarely punished sides over the past 2 seasons.

Geelong by 26 points.

 

[xLeCrAs2x]

It would be a huge win for the eagles to lose by anything under 70 points, it’s going to be a blood bath in tipping 138 points

 

[Greasyrhys]

Think it’s time the afl made the cats play away from their narrow ground in the last round regardless of not being able to play there in finals. Beating a bottom 4 team easily there isn’t good prep for finals.

 

[PhatBoy]

Think it’s time the afl made the cats play away from their narrow ground in the last round regardless of not being able to play there in finals. Beating a bottom 4 team easily there isn’t good prep for finals.

Certainly cost us big time when we beat the same opposition by 14 goals there in 2022.

 

[MC Extra Dollop]

We could actually drop to eighth if we lose here. Could theoretically finish second as well, without the sort of mental gymnastics it would take to get Collingwood into eighth from here. We haven't shown any capacity to really push a 8-10 goal win into 100+ territory this year, but we've loved a final H&A round Kardinia Park smashing in years gone by.

Likeliest scenario is a fairly uneventful win, one of Port or GWS (or both) also winning and us not really being that close to bridging any gaps in percentage (even if both Port and GWS lose). An interesting wrinkle for us if we have put the game beyond doubt early is we have to wait until the last game for the other results that (may) matter to us.

But, just win the game, first and foremost. Secure fourth place. The way we've gone since late-Autumn, we're bloody lucky to be in that position.

 

[Sttew]

On form and location-wise, WB must be at least slightly better than 50% chance to defeat Giants (111.7%) in Ballarat.

Cats (107.7%) has to be a shoe-in to beat Eagles. If we beat Eagles by, say 60 points (90 v 30), our % only goes up to 110.7% but that may be enough, if WB beat Giants by 10-20 pts.

It's do-able. Only fly in the ointment is that Giants will come into game knowing result of Geelong game and what they need to do to avoid being leap-frogged on ladder by the Cats.

I am less optimistic about Dockers' chances of beating Lions Power

 

[Wojcinski]

On form and location-wise, WB must be at least slightly better than 50% chance to defeat Giants (111.7%) in Ballarat.

Cats (107.7%) has to be a shoe-in to beat Eagles. If we beat Eagles by, say 60 points (90 v 30), our % only goes up to 110.7% but that may be enough, if WB beat Giants by 10-20 pts.

It's do-able. Only fly in the ointment is that Giants will come into game knowing result of Geelong game and what they need to do to avoid being leap-frogged on ladder by the Cats.

I am less optimistic about Dockers' chances of beating Lions

Dockers are no chance of beating the Lions this weekend

because they play Port

 

[Sttew]

Dockers are no chance of beating the Lions this weekend

because they play Port

I did know that!!

 

[Cam Payne]

Are there direct flights to Bali from Avalon? Cats by greater number than a pies supporter can count.

 

[Lia]

Nice to see the appropriate level of fear and concern from the Cats fans here. Did you replace your scoreboard since the last 200 pointer?

 

[Wojcinski]

Are there direct flights to Bali from Avalon? Cats by greater number than a pies supporter can count.

is it gonna be that close?

ps. I hate your avatar

 

[Cam Payne]

is it gonna be that close?

ps. I hate your avatar

Yeah sorry. I got asked to change my avi from a Jeff Farmer one and this is the only original one I could find.

 

[ep2018]

This game will be such a massacre that Geelong theoretically can still finish 2nd if Port and GWS lose their games as well.

 

[MC Extra Dollop]

On form and location-wise, WB must be at least slightly better than 50% chance to defeat Giants (111.7%) in Ballarat.

Cats (107.7%) has to be a shoe-in to beat Eagles. If we beat Eagles by, say 60 points (90 v 30), our % only goes up to 110.7% but that may be enough, if WB beat Giants by 10-20 pts.

It's do-able. Only fly in the ointment is that Giants will come into game knowing result of Geelong game and what they need to do to avoid being leap-frogged on ladder by the Cats.

I am less optimistic about Dockers' chances of beating Lions Power

Yeah, ideally if we're taking requests, matching the biggest margin and scores so far this season (Brisbane 163 v Richmond 44), that would bring our percentage up to a level (113.8) where we'd jump either/both Port and GWS, unless they win (or draw). Would have been nice to be in the position to possibly jump them even if they did win, but oh well.

Just win the game first. All up, fourth isn't too shabby after the external preseason expectations and the up and down season we've had. But if it's clear that we're blowing them off the park 20-40 minutes in, I hope we go for the jugular. The faint sniff of pinching second spot is too valuable to not go all-out for, if the opportunity presents.

 

[Drunkcat]

I think C O'Sullivan might get a game this week.

 

[Footy Smarts]

I think C O'Sullivan might get a game this week.

That feels extremely unlikely if we're trying to tune up for finals.

 

[Drunkcat]

That feels extremely unlikely if we're trying to tune up for finals.

Tune up for what we will be out in straight sets, give the kid a 2nd game

 

[Wosh]

Teams are up

 

[TheEscapeClub]

Some decent outs at WCE and I like Geelong's inclusions.

Cats by 15 to 20 goals.

 

[Drunk_off_R0zee]

Fingers crossed the eagles don't completely capitulate and lose by 100+ here.. it's a huge possibility