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AFLW 2024 - Round 10 - Chat, game threads, injury lists, team lineups and more.
some interesting statistics in this post.Season 37 Analysis
The EltonJohnsWig/ClarkeM Administration
After a few days of retrospection it's finally time to dive into the current season and see how the health of the league is faring right now. The irregular fixture with 104 games spread across 20 rounds made things interesting to analyse but we'll give it a crack nonetheless. For historical data, I'll just be using Seasons 34 to 36, for three reasons. Firstly, I simply have more detailed info for those seasons having covered them in depth earlier in this thread. Secondly, Season 33 was the end of an inflated period of activity due to COVID lockdowns, and as a result was the most active season in the league's history. Season 34, where we'll be starting from, was what I would call a 'return to normal' when compared to the seasons that preceded it. Thirdly, it was the season the Old Boys joined and things got a little weird with fixturing. And if you do want to have a look at some data from earlier seasons, you can check out this post in the thread or serial_thrilla's S33 analysis (with links to seasons prior).
Enough of the pre-amble, let's crack in.
Season Trends
The simplest stat we can look at is the total number of match thread posts for the season.
View attachment 2003264
This number declined slightly from Season 36, by a tad over 2000 posts. However, like I've mentioned about a million times in this thread so far, the number of rounds and games is not as constant as it used to be in the 12-team era so we'll break it down by number of posts per match thread.
View attachment 2003270
After three seasons of growth in the 'post-COVID' era, S37 saw a significant drop in posts per match thread, losing 15.2% from S36. The numbers don't stack up well in previous seasons either, and we'd have to go back to Season 28, with around 600 posts per match thread, to see a similar number.
View attachment 2003280
This one isn't quite as doom-and-gloom. This is simply the number of posters who posted at least once in the season, and Season 37 actually saw a net gain of 10 posters, through a combination of rookies, returning players and reactive players.
View attachment 2003283
And the number of weekly posters has also shown improvement, with just under 5 more on average across the six match rounds. So it would appear that the number of participants is rising slightly, but the volume is down.
View attachment 2003289
This one is perhaps a little more alarming, serial_thrilla's 'magic number' - the amount of posters averaging at least 5 posts a week across the season. This number saw a similar decline to the total volume, dropping from 170 in Season 36 to 157 in Season 37, the lowest it's been since Season 29 where there were 145 active posters.
View attachment 2003322
Now for some weekly comparisons, starting with the average posts per match thread. We had a few rounds with only one game which can create outliers, like Round 19 where the Roys played the Swamprats in the only game. But looking past those, we can see that the season started stronger than the past three before dropping away a fair bit in the next six weeks or so. By the time we get to what I would call 'the weird bye rounds' period of the season, it has fallen away a lot more, and this is where the bulk of that aforementioned loss in volume occurred. Also just something I found pretty interesting - Round 1 and Round 2 of this season had the exact same number of match thread posts, 6302.
View attachment 2003324
Now looking at the average posters per match thread, this is again where can see that the flat participation rate was actually pretty good in Season 37. Again, a bit of a slope down to Round 9 or so but it picked back up again in the second half of the season despite less posting overall, and cracked an average of over 30 in the final round of the season.
View attachment 2003336
The average number of 'active posters' wasn't as strong across the season for Season 37, although Round 3 was a peak for the league in recent seasons. As you can see, while the average number of posters jumped up to 30.2 in Round 20, the average number of posters with at least 5 posts dipped to 17.8.
View attachment 2003349
Finally for the weeky trends, this one is something I picked up on in my analysis, and that's the fact that Season 37, as a whole, has seen fewer 'posting centuries' in earlier seasons, which isn't too surprising considering the number of participants is up yet the number of posts are down, so that volume has to come from somewhere.
Club Comparisons
This is probably what most of you have come to read, so let's take a look at how the clubs stacked up against eachother. I'll be using the S34-S36 data in the individual club breakdowns that follow this post, these graphs will just be looking at Season 37.
View attachment 2003401
The Old Boys were the clear leaders in total match thread posts, with 12730, averaging out at just under 800 per match. The Wonders were next highest at 7170 and then it was a pretty even bunch behind them between 7000 and 5700 posts, including (in order) the Demons, Bombers, Dragons, Warriors, Hawks, Roys and Bears. At the other end of the spectrum, the Furies and the Gumbies were by far the least active teams in S37, and an individual player managed to post more than either of them, but more on that a bit later in the post.
View attachment 2003403
Next we have the total number of posters with at least one post across the entirety of the season. The Swamprats had just 15 individuals turn up at any point throughout the season, while the Bombers, Demons and Roys had the biggest list. 21/22 definitely seems to be the sweet spot with 7 clubs in that range.
View attachment 2003410
The ledger is different though when it comes to average match thread posters per week, where we see the Demons and the Bears are clear standouts, nearly filling 19 active spots each round. The Swamprats fall below the Gumbies in this metric with just 11.3 posters per week and the Furies again behind them with 10.7.
View attachment 2003417
If we tweak the graph to only capture posters with at least 5 posts for the thread, the Bears and Demons are still the leaders but the Old Boys do perform a lot better in this metric, with 12.3 'active' posters per week, and most of the other clubs hovering between 12 and 10.5.
View attachment 2003425
And finally if we bump that number up a final time to 20 posts, the Old Boys jump back into the league, with an average of nearly 10 posters per week posting 20 times or more. The Roys drop away a fair bit in this statistic as their list is quite top heavy.
Individual Comparisons
View attachment 2003439
Here's the top 20 individual posters for Season 37, with DemurePrincess absolutely miles in front with an average of 198.4 posts per week (she surpassed 200 on seven occasions and in R12 posted 511 times). Her total of 3175 comfortably eclipses the combined totals of the Furies (2323) and the Gumbies (2709), although I have been told at least 80% of the league has her on ignore so it may have flown under the radar. Behind her, Mobbs, Robertio and Pugsley were the others to average at least 100 posts per week, and having just 4 posters hit this mark is historically low, with S36 having nine players in this bracket, S35 having seven and S34 having eight.
The Old Boys, as the highest volume team of S37, unsurprisingly have the most representatives on this list with five, while the Demons and Dragons have three, the Bombers, Warriors and Wonders have two, the Roys, Hawks and Royals have one each and the Bears, Furies, Swamprats and Gumbies have none.
View attachment 2003446
DP also had the most 'posting centuries', reaching 100 posts in 14 of her 16 match threads. A total of 42 posters across the league reached 100 posts in a match thread at least once in Season 37.
View attachment 2003454
The last of many coloured graphs to look at for this analysis is the top 10 in percentage of club total. Mobbs is the standout here, with a whopping 37.6% of all Roys posts penned by their skipper and league legend. James Colorado also did a big chunk of the Furies total output for Season 37, while damicky and philreich both contributed fairly evenly for the Swamprats.
Over the next few days we'll go through each of the clubs, with their final posting tallies and some closer analysis as well.
I was on holidaysView attachment 2003595
View attachment 2003621
Next up we have the Warriors, another club led in posting by their captain Tonga Bob, who averaged 83.6 posts per week. Dinsdale proved to be an able wingman with 65.6, followed by spudmaster (51.2) and then a bit of a drop away to pantskyle (27.1) and The Filth Wizard (24.0). They had another three posters averaging at least 20 posts per week and then two more averaging at least 10, with a total of 21 posters appearinace at least once through Season 37. They recorded an equal-best thirteen 'match thread wins', including 11 in a row between Rounds 5 and 18.
View attachment 2003608
It was a quiet off-season on the recruitment front for the Warriors, signing the returning Stokey and rookie Paracleet who combined only averaged 2.6 posts per week. However, leaving the club were two inactive players in S36 so overall it's a very small gain for Coney Island.
View attachment 2003609
Over 50% of Warrior posting was covered by their top 3 contributors, in Tonga Bob, Dinsdale and spudmaster, with a tad over 10% of their posts coming from players outside their top 10 - having done these pie graphs for every club, I can comfortably say that looks to be around the league average and something to aim for.
View attachment 2003611
Total activity was down for the Warriors in Season 37, dropping nearly 30% from their Season 36 levels.
View attachment 2003612
Not quite as big a drop for posters though - this is a trend replicated in many ways across the league.
View attachment 2003614
Bumping up the threshold to 5 does show a bit more of a difference though - they had, on average, 3 fewer players posting at least 5 times in a match thread in Season 37.
Love your work, big stickyView attachment 2003595
View attachment 2003621
Next up we have the Warriors, another club led in posting by their captain Tonga Bob, who averaged 83.6 posts per week. Dinsdale proved to be an able wingman with 65.6, followed by spudmaster (51.2) and then a bit of a drop away to pantskyle (27.1) and The Filth Wizard (24.0). They had another three posters averaging at least 20 posts per week and then two more averaging at least 10, with a total of 21 posters appearinace at least once through Season 37. They recorded an equal-best thirteen 'match thread wins', including 11 in a row between Rounds 5 and 18.
View attachment 2003608
It was a quiet off-season on the recruitment front for the Warriors, signing the returning Stokey and rookie Paracleet who combined only averaged 2.6 posts per week. However, leaving the club were two inactive players in S36 so overall it's a very small gain for Coney Island.
View attachment 2003609
Over 50% of Warrior posting was covered by their top 3 contributors, in Tonga Bob, Dinsdale and spudmaster, with a tad over 10% of their posts coming from players outside their top 10 - having done these pie graphs for every club, I can comfortably say that looks to be around the league average and something to aim for.
View attachment 2003611
Total activity was down for the Warriors in Season 37, dropping nearly 30% from their Season 36 levels.
View attachment 2003612
Not quite as big a drop for posters though - this is a trend replicated in many ways across the league.
View attachment 2003614
Bumping up the threshold to 5 does show a bit more of a difference though - they had, on average, 3 fewer players posting at least 5 times in a match thread in Season 37.
View attachment 2003595
View attachment 2003621
Next up we have the Warriors, another club led in posting by their captain Tonga Bob, who averaged 83.6 posts per week. Dinsdale proved to be an able wingman with 65.6, followed by spudmaster (51.2) and then a bit of a drop away to pantskyle (27.1) and The Filth Wizard (24.0). They had another three posters averaging at least 20 posts per week and then two more averaging at least 10, with a total of 21 posters appearinace at least once through Season 37. They recorded an equal-best thirteen 'match thread wins', including 11 in a row between Rounds 5 and 18.
View attachment 2003608
It was a quiet off-season on the recruitment front for the Warriors, signing the returning Stokey and rookie Paracleet who combined only averaged 2.6 posts per week. However, leaving the club were two inactive players in S36 so overall it's a very small gain for Coney Island.
View attachment 2003609
Over 50% of Warrior posting was covered by their top 3 contributors, in Tonga Bob, Dinsdale and spudmaster, with a tad over 10% of their posts coming from players outside their top 10 - having done these pie graphs for every club, I can comfortably say that looks to be around the league average and something to aim for.
View attachment 2003611
Total activity was down for the Warriors in Season 37, dropping nearly 30% from their Season 36 levels.
View attachment 2003612
Not quite as big a drop for posters though - this is a trend replicated in many ways across the league.
View attachment 2003614
Bumping up the threshold to 5 does show a bit more of a difference though - they had, on average, 3 fewer players posting at least 5 times in a match thread in Season 37.
If the Hawks voted for the ineligible big_icky for the EKA, well, that's just a real slap in the face for sausageroll.
Never mind, I voted for sausageroll in the Fred.If the Hawks voted for the ineligible big_icky for the EKA, well, that's just a real slap in the face for sausageroll.
I wish to employ you next season to do my stats for me. In return I shall provide you with endless Vengelerstrassebars and Marzipan JoyJoys (mit iodine!), and protect you from bullies and cannibal educators.View attachment 2003595
View attachment 2003621
Next up we have the Warriors, another club led in posting by their captain Tonga Bob, who averaged 83.6 posts per week. Dinsdale proved to be an able wingman with 65.6, followed by spudmaster (51.2) and then a bit of a drop away to pantskyle (27.1) and The Filth Wizard (24.0). They had another three posters averaging at least 20 posts per week and then two more averaging at least 10, with a total of 21 posters appearinace at least once through Season 37. They recorded an equal-best thirteen 'match thread wins', including 11 in a row between Rounds 5 and 18.
View attachment 2003608
It was a quiet off-season on the recruitment front for the Warriors, signing the returning Stokey and rookie Paracleet who combined only averaged 2.6 posts per week. However, leaving the club were two inactive players in S36 so overall it's a very small gain for Coney Island.
View attachment 2003609
Over 50% of Warrior posting was covered by their top 3 contributors, in Tonga Bob, Dinsdale and spudmaster, with a tad over 10% of their posts coming from players outside their top 10 - having done these pie graphs for every club, I can comfortably say that looks to be around the league average and something to aim for.
View attachment 2003611
Total activity was down for the Warriors in Season 37, dropping nearly 30% from their Season 36 levels.
View attachment 2003612
Not quite as big a drop for posters though - this is a trend replicated in many ways across the league.
View attachment 2003614
Bumping up the threshold to 5 does show a bit more of a difference though - they had, on average, 3 fewer players posting at least 5 times in a match thread in Season 37.
Just don't ask about what happened to all those rookies and new growth you guys were meant to provide... I've read the receipts, and seen your recruitment effortsView attachment 2004010
not bad for a club that was supposed to fold after its 3rd season
View attachment 2004014
You've made a big mistake here, theres about to be 10 different oobs in here calling you stupid once turbo posts this in their team chat.Just don't ask about what happened to all those rookies and new growth you guys were meant to provide... I've read the receipts, and seen your recruitment efforts
8 out of those 10 plucked from other clubs no doubtYou've made a big mistake here, theres about to be 10 different oobs in here calling you stupid once turbo posts this in their team chat.
Please point on the graph at the point where the OOBs joined:View attachment 2004010
not bad for a club that was supposed to fold after its 3rd season
View attachment 2004014
15 rookies brought in over four seasons, we are well and truly doing our partJust don't ask about what happened to all those rookies and new growth you guys were meant to provide... I've read the receipts, and seen your recruitment efforts
having s36 average per week for the outgoing is a sham. It should be S37 to see what they could've had.... DemurePrincess averaged 300 p/w for example, would mean that the Hawks actually FAILED HEAVILY!
Along with the rebrand back to the Hawks came an aggressive recruitment drive aimed at bringing back former scorned East Siders who weren't happy with the switch to the Phoenix. The club did really well in this regard, and more than replaced the outgoings of @DemurePrincess, @thewizardmelon and @Jhye Clark 13 to rival clubs with @Tarkyn_24 and @Strigoi becoming the two most active posters at the Eyrie. The returning @boncer34 was also a major contributor along with @Biggie, @Loonerty and @larrikin and these four former club legends combined for a total of 35.3 posts per week. The Hawks will be happy to have picked up @Giant Strides as a rookie who contributed in 75% of their match threads this season.
I don't think you can lose what you didn't have.having s36 average per week for the outgoing is a sham. It should be S37 to see what they could've had.... DemurePrincess averaged 300 p/w for example, would mean that the Hawks actually FAILED HEAVILY!