If Dow wants to stay on quite basic money, he would surely be welcome. Realistically he is sixth or probably even seventh in line of our midfielders. Cripps, Walsh, Cerra, Hewett, Kennedy, Docherty, then Dow. Hollands will become a mid rather than winger in time. All bar Dow contracted for two years or better. No matter how popular he is, and despite some very decent showings, we can’t carry costly depth. It would be poor list management. Acres can go inside. Un signed Cuningham and Fogarty at least pinch hitters as is Fisher who is fielding offers.Dow doesn't offer us a point of difference as an inside outside mid as some are saying. A point of difference would be a player like Butters or Rozee who have genuine speed to burn from stoppage and in space. Dow has good acceleration from stoppage but plods in general play.
Imo it's a battle between Hewett and Kennedy for whoever's in the best form/health for the last spot in the 22 and Dow misses out. His defensive pressure is behind all of our starting mids and that's why he's been in the 2s the last few years. Good back up as we've seen but I'd take any of the others ahead of him any day of the week.
It is a numbers game. Unless he is happy to take considerable unders, Paddy’s number is up. We can’t keep them all.
TBH I am more concerned about Jack Silvagni. Great clubman, great utility. Does not get a game with current system while our two rucks and Jack Martin are fit. Offers back up in many positions, but he is better than a depth player. A free agent who has his destiny in his own hands. The young man will be torn. Probably gets double the money elsewhere and likely more playing opportunity. He is a professional football from a family of savvy operators. Some of the internal “noise” over the journey may just offset the family heritage. Would love him in our next flag team, but little guarantee he will get a game.
Similarly Cuningham, Marchbank and Fogarty likely have offers, but they will be discounted due to injury. Can see other clubs taking the gamble and offering middling contracts for the first two.
There will be some pain before the off season concludes. Almost impossible to predict where as yet.