Game Day Collingwood v Richmond March 31 7:50pm

[Harry O]

Checkers - tough as teak - never in doubt was the Tassie iron man

 

[Apex36]

Checkers - tough as teak - never in doubt was the Tassie iron man

Maybe hold off on that until you see him run out on the ground tomorrow.

 

[Mostfamousclub_Pies]

Happy that Johnson is back in. It’s disappointing that Cox is injured, although the forecast is for rain so the conditions wouldn’t necessarily have suited him.
Pies by 5 goals.

 

[cityslick1]

Shame you didn't bring this wit to our board

arent oppo supporters banned from posting on the tigers board...? A few flags and still a massive chip on the shoulder of whomever thought up that little insecure nugget of a rule on a public forum.

 

[Apex36]

I guess if we can’t have our Cox in, the only thing to do is to put our Johnson in.

 

[Cousin of Daicos]

I’m fine with that change. If it ends up being wet Cox probably want going to be much good to us

 

[grayza2018]

Good to see Ash back in there. Reef as sub again, Checkers good to go

Pies by 23. Go Pies!!

 

[sideswipe]

I guess if we can’t have our Cox in, the only thing to do is to put our Johnson in.

Dare I say, a like for like replacement


On iPhone using BigFooty.com mobile app

 

[TradeDraft]

Reef is Stiff

 

[cityslick1]

From the Richmond board, some v funny posters on there, as usual....


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[Aussie pie]

Are the Reef fans going to be upset? I wouldn’t worry, he’ll be playing, they said they’d give checkers up until game day to be fit. No point risking him, Reef to be the late change In tomorrow. Wilson or JC as sub.

 

[Doc1763]

Reef is Stiff

Not as stiff as Cox.



Sorry

 

[Timmy from Thomastown]

Reef is Stiff

Not really, it’s just a structural decision. they need a ruck or at least a ruck option to replace cox. Johnson is a better fit and it means we don’t have to take mcstay out of the forward line to ruck if we don’t want to.

Reef still a chance to come in late for mihocek.

Sub will be a lottery if Mihocek doesn’t get up but Carmichael or Bianco the better options.

 

[Quicky]

I guess if we can’t have our Cox in, the only thing to do is to put our Johnson in.

Reef is Stiff

I know it was an accident but ...

 

[FireKrakouer]

Walt asked me to step in due to him being unavailable due to “artistic fatigue”. What this means is that because everyone likes saying “Johnny Flucken Noble”, but no one gives Walt credit for coming up with the term(so he says), the little mincer is in a huff.

Thanks for the great write up. I need to ask seriously if the above is true or not... whilst it's not the most creative nickname ever, it just really works for our very own Sir J F N.

I guess if we can’t have our Cox in, the only thing to do is to put our Johnson in.

 

[domus]

Quite possibly.

Is Wilson much shorter than Johnson? We might need to maximise our aerial presence.


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I don't have great faith in Wilson as far as being a presence up forward as in taking contested marks and tackling and chasing. He is a silky finisher.

 

[pablo disco bar]

Reef is Stiff

So is cox

 

[WalterBlaknWhte]

Thanks for the great write up. I need to ask seriously if the above is true or not... whilst it's not the most creative nickname ever, it just really works for our very own Sir J F N.

F.K., after Ben Reid’s left leg fell off and we had to send him to the farm, I didn’t know if I could ever love a player as much

Well, I do

And his name is Johnny F*cking Noble


Collingwood by 64 points

 

[Apex36]

I know it was an accident but ...

It’s taken all my will power to not follow up on Dave’s post

 

[gouki88]

The mods might not be happy with this massive breach of protocol, but I like to test boundaries. Gone Critical - the worst of the mods - is in Puerto Rico on a human trafficking holiday, so he won't notice. And the rest of them are still on their "We Got Rid of Jathanas" MDMA/ayahuasca bender, so it's game on.

Very good

 

[Deleted member 133504]

Reef is Stiff

So is Cox, since he won't be able to just Reef it in the (goal) mouth. Fortunately, our Johnson wants to be stiff, so we can stick it up the tuggers

Cox was never going to come in wet. Prefers it dry.

Im sure there are Richmond supporters of all genders that don't Iike the warm up?

It’s taken all my will power to not follow up on Dave’s post

Yeah....whoopsie

 

[Fruit]

Nathan Broad – well, the one thing he will be remembered for in retirement won't be this current suspension.

Great post. Every time I see him I can’t help but think of that picture.

 

[Heater3923]

For those stat freaks that may be interested. Completed my analysis of scoring chains of Richmond and Collingwood for first 2 rounds.

Overall, total scoring shots across 4 quarters split into 5 min increments.

20mins 15mins. 10mins 5min
Tigers 11 13 12. 12
Magpies 17 16 17 19

Just based on these totals you can see Collingwood score more across the whole quarter, but their strength is the last 10 mins and red time of each quarter.

Richmond’s strength doesn’t appear to be in second half of quarters.

Where chains commence

Front half Defensive half
Tigers 18 21
Magpies 31 23

Collingwood is no longer relying on counter attack football. As we now hold our own in Contested possession and clearance we are now more of a forward half side (only 33.5 rebound 50s a game) that relies on fwd 50 efficiency (ranked 2) and repeat entries (13 scoring shots a game) to score.

Richmond are still a defensive half side. They rely on counter attack with only (8 repeat entry scoring shots a game), averaging 38.5 rebound 50s a game and their inside 50 efficiency is woeful (ranked 15).

Total shots from stoppage:

Centre bounce Stoppage
Tigers 9 (+4) 8 (+2)
Magpies 14 (+6) 19 (+8)

Collingwood have more scoring shots from stoppage. Speaks for itself. But to be fair to Richmond - they concede less scoring shots from stoppage. Either way, the -/+ differential is in both their favours with Collingwood ahead in centre bounce and hugely ahead at stoppages around the ground.

Total shots from turnover and intercept mark:

Tigers 24
Magpies 29

Total scoring shots from distance

30m or less 31m or more
Tigers 28 20
Magpies 45 22

Angle of total scoring shots

Middle Wide Boundary
Tigers 24 16 8
Magpies 36 23 8

Collingwood are scoring from inside 30 and from the middle. Simply put Richmond aren’t getting as many goals from that area.

Stats from AFL that appear to be a key point of difference between the two:

- Turnovers - Tigers ranked 3rd (more turnovers) Magpies 17th (less turnovers)

- Centre bounce clearance - Tigers ranked 13th Magpies ranked 7th

- Goal accuracy - Tigers ranked 8th Magpies ranked 1st

- Shot efficiency - Tigers 15th Magpies 3rd

- Goal efficiency - Tigers 13th Magpies 1st

- Disposal efficiency - Tigers 12th Magpies 5th

- Marks inside 50 - Tigers 9th Magpies 4th

What’s it all mean?

Collingwood, as stated previously, can win this two ways. Win Contested ball and clearance and trap the ball inside front half.

Or counter attack.

If Richmond start rebounding off the back half and capitalising, we can still rely on their poor inside 50 efficiency to counter attack like 2022.

If we are efficient ourselves, we can score from the back half, and reset at a centre bounce, win the clearance and get it in the front half again. Turn the screws and keep the pressure on.

Adelaide (O’Brien had a field day in 3rd quarter) trapped Richmond inside their front half and dominated Richmond in 3rd quarter.

Unlike Richmond we’ve not been dominated in a quarter yet. I think history will repeat this week. There will be an opportunity to pile on goals and blow this game open.

That 3rd quarter vs Crows should have Richmond concerned coming up against a front half dominating side like Collingwood.

I don’t know if weather will have an influence, nor Cox being out on Collingwood output - or if Richmond change things up and modify game-plan.

I do know that Hopper will be missed as he leads Richmond inside 50 count, and is top 4 in stoppage and tackles for them. Martin and short out obviously hurt too.

All things being equal. Based on the scoring chains data, Collingwood’s efficiency in getting scoring shots and Richmond’s lack of it, Collingwood should win this game.

Based on Richmond’s worst quarter allowing 5.8 to 1.1 last week vs crows - in a quarter the crows retained the ball in its front half - as well as the Tigers tendency to score less later in quarters, reliance on defence half scoring shots and turnovers Collingwood will get the scoring opportunities to win by plus 4 goals.


If everything goes as the stats and data suggest, I expect a plus 30 point win.

All the stats and coaching in the world won’t help us if the players don’t execute Flys brilliant game-plan and/or we succumb to a lot of injuries and/or Richmond turn it on and play a blinder.


Sent from my iPhone using BigFooty.com

 

[FireKrakouer]

F.K., after Ben Reid’s left leg fell off and we had to send him to the farm, I didn’t know if I could ever love a player as much

Well, I do

And his name is Johnny F*cking Noble


Collingwood by 64 points

Well then bless you sir, I don't care what everyone else here says about you.

While he's still prone to the occasional brain fade, Johnny F*cking Noble is a beast of a workhorse who strikes fear into our competitors every time he comes flying out of nowhere towards the sherrin like an albino ninja.

 

[IlovethePies]

For those stat freaks that may be interested. Completed my analysis of scoring chains of Richmond and Collingwood for first 2 rounds.

Overall, total scoring shots across 4 quarters split into 5 min increments.

20mins 15mins. 10mins 5min
Tigers 11 13 12. 12
Magpies 17 16 17 19

Just based on these totals you can see Collingwood score more across the whole quarter, but their strength is the last 10 mins and red time of each quarter.

Richmond’s strength doesn’t appear to be in second half of quarters.

Where chains commence

Front half Defensive half
Tigers 18 21
Magpies 31 23

Collingwood is no longer relying on counter attack football. As we now hold our own in Contested possession and clearance we are now more of a forward half side (only 33.5 rebound 50s a game) that relies on fwd 50 efficiency (ranked 2) and repeat entries (13 scoring shots a game) to score.

Richmond are still a defensive half side. They rely on counter attack with only (8 repeat entry scoring shots a game), averaging 38.5 rebound 50s a game and their inside 50 efficiency is woeful (ranked 15).

Total shots from stoppage:

Centre bounce Stoppage
Tigers 9 (+4) 8 (+2)
Magpies 14 (+6) 19 (+8)

Collingwood have more scoring shots from stoppage. Speaks for itself. But to be fair to Richmond - they concede less scoring shots from stoppage. Either way, the -/+ differential is in both their favours with Collingwood ahead in centre bounce and hugely ahead at stoppages around the ground.

Total shots from turnover and intercept mark:

Tigers 24
Magpies 29

Total scoring shots from distance

30m or less 31m or more
Tigers 28 20
Magpies 45 22

Angle of total scoring shots

Middle Wide Boundary
Tigers 24 16 8
Magpies 36 23 8

Collingwood are scoring from inside 30 and from the middle. Simply put Richmond aren’t getting as many goals from that area.

Stats from AFL that appear to be a key point of difference between the two:

- Turnovers - Tigers ranked 3rd (more turnovers) Magpies 17th (less turnovers)

- Centre bounce clearance - Tigers ranked 13th Magpies ranked 7th

- Goal accuracy - Tigers ranked 8th Magpies ranked 1st

- Shot efficiency - Tigers 15th Magpies 3rd

- Goal efficiency - Tigers 13th Magpies 1st

- Disposal efficiency - Tigers 12th Magpies 5th

- Marks inside 50 - Tigers 9th Magpies 4th

What’s it all mean?

Collingwood, as stated previously, can win this two ways. Win Contested ball and clearance and trap the ball inside front half.

Or counter attack.

If Richmond start rebounding off the back half and capitalising, we can still rely on their poor inside 50 efficiency to counter attack like 2022.

If we are efficient ourselves, we can score from the back half, and reset at a centre bounce, win the clearance and get it in the front half again. Turn the screws and keep the pressure on.

Adelaide (O’Brien had a field day in 3rd quarter) trapped Richmond inside their front half and dominated Richmond in 3rd quarter.

Unlike Richmond we’ve not been dominated in a quarter yet. I think history will repeat this week. There will be an opportunity to pile on goals and blow this game open.

That 3rd quarter vs Crows should have Richmond concerned coming up against a front half dominating side like Collingwood.

I don’t know if weather will have an influence, nor Cox being out on Collingwood output - or if Richmond change things up and modify game-plan.

I do know that Hopper will be missed as he leads Richmond inside 50 count, and is top 4 in stoppage and tackles for them. Martin and short out obviously hurt too.

All things being equal. Based on the scoring chains data, Collingwood’s efficiency in getting scoring shots and Richmond’s lack of it, Collingwood should win this game.

Based on Richmond’s worst quarter allowing 5.8 to 1.1 last week vs crows - in a quarter the crows retained the ball in its front half - as well as the Tigers tendency to score less later in quarters, reliance on defence half scoring shots and turnovers Collingwood will get the scoring opportunities to win by plus 4 goals.


If everything goes as the stats and data suggest, I expect a plus 30 point win.

All the stats and coaching in the world won’t help us if the players don’t execute Flys brilliant game-plan and/or we succumb to a lot of injuries and/or Richmond turn it on and play a blinder.


Sent from my iPhone using BigFooty.com

Very enlightening.