Geelong's MCG night match average score

[RogersResults]

Carlton.............99.99...102.64...2.65...(14)
Collingwood.......99.60....97.83..-1.78...(29)
Essendon..........94.52....99.06...4.54...(16)
Geelong..........112.70....92.12..-20.59..(17)
Hawthorn.........96.96....97.29.....0.34...(17)
Melbourne........80.58....78.50...-2.08...(10)
Richmond.........87.17....92.88....5.71...(16)
St Kilda...........89.99....77.91...-12.08..(11)
WB/Footscray.101.10....82.23...-18.87..(13)

Teams playing 10 or more night matches at the MCG 2007-2011 R1
First column: Average score all matches 2007-2011 R1
2nd column: Average score 2007-2011 R1 - night matches at the MCG
3rd column: Difference from overall average score
Figures: (14) - number of night matches at the MCG

Do any keen Cat performance analysers have any theories about what
appears to be a significant drop in performance?

 

[SJ]

We've played a top three side in basically all of those games. That hasn't helped.

 

[Hinkley29]

Without analysing the strength of the teams we played in those games, the numbers you post are meaningless.

 

[you pick one]

7 or 8 easy beats at home and a couple under the roof at what ever they call it these days v quality sides at the G,-20 Points not to bad.

 

[Selective Retention]

Yep. We only really play Saints, Pies and Hawks at the G. Plus Dogs in the finals and Carlton for the first time in ages last year.

 

[Cooee Cobber]

We've played a top three side in basically all of those games. That hasn't helped.

That would also be the reason why Pods hasn't performed as well at the G.

 

[JUBJUB]

That would also be the reason why Pods hasn't performed as well at the G.

Didn't realise Pods had played a few seasons

 

[Badtemperedbadger]

Carlton.............99.99...102.64...2.65...(14)
Collingwood.......99.60....97.83..-1.78...(29)
Essendon..........94.52....99.06...4.54...(16)
Geelong..........112.70....92.12..-20.59..(17)
Hawthorn.........96.96....97.29.....0.34...(17)
Melbourne........80.58....78.50...-2.08...(10)
Richmond.........87.17....92.88....5.71...(16)
St Kilda...........89.99....77.91...-12.08..(11)
WB/Footscray.101.10....82.23...-18.87..(13)

Teams playing 10 or more night matches at the MCG 2007-2011 R1
First column: Average score all matches 2007-2011 R1
2nd column: Average score 2007-2011 R1 - night matches at the MCG
3rd column: Difference from overall average score
Figures: (14) - number of night matches at the MCG

Do any keen Cat performance analysers have any theories about what
appears to be a significant drop in performance?

lots of variable to affect these figures.
need to know who we played at night, for example StKilda twice last year, so automatically brings down the average.

plus what wre the weather conditions for games etc.

need a lot more info before you see if there is any relevant trend.

 

[LifeSpan-Void]

Geelong's two highest scores in that period were 222 points vs Richmond at Etihad, and 182 points vs. West Coast at Subiaco. Those two scores alome will artifically bump up our average higher than what it really is. Several other high scores were achieved at the MCG, but not at night (QF 2007, GF 2007). As previously stated we do tend to play better sides in night games at the MCG. In support of this I do recall witnessing an unholy belting of Melbourne at the 'G at a night game in 2008 - 100+ point margin which reinforces the theory that our opponents tend to be better, which would contribute to our more modest scores.

 

[Cooee Cobber]

Didn't realise Pods had played a few seasons

I wasn't bagging him. I thought it might have been the difference in the ground or the larger crowd getting to his nerves but you would have to think the opposition would be the main factor.

 

[MC Extra Dollop]

I wasn't bagging him. I thought it might have been the difference in the ground or the larger crowd getting to his nerves but you would have to think the opposition would be the main factor.

But the quality of opposition wouldn't explain him shanking multiple set shots at goal when he has played at the MCG (especially last year's PF and the Monday game against Carlton following Anzac Day), shots that he would put through the middle with his eyes closed at Skilled. He's had his opportunities at the MCG, but he just hasn't converted consistently, like he does elsewhere.

 

[David the Cat]

I'd be more interested in average scores against St Kilda on wet/damp nights on the MCG in the first round of a season.

Those figures shown are meaningless out of context.

HP might use them tho.