How Crow Can You Go? An Adelaide Football Club Saga

[Brighton_Diggins]

Or another way to look at it:
Rd 13# We beat doggies by 3 points, could have lost that if things didn't go our way
Rd 15# We beat Freo by 4 points, could have lost that if things didn't go our way
Rd 17# We beat swans by 7 points, could have lost that if things didn't go our way
Rd 22# Beat saints by 10 points, could have lost that if things didn't go our way.

Could have been 3 wins on the 'oh what if' ladder

The results are what they are, no point saying 'what if'

I agree the 6-8 wins was what was expected and we somehow got there (mainly due to sacking Bolton and playing to our strengths)
Don't think SOS would give a s**t about the crows as they are where they were likely to finish (and where he would have expected them to finish), he would have been worried when we were stuck on 1 win but the club made the move as we were underperforming.

There's a million ways to skin the 'what if' cat. NO arguements there. I was just saying we are a better side than 16th -15th. Yes you're right, it is what it is.
As for SOS not caring? Yeah nah. He is a competitive beast to the core. The crows blowing a valve would've definitely interested him....

 

[ajb72]

negative nancies. Im counting on us finishing with 8 wins this year.

 

[HavUEvaSeenTheRain]

These close games probably even themselves out. I remember Richmond in 2017 had about three loses by under a goal and another by just over a goal. They win them and they go down in history as one of the most dominant seasons of all time. What is obvious though is unless we get smashed by injuries we should be expecting to play finals next year.

 

[FRUMPY]

These close games probably even themselves out. I remember Richmond in 2017 had about three loses by under a goal and another by just over a goal. They win them and they go down in history as one of the most dominant seasons of all time. What is obvious though is unless we get smashed by injuries we should be expecting to play finals next year.

Easy to go from 2-7 wins, a lot tougher to go from 7-13 wins but yes finals should be the aim.

 

[mochacinolatte]

I am thrilled we not giving them pick 1 or 2. Not gonna lie first half of the year it look like a disaster.

 

[TheKITC]

BTW crew, what is the context around that footage of SOS on draft night doing the fist pump?

After trade is done? After drafting someone?

 

[fnm_just a man]

Presuming the Dogs beat Adelaide it has pretty much turned out into a nothing trade with a very even outcome for both sides. It’s been fun though

The beauty is that we feel like winners and they feel like losers due to their arrogance earlier in the season. I’m enjoying it.

FWIW, I actually think they do lose because, imo, they need as many good young players as possible - a bit like us in preceding years. I reckon they’d prefer 2 high quality youngsters to 1 at this point. Bad list management decision.

Secondly, the quality of the drafts have to be considered. It seems pretty obvious that a pick 19 from last year’s draft would likely go a bit higher in this year’s draft.



On iPad using BigFooty.com mobile app

 

[Healer]

I wonder if they still have grins like a split watermelon

Home – Triple M

www.triplem.com.au

You get a similar grin. - "pants off, bent over"

 

[spry]

Thanks for the stats El Topo, cheers.

Another way of looking at it, is what were the records of teams that finished 16th?

2012: 4 wins, 67.5%, Melbourne
2013: 5 wins, 82.6%, St Kilda
2014: 6 wins, 76.7%, GWS
2015: 4.5 wins, 72.9%, Gold Coast
2016: 4 wins, 74.3%, Fremantle
2017: 6 wins, 78.2%, Carlton
2018: 4 wins, 75.6%, St Kilda
2019: 7* wins (or 8 wins if we beat Cats), 87.2%, Carlton

We are a clear outlier, most of those teams in the 70%s, we are approaching 90%. Most have 4 wins, we will have 7 or 8. Crazy

Do you think this could be the outcome of the AFL’s ‘equalisation’? Could be pulling the top teams down and the bottom teams up making the middle of the table far more congested and competitive. Could be an outlier too.


On iPhone using BigFooty.com mobile app

 

[Jeremias]

BTW crew, what is the context around that footage of SOS on draft night doing the fist pump?

After trade is done? After drafting someone?

After we had drafted Stocker

 

[Pinnell]

Its about $31 for all results to go our way (greater if you factor in North need to win by a lot and Bulldogs to smash Crows) and see us rise to 15th and them fall to 12th. I'm on. Will make the result even sweeter

 

[Aphrodite]

Oh Tex

 

[Faz 2000]

Oh Tex

Good on him. I think it's brave and honourable to still maintain an optimistic, team-first approach before running out for your final game as skipper.

 

[The Old Dark Navy's]

I wonder if they still have grins like a split watermelon

Home – Triple M

www.triplem.com.au

They went the early Crow.

 

[dlb99]

So as it stands today, the Blues are 16th and Crows are 10th.

One more round to go, here are my honest-to-goodness predictions:

- Carlton vs Geelong (in Geelong), I predict a Geelong win

- Sydney vs St Kilda (in Sydney), Sydney win

- North vs Melbourne (in Tasmania), North win by about 40 points

- West Coast vs Hawthorn (in Perth), West Coast by 20 points

- Bulldogs vs Adelaide (in Ballarat), Dogs by 50 points

- Port Adelaide vs Fremantle (in Adelaide), Port by 30 points

Ladder in reverse order:

18th - Gold Coast
17th - Melbourne
16th - Carlton
15th - Sydney
14th - St Kilda
13th - Fremantle
12th - North Melbourne
11th - Adelaide
10th - Port Adelaide
9th - Hawthorn
8th - Essendon
7th - Bulldogs
etc etc

Pick 3 to the Crows
Picks 8 and Liam Stocker (pick 19 2018 draft) to the Blues.

BUT, I strongly suspect the AFL will gift Gold Coast a priority pick so they end up with both Matt Rowell and Noah Anderson, the consensus top 2 in the draft and coincidentally good friends.

So that changes the swap to:

Pick 4 to the Crows
Picks 9 and Liam Stocker (pick 19 2018 draft) to the Blues.

2018 is looking like a superdraft.
Word from those in the know is this year's draft is back to being a standard draft. Some think 9 of last year's top 10 would go ahead of this year's 1.

This swap was looking disastrous around May for us.
Once David Teague steadied the ship I believe this swap will be a slight win to us.
I like what I saw from Stocker, he has a bit of Luke Parker about him.

I will be thankful once this is all settled next week. I hated caring about Crows games.

 

[C4[2]Yo`DooR]

If we manage to turn Pick 3/4 into Stocker and Crouch/Wines/Martin/Papley/Hill

That would be a huge win.

 

[Stamos]

So as it stands today, the Blues are 16th and Crows are 10th.

One more round to go, here are my honest-to-goodness predictions:

- North vs Melbourne (in Tasmania), North win by about 40 points
- Bulldogs vs Adelaide (in Ballarat), Dogs by 50 points

Crows fall to 12th with these results

 

[mochacinolatte]

Crows fall to 12th with these results

Pick 7 will be a miracle.

 

[cfc4life]

The easy draw will get us in the top 4.

Indeed.

 

[Robbo's my hero]

I’m looking forward to closing this thread. Picking on bottom teams leaves an uneasy feeling with me.

 

[footyfan1978]

BTW crew, what is the context around that footage of SOS on draft night doing the fist pump?

After trade is done? After drafting someone?

He was pumped we secured Stocker and got that extra first round pick on the night after we had no picks for ages after Walsh.
I did not watch live but later on that night when discovered we had a pick I was not expecting I was even more pumped than SOS myself as really wanted another mid in our youngsters to develop. A tough one especially which he is.

 

[BigFrizz36]

Or another way to look at it:
Rd 13# We beat doggies by 3 points, could have lost that if things didn't go our way
Rd 15# We beat Freo by 4 points, could have lost that if things didn't go our way
Rd 17# We beat swans by 7 points, could have lost that if things didn't go our way
Rd 22# Beat saints by 10 points, could have lost that if things didn't go our way.

Could have been 3 wins on the 'oh what if' ladder

The results are what they are, no point saying 'what if'

I agree the 6-8 wins was what was expected and we somehow got there (mainly due to sacking Bolton and playing to our strengths)
Don't think SOS would give a s**t about the crows as they are where they were likely to finish (and where he would have expected them to finish), he would have been worried when we were stuck on 1 win but the club made the move as we were underperforming.

You are a glass half empty guy. Sure that you are not surly from the simpsons?
We actually need guys like you to keep the eternal optimists in check.

 

[C4[2]Yo`DooR]

Pick 7 will be a miracle.

I say we flip pick 7 for Jaksch, Whiley and #19 for old times sake.

 

[Aphrodite]

But wait there's more from Tex ...

 

[C4[2]Yo`DooR]

OMG ... that is so embarrassing.