Prediction How will the Geelong Cats fare in season 2024?

Where will Geelong finish in 2024


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People generally struggle with basic probabilities.

I was sticking with 5th, but the Collingwood win brings top 4 into play - as long as we don't hit another slump.
Yes similar for me. I said:

I have us most likely finishing 5th, which assumes we lose to Freo and Collingwood but win the rest.

Win one of those and we finish 3rd.
 

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We should win 5 of our last 6 (good record against the dogs r23 last year was an anomaly) and 16 wins should get us 4th at worst i reckon.
I think we will lose the freo game but if we win it we should get 2nd and a vic final in week 1.
 
Finishing 2 or 3 and getting the Blues first up would be a great outcome. They flogged us last time but we are better now.
My ladder predictor has us finishing 4th and sydney up there in the 1st week.
But 2rd or 3rd and carlton in 1st week if we beat freo.
The predictor assumes freo win at the mcg etc in the run home.
 
My ladder predictor has us finishing 4th and sydney up there in the 1st week.
But 2rd or 3rd and carlton in 1st week if we beat freo.
The predictor assumes freo win at the mcg etc in the run home.

I find it difficult this far out to make a prediction for the next round let alone another 5. We’ve put ourselves in a position where we can finish as high as second. If we keep winning games we will. Freo over in WA will be tough. But even if we just drop that game we can still finish 3rd. See what happens.
 
Finishing 2 or 3 and getting the Blues first up would be a great outcome. They flogged us last time but we are better now.

Swans
Blues
Geelong
Freo

Would be the dream top four. Pull the heist week one then potentially have an MCG prelim v Freo and MCG granny v Sydney. That would be our path to be a flag chance. End up travelling interstate and we have none.
 
I find it difficult this far out to make a prediction for the next round let alone another 5. We’ve put ourselves in a position where we can finish as high as second. If we keep winning games we will. Freo over in WA will be tough. But even if we just drop that game we can still finish 3rd. See what happens.

2nd or 3rd wont matter as it should be carl at mcg either way unless they stumble. We just want to avoid scg in week 1.
 
You're fairly surprised right now.
Pleasantly surprised by -
Lawson Humphries- the revelation of 2024.


Dempsey
Holmes
De Koning
are all stepping up well.

Not surprised that we still very much rely on Danger and Cameron to inspire us and keep us potent.

Overall, I am surprised we are a realistic top 4 chance after our 1-6 streak; I am never surprised by our coach and his ability to adapt to the season and continually help us rebuild on the move and keep us in contention.
 
WLD%
1.Sydney1940133.0%
2.Geelong1760123.5%
3.Carlton1760117.6%
4.Port Adelaide1670109.3%
5.Essendon1571102.2%
6.Melbourne1580109.0%
7.Brisbane Lions1481117.0%
8.GWS1490108.4%
9.Fremantle11111102.0%
10.Gold Coast11120101.7%
11.Hawthorn1112094.6%
12.Collingwood912299.0%
13.Western Bulldogs9140106.1%
14.Adelaide814199.6%
15.St Kilda716088.4%
16.Richmond518072.7%
17.North Melbourne320069.8%
18.West Coast320069.6%
QF1: SYDNEY v Port Adelaide
QF2: GEELONG v Carlton
EF1: Essendon v GWS
EF2: MELBOURNE v Brisbane Lions

SF1: Port Adelaide v GWS
SF2: CARLTON v Melbourne

PF1: SYDNEY v Carlton
PF2: GEELONG v GWS

GF: Sydney v GEELONG
 
Hawks win is great for us.
It means if we win every game except freo
Then we cant finish lower than 3rd unless
Freo win all 6 (and they have road games vs gws and ess to come)
Or port win all 6 (road games against freo melb and gc and only one of port or freo can win 6 as they play each other)
Or ess win all 6 (unlikely with swans and bris away)

Gws and bris are too far back to get us if we keep winning.

So realistically if we win 5 of 6 i doubt we finish lower than 3rd which would mean carlton mcg week 1 which is a good result compared to sydney.
 

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Hawks win is great for us.
It means if we win every game except freo
Then we cant finish lower than 3rd unless
Freo win all 6 (and they have road games vs gws and ess to come)
Or port win all 6 (road games against freo melb and gc and only one of port or freo can win 6 as they play each other)
Or ess win all 6 (unlikely with swans and bris away)

Gws and bris are too far back to get us if we keep winning.

So realistically if we win 5 of 6 i doubt we finish lower than 3rd which would mean carlton mcg week 1 which is a good result compared to sydney.
I'd be rapt if we can beat the rampaging Doggies next week
 
I'd be rapt if we can beat the rampaging Doggies next week

We will need to defend their talls well but they are a 6 goal side worse at geelong than marvel and we defend marvel too. We should do it.

Carlton losing tonight is another good result for us.
 
WLD%
1.Geelong1760135.6%
2.Carlton1760118.6%
3.Sydney1670129.1%
4.Brisbane Lions1571120.5%
5.Essendon1481101.0%
6.Melbourne1490105.6%
7.GWS13100107.8%
8.Port Adelaide13100103.6%
9.Fremantle12101105.8%
10.Hawthorn1211097.2%
11.Collingwood10112100.9%
12.Western Bulldogs10130103.2%
13.Gold Coast1013099.8%
14.St Kilda1013096.9%
15.Adelaide715193.6%
16.North Melbourne617074.3%
17.Richmond419067.9%
18.West Coast419065.6%
QF1: GEELONG v Brisbane Lions
QF2: Carlton v SYDNEY
EF1: Essendon v PORT ADELAIDE
EF2: MELBOURNE v GWS

SF1: BRISBANE LIONS v Port Adelaide
SF2: CARLTON v Melbourne

PF1: GEELONG v Carlton
PF2: SYDNEY v Brisbane Lions

GF: GEELONG v Sydney




Home final vs Brisbane and an easy premiershio
You just keep leaning into this
 
He's casting a line in a tailings dam here
same on main board and they lays the boot and sooks about us on his board.

Which is completely fine over there.... but im growing tired of it yes

GO Catters
 

Prediction How will the Geelong Cats fare in season 2024?

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