LIVE Federal Election Coverage 2016

[Jiska]

I'm thinking Labor might pick up:
Petrie, Capricornia, Lyons, Barton, Dobell, Lindsay, Robertston, McArthur, Eden-Monaro, Solomon, Bankes, Peterson and might also get Hasluck - so 12/13 seats - well short of the 19 required.

However, Xenophon should pick up Mayo and Barker.

Other seats of interest:
Flynn, Herbert, Braddon, Hindmarsh, Burt, Cowan, Dawson and Bass.

Sturt will be interesting too as Xenophon has campaigned well there, but expect Pyne to hold on.

Higgins will be the other intriguing one. Polling had K O'Dwyer at 44% primary (she got 54% primary in 2013). Greens have run a fairly strong campaign in Higgins. Labor and Independents all preferencing the Greens. There's a potential for this to be the Indi of 2016 - a long shot, but interesting none-the-less.

 

[JackOutback]

Cowan likely to fall before Hasluck in WA. Also, Burt would be considered a Liberal loss even though it's a new seat as it is notionally Liberal.

 

[campbell]

I am in Longman, Wyatt Roy will still be my member tonight. Unfortunately.

 

[Pessimistic]

I thought this was a critique of election coverage, which is underwhelming so far.

 

[pjcrows]

Sticking with LNP 78, ALP 65, Others 7.

Interesting that the odds of a Labor win were $9.00 yesterday afternoon, in to $5.50 right now.

 

[Ratts of Tobruk]

Sticking with LNP 78, ALP 65, Others 8.

Interesting that the odds of a Labor win were $9.00 yesterday afternoon, in to $5.50 right now.

I was told they had a 1 in 3 chance, so no doubt some maths-based betters are just playing the odds. Unless there were some AM polls of those at stations?

 

[funk44]

Sticking with LNP 78, ALP 65, Others 8.

Interesting that the odds of a Labor win were $9.00 yesterday afternoon, in to $5.50 right now.

Put 50 on them yesterday at 8

 

[Gough]

I thought this was a critique of election coverage, which is underwhelming so far.

I'm following it on the Guardian blog, and watching Father Ted.

 

[The Speaker]

Sticking with LNP 78, ALP 65, Others 8.

What's the 151st seat?

 

[CURVE]

I'm in Canberra, and just returned from voting. I think a fairly high percentage of votes for House of Representative could be donkey votes. It has always been a safe Labor seat and the sitting member is in position 1, with the Greens in 2, Bullet Train for Australia in 3 and Liberals in 4.

 

[Achy Blakey Heart]

Will be interesting to see if Sophie Mirabella last can make a comeback in Indi....plenty are very disappointed in Cathy McGowan...

 

[pjcrows]

What's the 151st seat?

Ah! 7 Others

 

[Howard Littlejohn]

A lot of reports of long queues. Are more people voting below the line? Or people struggling to count to six? Or are the AEC simply trying to save money and under-staffing the booths?

I know down in Tas there was a big push for demoted candidates Labor and Liberal to stay in the Senate, requiring a below the line vote. Lisa Singh (ALP, demoted due to asylum seeker views) and Richard Colbeck (Lib, demoted because Abetz and Sam McQuestin hand-picked the Senate ticket in favour of the nuttery faction Abetz leads) have both had supporters trying to get them back, above their party machines' preferred candidates.

 

[JackOutback]

When do the exit polls start coming out.

 

[pjcrows]

When do the exit polls start coming out.

Usually about 5.30 or 6.00 we'll get something. They're usually wrong though. 2010 the Galaxy Exit Poll was 52-48 Labor (result was 50-50) and 2013 was 55-45 LNP (result was 53-47 LNP).

You'll know that a party has lost when they're the first to declare "we'll just wait for postal votes". That's a dead giveaway.

 

[NSWCROW]

subbed


I looked and there was a pale green horse
Its rider's name was DeathRichard

 

[Forward Press]

We should make a drinking game out of the ABC coverage (and if you're not watching the ABC for election stuff you're doing it wrong imo)

I would say take a shot every time Antony Green has trouble with the touch-screen but we'd probably be smashed 20 minutes into the broadcast.

 

[pjcrows]

Take a shot every time the words "postal votes" or "pre-poll votes" are mentioned.

 

[JackOutback]

Take a shot every time the words "postal votes" or "pre-poll votes" are mentioned.

They always have one or two players from the major parties, right? Drink every time you hear Stability or Medicare. You'll be dead in an hour.

 

[funk44]

I'll be here most of the night getting progressively drunker

 

[tandino]

We should make a drinking game out of the ABC coverage (and if you're not watching the ABC for election stuff you're doing it wrong imo)

I would say take a shot every time Antony Green has trouble with the touch-screen but we'd probably be smashed 20 minutes into the broadcast.

Poor Antony. He can get so angry, but in a well mannered way.

 

[The Speaker]

Throw out all your remaining alcohol if Eden-Monaro loses its bellwether status.

 

[Forward Press]

Throw out all your remaining alcohol if Eden-Monaro loses its bellwether status.

If you don't mind, Speaker, which seat do you live in? Just curious.

 

[Tigersfan35]

Derryn Hinch!!
Thoughts on his policies?

 

[The Speaker]

If you don't mind, Speaker, which seat do you live in? Just curious.

I've received three newsletters from Dennis Jensen in two months.