- Mar 26, 2007
- 21,190
- 45,782
- AFL Club
- Port Adelaide
- Other Teams
- SA Spurs, Anaheim Ducks, White Sox
The more Brisbane have lost at home, the more they've learnt and will be harder to topple. They've served their 2002-2003 style failures and will be stronger for it. In fact they showed last year they'd finally worked out finals footy, going to a prelim from the bottom half of the draw. I expect they'll be in the GF this year.People have pretty short memories. Check out the last decade or so of finals results. Absolutely full of away teams winning finals 'against the odds' with Port and Brisbane being regular features as the home team on the end of it. There's no reason to fear away finals based on available evidence. Away grand finals? Now there's something to worry about.
And yes, we lost our home prelims, and it's all good to say we might not win the next one, but what says the result is going to be better away from home? We didn't lose those finals because we were at home, we lost them because we weren't good enough. Play them away and we probably lose both by even more. Then what are you saying? We need to play them at home to have a chance? Its a horribly flawed argument. We know unequivocally that playing at home gives us a better chance of winning. It doesn't guarantee we will, but we will have a better chance.
If you can gain a better % chance of fluking our way to a GF you've gotta be hoping for that. I'm taking a 50% chance of a win at home, over a 10% chance of winning at the Gabba any day of the week. We'll melt under the pressure of a big final and a big charged opposition crowd. Especially the Collingwood crowd, they're riding the crest of a huge wave and the crowd will absolutely scare our boys. We'll panic and if things go wrong at the MCG we'll be 2003 PF all over again.