fpm84
Brownlow Medallist
No, but we must pay close attention to Josh on the wing. Great player and a big ask for Holmes to quell/match him.
Preview QF1 Geelong v Collingwood Sat Sept 3 2022, 435pm @ MCG
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No, but we must pay close attention to Josh on the wing. Great player and a big ask for Holmes to quell/match him.
Atkins will be perfect in the finals if we need a cooler on a mid - thinking Collingwood - Taylor Adams, Melbourne - Jack Viney, Sydney - Warner. He can play small down back, pressure forward as well as quality midfield time, and just gives us flexibility. He adds to the mids, but also to the pressure runners (Myers, Stengle, etc). Only misses if he is carrying an injury IMO, otherwise he will be backed on form I think.
AFL rating points adjusted for game time, player position, opposition difficulty and access to inside midfield rotations
60.1% greater than expected point given that players' game time, player position, opposition difficulty and access to inside midfield rotations
All 3 games were fairly low intensity.
You’ll find that the more intense the game is, the more Atkins will become involved.
Look at his games when the heat really is on.
He’s exactly the player we need playing finals.
He’s one of the last players I’m concerned about.
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His last 3 weeks have been far below his standard though, I back him to turn that around come finals of course but he's a bit more wobbly than he was a month ago.
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This is they key, it's unfortunate but he really does need to perform come QF time, purely due to tightness of spots (same as Rohan, Miers, Zuthrie etc etc)
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Expecting this to be very close. Confident we’re the better side but Collingwood are riding a wave at the moment and that can’t be underestimated.
The unpredictable nature of their forward entries is what worries me most. They don’t have a singular target as such which makes it much harder for our backs to zone off. Their ball movement is fast and aggressive too so there will be plenty of 1 on 1 opportunities. This is an area where I think we can be a little susceptible at times.
Geelong by 7 points in a high scoring shootout.
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The unpredictable nature of their forward entries is what worries me most. They don’t have a singular target as such which makes it much harder for our backs to zone off. Their ball movement is fast and aggressive too so there will be plenty of 1 on 1 opportunities. This is an area where I think we can be a little susceptible at times.
Geelong by 7 points in a high scoring shootout.
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I mean can you really read into player form when we have had a weak Gold Coast and a pathetic WCE?
That WCE game had absolutely no pressure. We laid like 20 tackles for the game. Ofc a player like Atkins would struggle to dominate in that environment, but if our finals are played like that then we either have a shit ton more to worry about (if we're being smacked around the ball), or nothing to worry about it (absolutely dominating). If finals play out like we expect them to (close, high pressure, need for clean hands and quick thinking), he will come to the fore.
Depends because with the pressure players we have in our forwardline I just don't see him getting the time and space he needs.
30 disposals under pressure from Stengle, Close and maybe even Atkins, he won't be kicking at his 75% DE in a final.
Against the Swans he had 20 disposals, 6 clangers, was fairly average and kicked at 60%. Not great under Swans pressure. Swans didn't run a hard tag on him, because they had the pressure up.
We will be the same.
We are going to win centre clearances, i50 stats etc. But unlike Carlton (but like the Swans) we have small pressure forwards who, you know, actually pressure well. So Daicos won't be afforded the time and space to run off his man (likely Close) because Close can keep pace with him defensively and I don't think Daicos can afford to let Close get off the chain because he hits the scoreboard and makes assists.
Vdubs
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Overcall. Bews has been reliable and solid and attacking. Not one player has demoralised him this year, let alone beaten him. That I can recall anyway.
I still think he's safe purely because they take a conservative view with Danger and Sel minutes wise, or halfway expect niggles to present. Guthrie with the slight issue too and Parfitt has terrible luck with getting injured in finals. If Stanley went down and Blicavs had to ruck then similar thing.
They are really big on mid rotations this season so I think they like Atkins even in a reduced role, but ready to step up at any time or if things aren't going well with the others.
Could be a useful sub, but I'd argue Menegola or Zuthrie are better options for that.
Exactly. He doesn't get beaten and wins 1v1s/hard balls. Occasionally breaks the game open but in reality you need a couple of "anchors" in an attacking side and Bews is one of those for us. Ludicrous to think he'd be dropped.
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1/ what a stupid time of day to play it.
2/ you’ve got to respect what Collingwood have done over 3 months.
3/ I actually think we play similar styles but we are just a lot better.
4/ talk of big wins are silly. 20-35 points for me.
5/ no resting. None. We pay Cameron $1 mil. If he breaks down he breaks down. Geez, he ripped them a new butthole last time.
All chips in time.
2/ you’ve got to respect what Collingwood have done over 3 months.
3/ I actually think we play similar styles but we are just a lot better.
4/ talk of big wins are silly. 20-35 points for me.
5/ no resting. None. We pay Cameron $1 mil. If he breaks down he breaks down. Geez, he ripped them a new butthole last time.
All chips in time.
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Injury Update: Guthrie Expected to Play
Guthrie should be ready for action in 12 days' time.
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Bews will most likely get Ginnivan. The concern is he can be sloppy with his tackles at times, especially on the divers.
Hopefully the umps continue to not pay those high ones where the player in possession contributes to the high contact.
They’ll be fine.
and if he ducks into it, make him earn it.
I think Atkins, in the past couple weeks, has also been working out how to complement Parfitt. They have similar roles, but haven't played many games together this year. I also think he will be fine.
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maybe Atkins by himself is better than with Parfitt BUT Atkins + Parfitt is better for the team as a whole. Comfortable with how its going.
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Whats with people bitching about the Sat twilight timeslot because it clashes with community footy? It's unfortunate but getting as many Geelong fans to the G should be priority 1.
It's an awesome time to play it. Wake up, go for a walk, have brunch, head into the city, grab a pint, go to the game, enjoy the win, grab a pint whilst watching who the pies will play in the semi.
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Let’s be real - Atkins is 100% certainty to play.
I would guess:
Atkins, Cameron, Stanley; Duncan all in
Sav, ceglar, O’Connor, kolo all out
Kolo unlucky, club will be cautious with him and concussion, no real matchup need for him against collingwood
Menegola will be sub
Kolo looks like an odd man out against a few teams. He is needed if we face Sydney and their talls.
Maybe kolo is needed to give us flexibility to move Henry around if needed.
All being equal there is going to be some unlucky players this September at Geelong.
I would guess:
Atkins, Cameron, Stanley; Duncan all in
Sav, ceglar, O’Connor, kolo all out
Kolo unlucky, club will be cautious with him and concussion, no real matchup need for him against collingwood
Menegola will be sub
Kolo looks like an odd man out against a few teams. He is needed if we face Sydney and their talls.
Maybe kolo is needed to give us flexibility to move Henry around if needed.
All being equal there is going to be some unlucky players this September at Geelong.
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catempire
Premium Platinum
Not sure that’s right about Kolo having no opponent. With Mihocek (192cm) and Johnson (193cm) they seem ideal matchups. Henry will get the one Kolo doesn’t. De Koning on Cox.
It’s shaping to me that Zuthrie will be the stiffest player omitted in a very long time.
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