Analysis The Stats and nothing but the Stats

[Ticky009]

Well, doesn't this look pretty

 

[Millky95]

Well, doesn't this look pretty

Top 6 for every metric except for 1. Average position for each metric being 2.7 and the next closest is 6.2

Geez that's scary good.

 

[Kirkswan]

Well, doesn't this look pretty

Bloody BEAUTIFUL!!!

I especially like the bit that said none of our numbers are in the bottom six (which no other team can say), and that 94% of our numbers are in the top 6, with the next best at 61% and no-one else above 50%!

We are doing an awful lot right!

 

[Kiama Chris]

Bloody BEAUTIFUL!!!

I especially like the bit that said none of our numbers are in the bottom six (which no other team can say), and that 94% of our numbers are in the top 6, with the next best at 61% and no-one else above 50%!

We are doing an awful lot right!

Huge shout out to both coaching and playing groups.

 

[Ticky009]

Melbourne had more inside 50's than us and restricted the Blues to less than we allowed last night and still lost the game.

 

[Ticky009]

 

[Ticky009]

 

[Ticky009]

 

[Ticky009]

 

[Kirkswan]

Kiama Chris, can you help me out please? Can you just confirm for me that I'm reading this right? The xScore is the expected score, with +/- being the amount above/below the expected scoring achieved? And what is the xSc./Shot? (I feel I should know, and have known previously, but today I can't figure it out?)

But what I really want you to confirm for me, is that the statistics suggested we'd thrash Carlton by slightly less than we did?

 

[Kirkswan]

Ticky009 I cannot tell you how much I appreciate all the work you do to keep us informed!

 

[JZ_Skitzo]

The xScore is the expected score, with +/- being the amount above/below the expected scoring achieved?

Correct

And what is the xSc./Shot? (I feel I should know, and have known previously, but today I can't figure it out?)

Average expected score per shot at goal, reflecting the average difficulty of shots taken.

But what I really want you to confirm for me, is that the statistics suggested we'd thrash Carlton by slightly less than we did?

This is also the correct interpretation.

 

[Kiama Chris]

Kiama Chris, can you help me out please? Can you just confirm for me that I'm reading this right? The xScore is the expected score, with +/- being the amount above/below the expected scoring achieved? And what is the xSc./Shot? (I feel I should know, and have known previously, but today I can't figure it out?)

But what I really want you to confirm for me, is that the statistics suggested we'd thrash Carlton by slightly less than we did?

View attachment 1993175

Yep exactly right Kirky. The xScore is based on where the shots were taken from. xSc/Shot is a measure of accuracy. No idea how they calculate it. We were off the chart against Freo but not as much as you might think because a lot of our shots were from "can't miss" spots.
If you look at the charts both teams shot from similar distances/angles.

 

[Kirkswan]

Correct

Average expected score per shot at goal, reflecting the average difficulty of shots taken.


This is also the correct interpretation.

Thank you very much! I was sure we would beat them and do it well!

I've been following the stats a bit lately, and I think, all things being equal, there are not many teams likely to beat us if we're playing at our best...

Of course, it's round 10, so injuries or form slumps, or given we're the Swans, rule changes could be in our future... but I'm quietly confident we're going to have a very fine year indeed!

 

[Membling]

Round 10, we are the best offensive and defensive team in the league, carrying on from last week.

Offensively averaging 103 per game, defensively conceding 66.6

Offensively, next closest is cats averaging 95.4 points a game

Defensively, next closest is freo conceding 68.6 points a game

 

[Millky95]

Round 10, we are the best offensive and defensive team in the league, carrying on from last week.

Offensively averaging 103 per game, defensively conceding 66.6

Offensively, next closest is cats averaging 95.4 points a game

Defensively, next closest is freo conceding 68.6 points a game

Average winning margin of 41 points. Smallest win 22 points

 

[caesar88]

Done some catching up.

First possession numbers vs GWS



(The below is supposed to say ROUND 8 vs GREATER WESTERN SYDNEY - had a scatter brain moment.)

 

[caesar88]

First possession numbers vs Fremantle

 

[caesar88]

Aaaand first possession numbers vs Carlton.

Some pretty average efficiency from them (no doubt thanks to our pressure on the ball carrier) and some elite efficiency from us is the tale of the tape this week, with that second-half centre bounce category the most telling.

 

[Ticky009]

 

[Membling]

AFL travel stats, looking at top 10 teams (focusing on interstate travel):

Swans: SCG, MCG, SCG, MCG, Mt Barker, Bye, SCG, MCG, SCG, Optus, SCG, Marvel
5 x home, 6 x int
No back to back at home

Dons: MCG, SCG, Marvel, AO (v Port), Marvel, AO, MCG, Optus, Marvel, Marvel, MCG
6x home, 5 x int
2x back to back at home

Cats: GMHBA, AO, MCG, AO (v dogs), GMB, Gabba, MCG, MCG, GMH, TIO, GMH
7 x Home, 4 x int
2 x back to back at home

Port: AO, MCG, AO, AO, AO, MCG, AO, AO, GMH, AO, Blunstone
7x home, 4 x int
3 x back to back at home

Pies: Engie, MCG, Gabba, AO (v Hawks), BYE, MCG, MCG,MCG, Marvel, MCG, Optus
6x home, 5 x int
4 x back to back at home

GWS: Engie, engie, Bye, Ade Hills, Optus, Manuka, Manuka, SCG, Marvel, Engie, GMH
6 x home, 5 x int
2 x back to back at home
1 x back to back away

Dees: SCG, MCG, MCG, AO, AO, MCG, Bye, MCG, MCG, MCG, Optus
6 x home, 5 x int
4 x back to back at home
1 x back to back away

GC: People, People, Mars, Bye, Ade Hills, People, People, Gabba, TIO, TIO, Marvel
6 x home, 5 x int
4 x back to back at home


Freo: Optus, Marvel, Optus, AO, AO, Optus, Optus, MCG, Optus, Marvel, Optus
6 x home, 5 x int
1 x back to back at home
1 X back to back away

Blues: Gabba, MCG, Bye, Marvel, AO, Marvel, MCG, MCG, MCG, MCG, SCG, Marvel
8 x home, 3 x int

5 x back to back at home

 

[Ticky009]

 

[Ticky009]

Question - do you want the opposition CBA's as well for comparison or not?

 

[Millky95]

Question - do you want the opposition CBA's as well for comparison or not?

Yes please

 

[Ticky009]