List Mgmt. Trade & Free Agency - Fred 11

[_RT_]

 

[Meteoric Rise]

Couldn't see the AFL being that blatant. Top 6 teams play bottom 6 teams a minimum 1 and maximum 2 times. They wouldn't dare give them the maximum games against the 2 bottom teams no less. The rare unbiased media would point that out, let alone the angry talk back callers

They have magically drawn weakest team North Melbourne twice in 3 of the last 4 seasons. I would say that it pretty blatant. Amazingly, not a peep out of anyone.

13 games v Eagles and Roos over the last 4 seasons.

 

[Calcium Man]

Why doesn’t our academy produce kids like this

Oh that’s right we don’t have one

We do. It’s just that the afl, in its usual wisdom, overreacted to JUH going at 1 and made a knee jerk decision to stop letting the non northern clubs pick them up for free before 40.

They then did surprised pikachu face when clubs, no longer seeing any benefit from the academies, stopped funding them.

And unfortunately clubs can’t pick up from 5 years ago with these academies but need to go back to square 1.

Can’t even blame Laura Kane for it, was before her, proving that the afl has always been incompetent.

 

[Mr Unbelievable]

Anybody reckon we pick up Membrey in the PSD? Should be good to cover the kids and heard Pies are interested in him. We could legit prevent them winning a flag lol

 

[Sir_Loin]

We do. It’s just that the afl, in its usual wisdom, overreacted to JUH going at 1 and made a knee jerk decision to stop letting the non northern clubs pick them up for free before 40.

They then did surprised pikachu face when clubs, no longer seeing any benefit from the academies, stopped funding them.

And unfortunately clubs can’t pick up from 5 years with these academies but need to go back to square 1.

Can’t even blame Laura Kane for it, was before her, proving that the afl has always been incompetent.

I blame

 

[zakazano]

Thank goodness we have Kaelan Bradtke instead

always take a chance on a raw talent rather than one who has already been exposed as NGE.

 

[Hoos]

Top 6 teams play bottom 6 teams a minimum 1 and maximum 2 times. They wouldn't dare give them the maximum games against the 2 bottom teams no less.

I wouldn't put anything past them.

 

[zakazano]

They have magically drawn weakest team North Melbourne twice in 3 of the last 4 seasons. I would say that it pretty blatant. Amazingly, ot a peep out of anyone.

13 games v Eagles and Roos over the last 4 seasons.

Minimum 8, maximum 16 times. 13 seems like a fairly normal distribution to me.

 

[Calcium Man]

Minimum 8, maximum 16 times. 13 seems like a fairly normal distribution to me.

Until you remember that the draw is weighted to have top 6 play each other twice more often and bottom 6 play each other twice more often.

 

[Hoos]

Until you remember that the draw is weighted to have top 6 play each other twice more often and bottom 6 play each other twice more often.

Yeah, not one particular top 6 side playing the bottom 6 twice more often.

 

[4tune8]

They have magically drawn weakest team North Melbourne twice in 3 of the last 4 seasons. I would say that it pretty blatant. Amazingly, ot a peep out of anyone.

13 games v Eagles and Roos over the last 4 seasons.

That's unbelievable, thanks for pointing it out.

Guess the AFL are now going to have to drop the North double up, which is only fair given that they should be more competitive next year. I wonder who'll they get as the other double matchup?

The so called 'Weighted Rule' is bullshit anyway. Each team plays everyone else and then there's 6 double matchups with the maximum amount of doubles spread over the (funnily enough) 6-6-6 ratings on the ladder.

If you finish in the top 6, then the minimum doubles against other top 6 teams is 2, the maximum doubles against the middle 6 is 2 and the maximum against the bottom 6 is also 2

If you finish in the bottom 6 then the minimum double against a bottom 6 is 2, the maximum against a middle 6 is 2 and the maximum against a top 6 team is 2.

There's no discernable difference in the allocation of double ups whether you're a top 6 or bottom 6 team

 

[Meteoric Rise]

Minimum 8, maximum 16 times. 13 seems like a fairly normal distribution to me.

Each team played each opponent 1.32 times per season on average over the last 4 years.

1.32 x 4 = 5.3 x a random team would play another random team on average over the 4 seasons.

Geelong has played NORTH 7 times ad Eagles 6 times.

So 13 matches against these clubs rather than 10.6. Roughly 25% more than "a fairly normal distribution."

Then factor in should be playing them less often than a random distribution due to the preferential draw....

Does is still look fairly normal to you?

 

[JAKLAUGHING]

Each team played each opponent 1.32 times per season on average over the last 4 years.

1.32 x 4 = 5.3 x a random team would play another random team on average over the 4 seasons.

Geelong has played NORTH 7 times ad Eagles 6 times.

So 13 matches against these clubs rather than 10.6. Roughly 25% more than "a fairly normal distribution."

Then factor in should be playing them less often than a random distribution due to the preferential draw....

Does is still look fairly normal to you?

And toss in about 10 home games...
What a dream run...scatters mafia in action!

 

[Wrenny]

Anybody reckon we pick up Membrey in the PSD? Should be good to cover the kids and heard Pies are interested in him. We could legit prevent them winning a flag lol

Flawless logic hey? Where?

 

[Bojangles17]

They have magically drawn weakest team North Melbourne twice in 3 of the last 4 seasons. I would say that it pretty blatant. Amazingly, not a peep out of anyone.

13 games v Eagles and Roos over the last 4 seasons.

Cats ?

 

[Fl4wlessLogic]

Flawless logic hey? Where?

Mainly just don’t want the pies to get him tbh hahah. Perryman, Houston, Membrey would be 3 solid editions.

Lefau also needs somebody cause Ryan/Kosi are potatoes.

 

[Wrenny]

Mainly just don’t want the pies to get him tbh hahah. Perryman, Houston, Membrey would be 3 solid editions.

Lefau also needs somebody cause Ryan/Kosi are potatoes.

 

[zakazano]

Each team played each opponent 1.32 times per season on average over the last 4 years.

1.32 x 4 = 5.3 x a random team would play another random team on average over the 4 seasons.

Geelong has played NORTH 7 times ad Eagles 6 times.

So 13 matches against these clubs rather than 10.6. Roughly 25% more than "a fairly normal distribution."

Then factor in should be playing them less often than a random distribution due to the preferential draw....

Does is still look fairly normal to you?

sample size nowhere near big enough to make any worthwhile conclusion, it's just fodder for conspiracy theorists.

 

[zakazano]

also consider the effect of all the other fixture manipulations - we always play Carlton R1, the big 4 Melbourne clubs tend to play each other twice for blockbuster games, local derbys must happen twice... shake that down and the teams not included in those (particularly Cats & Roos) are more likely to play each other twice.

 

[JR82]

Couldn't see the AFL being that blatant. Top 6 teams play bottom 6 teams a minimum 1 and maximum 2 times. They wouldn't dare give them the maximum games against the 2 bottom teams no less. The rare unbiased media would point that out, let alone the angry talk back callers

It'd be a shock if they didn't get another soft draw. for a "top 6" side their draw this yr was rather easy...

 

[JR82]

We do. It’s just that the afl, in its usual wisdom, overreacted to JUH going at 1 and made a knee jerk decision to stop letting the non northern clubs pick them up for free before 40.

They then did surprised pikachu face when clubs, no longer seeing any benefit from the academies, stopped funding them.

And unfortunately clubs can’t pick up from 5 years ago with these academies but need to go back to square 1.

Can’t even blame Laura Kane for it, was before her, proving that the afl has always been incompetent.

Ironically it was after the Northern Clubs had a whinge & of course they have been able to keep doing the very same thing before & since this happened.

 

[Noidnadroj]

Minimum 8, maximum 16 times. 13 seems like a fairly normal distribution to me.

Cats perennial finalists and top-4 = 13.

Tigers = 10.

SHocking knows where the bodies are buried … that’s why they didn’t let a stand up guy like Benny Gale anywhere near the joint and hired the lightweight Dillon despite EVERYONE knowing Benny was the superior candidate…

There’s lots of dirty secrets at AFL House … they are very careful as to who is exposed to what, and SHocking needs to be kept ‘happy’.

Any coincidence Chris Scott is given the green light to become the leadership blowhard at a Cats sponsor despite there being no position of that name previously …??


Sent from my iPhone using BigFooty.com

 

[Meteoric Rise]

also consider the effect of all the other fixture manipulations - we always play Carlton R1, the big 4 Melbourne clubs tend to play each other twice for blockbuster games, local derbys must happen twice... shake that down and the teams not included in those (particularly Cats & Roos) are more likely to play each other twice.

What has us playing Carlton in rd 1 go to do with anything?

Fact check. Richmond played the other 3 big 4 teams a total of 15 times over the past 4 seasons. 1.25 times each per season on average. That is less than the any random team v any other random team average. And a lot less than the 1.75 times per season Cats have drawn North. Also less than the 1.5 times per season Cats have drawn Eagles. And this is not a small sample as these things go, it is just about a whole life cycle of an AFL team before more than half its players have changed & it ceases to be substantially the same team.

So to be honest you are questioning the absolute facts I have provided whilst presenting false claims yourself. Your whole explanation makes no sense as you have presented it. You seem like some sort of establishment reactionary who will dismiss any evidence put before you.

 

[Noidnadroj]

Each team played each opponent 1.32 times per season on average over the last 4 years.

1.32 x 4 = 5.3 x a random team would play another random team on average over the 4 seasons.

Geelong has played NORTH 7 times ad Eagles 6 times.

So 13 matches against these clubs rather than 10.6. Roughly 25% more than "a fairly normal distribution."

Then factor in should be playing them less often than a random distribution due to the preferential draw....

Does is still look fairly normal to you?

Who have the strongest teams overall been the last 4 x years along with the Cats? Swans, Pies, Lions and Demons. Cats games against them…. all just 5 each across 4 x years. Yet 6 and 7 against bottom feeder clubs.

Isn’t the fixture weighted so top teams should be doubling up against top teams more often than against bottom teams?

Yet Geelong are BELOW the average games played against ALL of the best 4 teams of the last 4 years, and well ABOVE the average against the worst 2 performing teams of the last 4 years.

Someone needs to update the version of their little fixture making computer program. It seems to be running on corrupt software … coincidentally the same software that seems to spit out the AA team with an excess of Cats players each season.


Sent from my iPhone using BigFooty.com

 

[Meteoric Rise]

Who have the strongest teams overall been the last 4 x years along with the Cats? Swans, Pies, Lions and Demons. Cats games against them…. all just 5 each across 4 x years. Yet 6 and 7 against bottom feeder clubs.

Isn’t the fixture weighted so top teams should be doubling up against top teams more often than against bottom teams?

Yet Geelong are BELOW the average games played against ALL of the best 4 teams of the last 4 years, and well ABOVE the average against the worst 2 performing teams of the last 4 years.

Someone needs to update the version of their little fixture making computer program. It seems to be running on corrupt software … coincidentally the same software that seems to spit out the AA team with an excess of Cats players each season.


Sent from my iPhone using BigFooty.com

Miraculous vagaries of a "small sample."

Yet not a word in general discourse in the media. The thing is who of us can say for certain it is bent? What we can say with confidence is there doesn't often seem to be too much difference between the Cats actual fixture and the one they would choose for themselves within the fixture parameters.

 

[zakazano]

Cats perennial finalists and top-4 = 13.

Tigers = 10.

SHocking knows where the bodies are buried … that’s why they didn’t let a stand up guy like Benny Gale anywhere near the joint and hired the lightweight Dillon despite EVERYONE knowing Benny was the superior candidate…

There’s lots of dirty secrets at AFL House … they are very careful as to who is exposed to what, and SHocking needs to be kept ‘happy’.

Any coincidence Chris Scott is given the green light to become the leadership blowhard at a Cats sponsor despite there being no position of that name previously …??


Sent from my iPhone using BigFooty.com

as above - when we, and the others, push for two matches each against the big Vic clubs, something has to change. When teams are allowed to send preferences for who they play, traditional fixtures etc., there's always fallout from that.

Leave the tin hat bullshit for Twitter.